[Tropical] Tropical Weather Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Mar 13 23:14:37 CST 2010


AXNT20 KNHC 140514
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 AM EST SUN MAR 14 2010

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0345 UTC.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 8N11W 4N24W 2N45W ACROSS THE EQUATOR
AND INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 50W. SCATTERED MODERATE/
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF LINE FROM 4N11W TO
2N19W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN
90/120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE ITCZ FROM 21W-335W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE SW GULF WITH A 1014 MB HIGH
LOCATED NEAR 22N92W. LOW PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE NE
GULF ALTHOUGH THE COLD FRONT IS WELL E OF THE AREA. A LARGE
UPPER TROUGH/LOW IS MOVING INTO THE W ATLC COVERING THE NE GULF
N OF 28N E OF 90W AS AN UPPER RIDGE IS MOVING TO OVER THE GULF
ANCHORED IN THE E PACIFIC. A JETSTREAM WITH WINDS OF 90 TO 170
KT COVERS THE GULF N OF 23N. SKIES REMAIN REMARKABLY CLEAR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE GULF.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
THE COLD FRONT THAT WAS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN IS PULLING UP
STATIONARY EXTENDING ACROSS CUBA NEAR 20N77W EXTENDING S TO THE
SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 11N82W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 30/45 NM
EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT. DENSE LOW CLOUDS WITH PATCHES OF FOG
COVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS S OF 17N W OF 85W TO INLAND OVER
HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA. DRY STABLE AIR ARE GIVING THE REMAINDER
OF THE CARIBBEAN FAIR WEATHER AGAIN TONIGHT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES THE FAR W ATLC WITH A COLD FRONT
EXTENDING ALONG THROUGH 32N69W ALONG 26N72W INTO THE CARIBBEAN
ACROSS CUBA NEAR 20N77W WITH CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS N OF 24N BETWEEN 55W AND THE FRONT. NARROWING
SURFACE RIDGE IS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE W ATLC INTO THE
CENTRAL ATLC ANCHORED BY A 1026 MB HIGH 700 NM E OF BERMUDA NEAR
33N51W. A DEEP LAYER TROUGH COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL
INTO THE E ATLC N OF 18N FROM 25W-45W SUPPORTING A STATIONARY
FRONT THAT ENTERS THE E ATLC NEAR 32N28W TO 18N41W WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT. A WEAK AND
NARROWING SURFACE RIDGE IS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE E ATLC
EXTENDING JUST W OF CANARY TO 20N27W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
WALLACE





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