[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jun 30 06:08:11 CDT 2010


WTUS84 KBRO 301107 PAA
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE ALEX LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
607 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...HURRICANE ALEX SLOWLY GAINING STRENGTH BRINGING HEAVY DOWNPOURS
TO MUCH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE VALLEY THIS MORNING...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN RIO GRANDE
VALLEY AND THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
KENEDY...COASTAL WILLACY AND COASTAL CAMERON.

A HURRICANE WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND WILLACY...INLAND CAMERON.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...STARR...HIDALGO.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...ZAPATA...JIM HOGG AND BROOKS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS OUT 60 NM BETWEEN BAFFIN BAY AND THE
MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE...INCLUDING THE LAGUNA MADRE.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. PLEASE
LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR
YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.3N...LONGITUDE 95.1W. THIS WAS ABOUT 235 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TX AND SOUTH PADRE ISLAND TX. STORM
MOTION WAS WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 80 MPH. ALEX IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN FURTHER BEFORE MAKING
LANDFALL SOMETIME LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
ALEX CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS SLOWLY
GAINING STRENGTH. OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS ALEX HAS SLOWED IT
FORWARD MOTION TO LESS THAN 10 MPH MOVING ON A WEST TO NORTHWEST
COURSE. DOPPLER RADAR IS INDICATING THAT HEAVY RAIN FROM OUTER RAIN
BANDS AND SQUALLS ARE BECOMING MORE FREQUENT AND INTENSE AS THE
CENTER SLOWLY TRACKS CLOSER TO THE COAST. GIVEN THE SLOW MOVEMENT
AND THE EXPECTED CONTINUATION OF HEAVY RAIN THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...THE MAIN THREAT TO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS WILL THE POTENTIAL OF WIDESPREAD FLOODING WITH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 15
INCHES. THE WIND FIELD OF ALEX IS EXPANDING IN SIZE WITH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD TO 200 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE
CENTER. THIS COULD BRING WINDS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER TO SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND BY LATE MORNING AND THE LOWER VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER VALLEY COULD SEE THE STRONGER WINDS BY THIS
EVENING OR TONIGHT. OVERALL...EXPECT CONDITIONS TO DETERIORATE
STEADILY OVER SOUTH PADRE ISLAND AND PORT ISABEL THROUGH THE
MORNING...THE LOWER VALLEY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND ELSEWHERE LATER
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.


WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A MANDATORY REMOVAL OF ALL RECREATIONAL AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES
FROM ALL CAMERON COUNTY PARKS IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. VOLUNTARY
EVACUATIONS ARE UNDERWAY FOR RESIDENTS OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND AND
PORT ISABEL. THERE IS ALSO A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR RESIDENTS IN
WILLACY COUNTY. SHELTERS ARE CURRENTLY OPEN IN THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...PORTER HIGH SCHOOL AND OZANAM CENTER IN
BROWNSVILLE...LOAVES AND FISHES IN HARLINGEN...BARRERA ELEMENTARY
IN SANTA ROSA...AND RAYMONDVILLE HIGH SCHOOL. HARLINGEN SOUTH HIGH
SCHOOL WILL OPEN AS A SHELTER AT 6 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE
ARE 11 SHELTERS OPEN IN HIDALGO COUNTY...MOSTLY AT COUNTY SCHOOLS.
RESIDENTS OF HIDALGO COUNTY WHO LIVE IN MOBILE HOMES...OR IN
POORLY CONSTRUCTED WOOD FRAME HOMES...OR IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...ARE ADVISED TO EVACUATE.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE PROVIDED AS RECEIVED BY THIS
OFFICE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE AROUND OR BEFORE 12 PM CDT.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-301915-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
607 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ALEX PEAK WINDS UP TO 80 MPH...TROPICAL FORCE WINDS EXTENDING
OUTWARD 200 MILE. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL BEGIN OVER THE GULF
AND LAGUNA MADRE WATERS LATER THIS MORNING.


...WINDS AND SEAS...
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS THIS MORNING
MORNING WITH SEAS CONTINUING BETWEEN 12 AND 14 FEET. RAIN BANDS
TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME MORE FREQUENT THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
WITH OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOTS IN STRONGER CELLS ALONG
WITH TORRENTIAL RAINS REDUCING VISIBILITY BELOW 1 NM.

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WINDS TO INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS...AND 45 TO 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS IN
STRONGER SQUALLS BY EVENING. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
WEDNESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING TO SOUTHEAST AT 25 TO 35 KNOTS DURING
THE DAY THURSDAY. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 20 TO 25 FEET OR MORE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
TROPICAL FUNNELS MAY FORM THROUGH THIS EVENING IN SOUTHWEST
MOVING BANDS...BUT WATERSPOUTS ARE UNLIKELY.

