[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 301745 CCA
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE ALEX LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1232 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

CORRECTION FOR PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SECTION IN
OVERVIEW

...FLOOD THREAT INCREASING AS ALEX INCREASES IN SIZE AND HEADS
SLOWLY TOWARD THE COAST....

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN RIO GRANDE
VALLEY AND THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
KENEDY...COASTAL WILLACY AND COASTAL CAMERON.

A HURRICANE WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND WILLACY...INLAND CAMERON.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...STARR...HIDALGO.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...ZAPATA...JIM HOGG AND BROOKS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS OUT 60 NM BETWEEN BAFFIN BAY AND THE
MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE...INCLUDING THE LAGUNA MADRE.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. PLEASE
LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR
YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1000 AM THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED BY A
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.5
WEST. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/HR...BUT A TURN MORE TO THE WEST SHOULD BEGIN LATER TODAY. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE MAIN THREAT TO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
WILL THE POTENTIAL OF WIDESPREAD FLOODING WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
6 TO 12 INCHES WITH SOME LOCATIONS REACHING 12 TO 15 INCHES. THE
INCREASING SIZE OF ALEX BRINGS THE POTENTIAL FOR 20 INCHES IN A
WORSE CASE SCENARIO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CONTINUE TO
EXPAND...AND SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR
HURRICANE FORCE CAN BE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN CAMERON AND WILLACY
COUNTY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TIDES ARE ALSO RISING STEADILY...AND
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING MAY DEVELOP LATER TODAY ACROSS LOW LYING
AREAS OF COASTAL CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTY. FINALLY...THE TORNADO
THREAT IS INCREASING THIS MORNING AS MODERATE TO STRONG ROTATING
BANDS BEGIN TO MOVE ONSHORE.


WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

.TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE KING RANCH AND FALFURRIAS
SOUTH TO HIDALGO COUNTY AND EAST TO THE COAST...INCLUDING THE GULF
WATERS OUT TO 20 NM...UNTIL 8 PM. OUTER BANDS ARE PRODUCING
INTENSE SQUALLS...AND ROTATION WITHIN THEM MAY PRODUCE QUICK BUT
DANGEROUS TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS IN POOR FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS ARE URGED TO CONSIDER
EVACUATING TO HIGHER GROUND THIS MORNING! RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
ALEX MAY RIVAL OR IN A FEW CASES EXCEED TOTALS SEEN WITH HURRICANE
DOLLY IN 2008.

CORRECTION...CORRECTION...CORRECTION: THE QUEEN ISABELLA BRIDGE
REMAINS OPEN TO TRAFFIC UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