EMBEDDED WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE IN STRONGER BANDS AND SQUALLS
THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE CORE OF ALEX SLOWLY TRACKS TOWARDS THE
COAST LATE TONIGHT. BOATERS SEEKING LAST MINUTE SAFETY SHOULD BE
AWARE FOR QUICK DEVELOPING WATERSPOUTS AND BE READY TO TAKE COVER
AT A MOMENTS NOTICE.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-301915-
/O.COR.KBRO.HU.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
607 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ALEX PEAK WINDS UP TO 80 MPH...TROPICAL FORCE WINDS EXTENDING
OUTWARD 200 MILE. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL BEGIN OVER THE GULF
AND LAGUNA MADRE WATERS LATER THIS MORNING.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS TO RANGE 20 TO 25 KNOTS THIS MORNING
WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IN RAIN BANDS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO
35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH IN RAIN BANDS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE AROUND MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...WITH SOME
HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS IN THE STRONGEST SQUALLS ARRIVING WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. WINDS SPEEDS TO SLOWLY DIMINISHING THURSDAY.
WIND SPEEDS COULD BE HIGHER DEPENDING ON WHETHER ALEX STRENGTHENS
RAPIDLY THROUGH THE DAY OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE GULF.

IMPACT STATEMENT: DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED.

MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS
OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT
ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.

MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND
ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DOZENS OF
PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO
CITRUS ORCHARDS AND NEWLY PLANTED LOWLAND CROPS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE ONE HALF TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH
THE MORNING. HEAVIER BANDS TO BECOME MORE FREQUENT THROUGH THE DAY
WITH RAINFALL RATES INCREASING UP TO 3 INCHES PER HOURS AT TIMES.
A CONTINUOUS RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD 3 TO 5
INCHES OVER A SHORT PERIODS OF TIME. BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF
BY NOON THURSDAY STORM TOTALS COULD RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 15 TO 20 INCHES WHERE HEAVIER BANDS OF
RAIN PERSIST ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 4 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 2
AND 3 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET.
NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED
UNTIL WELL AFTER FLOOD WATERS RECEDE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT REMAINS DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHT OF THE STORM
TIDE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS ALONG THE DEEP SOUTH TEXAS COAST
GIVEN REMAINING UNCERTAINTY IN SIZE AND INTENSITY...AND TO A
LESSER DEGREE TRACK OF ALEX. THE LATEST FORECAST SUGGESTS A STORM
TIDE WHICH COULD RANGE UP TO 6 FEET...RESULTING IN 2 TO 4 FEET OF
INUNDATION ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. HIGHEST INUNDATION WOULD FAVOR
AREAS WHERE WATER POOLS...INCLUDING THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL
ENTRANCE...PORT ISABEL...AND LAGUNA VISTA. THE COMBINATION OF
WAVE SET UP...TIDE RUN UP...AND STORM SURGE WILL BRING WATER TO
THE DUNES BY HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND COULD BREACH THE
SEA WALLS WEDNESDAY EVENING.



...TORNADOES...
TROPICAL TORNADOES TO BECOME AN INCREASING THREAT TODAY AND
TONIGHT AS THE CORE OF ALEX APPROACHES THE COAST LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE OUTER BANDS COULD PRODUCE AN
ISOLATED SHORT LIVED TORNADO. TROPICAL TORNADOES CAN OCCUR WITH
LITTLE OR NO WARNING.

$$

TXZ254-255-301915-
/O.COR.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100701T1200Z/
INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
607 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ALEX PEAK WINDS UP TO 80 MPH...TROPICAL FORCE WINDS EXTENDING
OUTWARD 200 MILE. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL BEGIN OVER THE GULF
AND LAGUNA MADRE WATERS LATER THIS MORNING.


...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE ONE HALF TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH
THE MORNING. HEAVIER BANDS TO BECOME MORE FREQUENT THROUGH THE DAY
WITH RAINFALL RATES INCREASING UP TO 3 INCHES PER HOURS AT TIMES.
A CONTINUOUS RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD 3 TO 5
INCHES OVER A SHORT PERIODS OF TIME. BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF
BY NOON THURSDAY STORM TOTALS COULD RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 15 TO 20 INCHES WHERE HEAVIER BANDS OF
RAIN PERSIST ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 5 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN
2 AND 4 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET.
NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED
UNTIL WELL AFTER FLOOD WATERS RECEDE.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS WILL NEAR 20 TO 25 MPH THIS MORNING WITH
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN SQUALLS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 30
TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH IN SQUALL WILL ARRIVE AROUND
MIDDAY WEDNESDAY OR LATER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL
HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLY ARRIVING WEDNESDAY EVENING MAINLY
WITH STRONG SQUALLS TONIGHT. THE HIGHER GUSTS TO BECOME MORE FREQUENT
OVERNIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING THURSDAY. WIND SPEEDS COULD
BE HIGHER DEPENDING ON WHETHER ALEX STRENGTHENS THROUGH THE DAY AS
IT MOVES SLOWLY IN THE OPEN WATERS OF THE GULF.

IMPACT STATEMENT: DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED.

MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS
OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT
ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.

MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND
ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DOZENS OF
PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO
CITRUS ORCHARDS AND NEWLY PLANTED LOWLAND CROPS.

...TORNADOES...
TROPICAL TORNADOES TO BECOME AN INCREASING THREAT TODAY AND
TONIGHT AS THE CORE OF ALEX APPROACHES THE COAST LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE OUTER BANDS COULD PRODUCE AN
ISOLATED SHORT LIVED TORNADO. TROPICAL TORNADOES CAN OCCUR WITH
LITTLE OR NO WARNING.

$$

TXZ252-253-301915-
/O.COR.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100701T1200Z/
STARR-HIDALGO-
607 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ALEX PEAK WINDS UP TO 80 MPH...TROPICAL FORCE WINDS EXTENDING
OUTWARD 200 MILE. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL BEGIN OVER THE GULF
AND LAGUNA MADRE WATERS LATER THIS MORNING.


...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE ONE HALF TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH
THE MORNING. HEAVIER BANDS TO BECOME MORE FREQUENT THROUGH THE DAY
WITH RAINFALL RATES INCREASING UP TO 3 INCHES PER HOURS AT TIMES.
A CONTINUOUS RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD 3 TO 5
INCHES OVER A SHORT PERIODS OF TIME. BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF
BY NOON THURSDAY STORM TOTALS COULD RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 15 TO 20 INCHES WHERE HEAVIER BANDS OF
RAIN PERSIST ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 5 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN
2 AND 4 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET.
NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED
UNTIL WELL AFTER FLOOD WATERS RECEDE.

SEVERAL ARROYOS AND CREEKS WILL SURPASS BANK FULL...FOR UP TO
3 OR MORE HOURS BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
DEPENDING ON THE DURATION OF RAINFALL. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD
PRONE AREAS NEAR HIGHLY VOLATILE ARROYOS SHOULD CONSIDER
EVACUATING TO HIGHER GROUND TODAY.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 15 TO 20 MPH THIS MORNING
WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN RAIN BANDS. WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE
NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IN SQUALLS THIS
AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH AND
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 55 MPH TO ARRIVE IN BANDS THIS EVENING...WITH
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS REACHING EASTERN HIDALGO
COUNTY TONIGHT AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS REACHING STARR
COUNTY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WIND SPEEDS COULD BE HIGHER DEPENDING ON
WHETHER ALEX STRENGTHENS RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT IN THE OPEN
WATERS OF THE GULF.

WIND IMPACTS: MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE
HOMES...ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR
CARPORTS. POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE
AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND
SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND
MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED
DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES...
ESPECIALLY EAST OF MCALLEN. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES
WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE
DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...TORNADOES...
TROPICAL TORNADOES TO BECOME AN INCREASING THREAT TODAY AND
TONIGHT AS THE CORE OF ALEX APPROACHES THE COAST LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE OUTER BANDS COULD PRODUCE AN
ISOLATED SHORT LIVED TORNADO. TROPICAL TORNADOES CAN OCCUR WITH
LITTLE OR NO WARNING.

$$

TXZ248>250-301915-
/O.COR.KBRO.TI.A.0002.000000T0000Z-100701T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-
607 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ALEX PEAK WINDS UP TO 80 MPH...TROPICAL FORCE WINDS EXTENDING
OUTWARD 200 MILE. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL BEGIN OVER THE GULF
AND LAGUNA MADRE WATERS LATER THIS MORNING.


...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN THROUGH THE
MORNING. HEAVIER BANDS TO BECOME MORE FREQUENT THROUGH THE DAY
WITH RAINFALL RATES INCREASING UP TO 3 INCHES PER HOURS AT TIMES.
A CONTINUOUS RAIN IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD 2 TO 3 INCHES
OVER A SHORT PERIODS OF TIME. BEFORE THE RAIN TAPERS OFF BY NOON
THURSDAY STORM TOTALS COULD RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 FROM JIM HOGG THROUGH
BROOKS COUNTY...BUT COULD BE AS HIGH AS 10 OR MORE INCHES WHERE
HEAVIER BANDS OF RAIN PERSIST ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 4 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 2
AND 3 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET.
NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED
UNTIL WELL AFTER FLOOD WATERS RECEDE.

SEVERAL ARROYOS AND CREEKS WILL SURPASS BANK FULL...FOR UP TO
3 OR MORE HOURS BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
DEPENDING ON THE DURATION OF RAINFALL. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD
PRONE AREAS NEAR HIGHLY VOLATILE ARROYOS SHOULD CONSIDER
EVACUATING TO HIGHER GROUND TODAY.

...TORNADOES...
TROPICAL TORNADOES TO BECOME AN INCREASING THREAT TODAY AND
TONIGHT AS THE CORE OF ALEX APPROACHES THE COAST LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE OUTER BANDS COULD PRODUCE AN
ISOLATED SHORT LIVED TORNADO. TROPICAL TORNADOES CAN OCCUR WITH
LITTLE OR NO WARNING.


...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 TO 20 MPH THROUGH
THIS MORNING...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN RAIN BANDS. WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH
IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS...THEN REACH 25 TO 35 MPH...GUSTING TO 50
MPH IN THE STRONGEST SQUALLS OR RAIN BANDS AS ALEX MOVES INLAND
ALONG OR SOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
ON THURSDAY.

FOR WIND 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 MPH:

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR IN OLDER MOBILE HOME PARKS. NEWLY PLANTED
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. SOME
SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM TREES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE
UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...
INDOORS.

$$


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