A MANDATORY REMOVAL OF ALL RECREATIONAL AND HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES FROM ALL CAMERON COUNTY PARKS IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT.
VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS ARE UNDERWAY FOR RESIDENTS OF SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND AND PORT ISABEL. THERE IS ALSO A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR
RESIDENTS IN WILLACY COUNTY. SHELTERS ARE CURRENTLY OPEN IN THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...PORTER HIGH SCHOOL AND OZANAM CENTER IN
BROWNSVILLE...LOAVES AND FISHES IN HARLINGEN...BARRERA ELEMENTARY
IN SANTA ROSA...AND RAYMONDVILLE HIGH SCHOOL. HARLINGEN SOUTH HIGH
SCHOOL WILL OPEN AS A SHELTER AT 6 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE
ARE 11 SHELTERS OPEN IN HIDALGO COUNTY...MOSTLY AT COUNTY SCHOOLS.
RESIDENTS OF HIDALGO COUNTY WHO LIVE IN MOBILE HOMES...OR IN
POORLY CONSTRUCTED WOOD FRAME HOMES...OR IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...ARE ADVISED TO EVACUATE.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE PROVIDED AS RECEIVED BY THIS
OFFICE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE AROUND OR BEFORE 5 PM CDT...OR AS
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-302230-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1131 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OCCURRING ACROSS THE LOWER
TEXAS GULF WATERS. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE MAY ARRIVE BY EARLY
EVENING. ALEX NOW MOVING MORE NORTHWESTERLY SINCE EARLY THIS
MORNING. TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 8 PM FOR LAGUNA MADRE AND WATERS OUT
TO 20 NM.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS IN
STRONGER BANDS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS WILL BUILD TO NEAR 20
FEET OFF SHORE AND 15 TO 19 FEET NEARSHORE THIS AFTERNOON.
HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS WILL ARRIVE IN THE GULF WATERS SOUTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD THIS EVENING AND COULD PUSH WEST INTO THE LAGUNA MADRE
OVERNIGHT. VISIBILITY WILL DROP TO NEAR ZERO IN BANDS.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
EMBEDDED WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE IN STRONGER BANDS AND SQUALLS
THROUGH THIS EVENING AS THE CORE OF ALEX SLOWLY TRACKS TOWARDS THE
COAST LATE TONIGHT. BOATERS SEEKING LAST MINUTE SAFETY SHOULD BE
AWARE FOR QUICK DEVELOPING WATERSPOUTS AND BE READY TO TAKE COVER
BELOW DECK AT A MOMENTS NOTICE.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-302230-
/O.COR.KBRO.HU.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
1131 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...FREQUENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
OCCURRING NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTY
IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE MAY ARRIVE IN THESE
AREAS BY EARLY EVENING. ALEX NOW MOVING SLIGHTLY MORE
NORTHWESTERLY SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING. TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 8 PM.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH...EXCEPT 60 MPH IN STRONGER BANDS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN HEAVIER BANDS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 TO
50 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE...75 MPH OR HIGHER...THIS
EVENING AS THE NORTHERN CORE OF ALEX EDGES CLOSE THE THE COAST. IN
RAIN BANDS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WILL CONTINUE IN SQUALLS
OVERNIGHT...WITH WINDS SLOWLY DIMINISHING THURSDAY AS ALEX MOVES
ONSHORE. WIND SPEEDS COULD BE HIGHER DEPENDING ON WHETHER ALEX
EDGES JUST A BIT FARTHER NORTHWARD.

IMPACT STATEMENT: DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED.

MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS
OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT
ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.

MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND
ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DOZENS OF
PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO
CITRUS ORCHARDS AND NEWLY PLANTED LOWLAND CROPS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS HAVE PRODUCED GENERA LY 2 TO 3 INCHES SINCE
TUESDAY NIGHT. HEAVIER BANDS TO BECOME MORE FREQUENT THROUGH THE
DAY WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES THROUGH SUNSET.
STEADY SQUALLS OVERNIGHT MAY DROP ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES BEFORE RAIN
TAPERS OFF ON THURSDAY. STORM TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 15 TO EVEN 20 INCHES WHERE
HEAVIER BANDS OF RAIN PERSIST ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

EXPECT CONDITIONS SIMILAR TO DOLLY IN 2008...BUT FOR A MORE
WIDESPREAD AREA WHICH MAY INCLUDE THE CITY OF BROWNSVILLE AND
OTHER LOCATIONS ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 5 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 2
AND 4 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET. NUMEROUS
MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. DRIVING IS HIGHLY
DISCOURAGED UNTIL WELL AFTER FLOOD WATERS RECEDE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES HAVE INCREASED TO NEARLY 2.5 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED AT GAGING
POINTS ALONG LAGUNA MADRE BAY. THE INCREASING SIZE AND INTENSITY
OF ALEX ALONG WITH AN EXPECTED LANDFALL JUST SOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH HIGHER WATERS ONTO THE DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS COAST. THE LATEST FORECAST SUGGESTS A STORM TIDE WHICH
COULD RANGE UP TO 6 FEET...RESULTING IN 2 TO 4 FEET OF INUNDATION
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. HIGHEST INUNDATION WOULD FAVOR AREAS WHERE
WATER POOLS...INCLUDING THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL
ENTRANCE...PORT ISABEL...AND LAGUNA VISTA. THE COMBINATION OF WAVE
SET UP...TIDE RUN UP...AND STORM SURGE WILL MAINTAIN WATER AT OR
NEAR THE DUNES TODAY...WHICH MAY ROLL THROUGH OPENINGS PARTICULARLY
AT NORTH END PUBLIC BEACH ACCESS POINTS BY AFTERNOON. SEA WALLS MAY
SEE OVERTOPPING LATER TODAY.

$$

TXZ254-255-302230-
/O.COR.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100701T1200Z/
INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
1131 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...OCCASIONAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
OCCURRING IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE MAY
ARRIVE EAST OF HIGHWAY 77 MAINLY IN CAMERON COUNTY BY EVENING. ALEX
NOW MOVING SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHWESTERLY SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING.
TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 8 PM.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS HAVE PRODUCED GENERA LY 2 TO 3 INCHES SINCE
TUESDAY NIGHT. HEAVIER BANDS TO BECOME MORE FREQUENT THROUGH THE
DAY WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES THROUGH SUNSET.
STEADY SQUALLS OVERNIGHT MAY DROP ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES BEFORE RAIN
TAPERS OFF ON THURSDAY. STORM TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 15 TO EVEN 20 INCHES WHERE
HEAVIER BANDS OF RAIN PERSIST ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

EXPECT CONDITIONS SIMILAR TO DOLLY IN 2008...BUT FOR A MORE
WIDESPREAD AREA WHICH MAY INCLUDE THE CITY OF BROWNSVILLE AND
OTHER LOCATIONS ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 5 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN
2 AND 4 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET.
NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. DRIVING
IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED UNTIL WELL AFTER FLOOD WATERS RECEDE.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH...EXCEPT 60 MPH IN STRONGER BANDS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN HEAVIER BANDS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 TO
50 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE...75 MPH OR HIGHER...THIS
EVENING AS THE NORTHERN CORE OF ALEX EDGES CLOSE THE THE COAST. IN
RAIN BANDS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH
WITH GUSTS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE WILL CONTINUE IN SQUALLS
OVERNIGHT...WITH WINDS SLOWLY DIMINISHING THURSDAY AS ALEX MOVES
ONSHORE. WIND SPEEDS COULD BE HIGHER DEPENDING ON WHETHER ALEX
EDGES JUST A BIT FARTHER NORTHWARD.

IMPACT STATEMENT: DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED.

MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS
OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT
ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.

MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND
ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DOZENS OF
PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO
CITRUS ORCHARDS AND NEWLY PLANTED LOWLAND CROPS.

$$

TXZ252-253-302230-
/O.COR.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100701T1200Z/
STARR-HIDALGO-
1131 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
OCCASIONAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN STRONGER RAIN
BANDS MOVING INTO HIDALGO COUNTY. GUSTS TO 60 MPH MAY ARRIVE EAST OF
HIGHWAY 281 BY EVENING. ALEX NOW MOVING SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHWESTERLY
SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING. TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 8 PM FOR HIDALGO
COUNTY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON IN HIDALGO COUNTY...AND 1 TO 2 INCHES IN STARR COUNTY
THROUGH SUNSET. HEAVIER BANDS WILL BECOME MORE FREQUENT BY EVENING
ESPECIALLY IN HIDALGO COUNTY AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS THE CORE OF
ALEX APPROACHES. AFTERNOON THROUGH OVERNIGHT RAIN MAY ADD UP TO
ANOTHER 4 TO 8 INCHES IN HIDALGO AND 4 TO 6 INCHES IN STARR
COUNTY. RAIN WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF FROM EAST TO WEST ON
THURSDAY. STORM TOTALS COULD RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 15 INCHES OR HIGHER WHERE HEAVIER BANDS OF RAIN
PERSIST ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

THESE TOTALS WILL BE SIMILAR TO THOSE EXPERIENCED WITH
DOLLY...HOWEVER THE LARGER SIZE OF ALEX WILL LIKELY PRODUCE MORE
WIDESPREAD HIGH TOTALS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 5 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN
2 AND 4 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET.
NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS
MORNING IS THE TIME FOR ANY LAST MINUTE EVACUATIONS OR
PREPAREDNESS SUPPLIES.

DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED UNTIL WELL AFTER FLOOD WATERS
RECEDE.

SEVERAL ARROYOS AND CREEKS WILL SURPASS BANK FULL...FOR UP TO
3 OR MORE HOURS BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
DEPENDING ON THE DURATION OF RAINFALL. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD
PRONE AREAS NEAR HIGHLY VOLATILE ARROYOS SHOULD CONSIDER
EVACUATING TO HIGHER GROUND TODAY.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 45 MPH IN SQUALLS THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF
30 TO 45 MPH AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 55 MPH TO ARRIVE IN BANDS
THIS EVENING...WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS REACHING
EASTERN HIDALGO COUNTY AFTER SUNSET AND FREQUENT TROPICAL STORM
FORCE GUSTS REACHING STARR COUNTY OVERNIGHT. WIND SPEEDS COULD BE
HIGHER IF ALEX MOVE A BIT FARTHER NORTH.

WIND IMPACTS: MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE
HOMES...ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR
CARPORTS. POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE
AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND
SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND
MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED
DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES...
ESPECIALLY EAST OF MCALLEN. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES
WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE
DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

$$

TXZ248>250-302230-
/O.COR.KBRO.TI.A.0002.000000T0000Z-100701T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-
1131 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A FEW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR IN STRONGER RAIN
BANDS MOVING INTO BROOKS COUNTY. ALEX NOW MOVING SLIGHTLY MORE
NORTHWESTERLY SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING. TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 8 PM
FOR BROOKS COUNTY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN BROOKS COUNTY
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN JIM HOGG AND ZAPATA COUNTY MAY
DROP AN INCH OF RAIN BEFORE 1 PM WHEN MORE FREQUENT BANDS SHOULD
BEGIN ARRIVING FROM THE EAST. HEAVIER BANDS WILL BECOME MORE FREQUENT
THIS AFTERNOON WITH RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 ADDITIONAL INCHES IN BROOKS
COUNTY...AND 1 TO 2 INCHES IN JIM HOGG COUNTY AND PARTS OF ZAPATA
COUNTY...BY SUNSET.

A CONTINUOUS RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD 2 TO 3
INCHES OVER A SHORT PERIODS OF TIME. BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF BY
NOON THURSDAY STORM TOTALS COULD RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES...BUT
COULD BE AS HIGH AS 12 OR MORE INCHES WHERE HEAVIER BANDS OF RAIN
PERSIST ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 4 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 2
AND 3 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET.
NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ANY LAST MINUTE PREPARATIONS OR
EVACUATIONS DECISIONS SHOULD BE DONE IMMEDIATELY.

SEVERAL ARROYOS AND CREEKS MAY SURPASS BANK FULL...FOR UP TO 3 OR
MORE HOURS BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY DEPENDING
ON THE DURATION OF RAINFALL. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS
NEAR HIGHLY VOLATILE ARROYOS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATING TO HIGHER
GROUND TODAY.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 TO 20 MPH THROUGH
THIS MORNING...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN RAIN BANDS. WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH
IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS...THEN REACH 25 TO 35 MPH...GUSTING TO 50
MPH IN THE STRONGEST SQUALLS OR RAIN BANDS AS ALEX MOVES INLAND
ALONG OR SOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
DIMINISH ON THURSDAY.

FOR WIND 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 MPH:

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR IN OLDER MOBILE HOME PARKS. NEWLY PLANTED
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. SOME
SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM TREES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE
UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...
INDOORS.

$$

52/BSG





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