[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 292239 PAA
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ALEX LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
539 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...ALEX CONTINUING TO GRADUALLY MOVE TOWARD THE COAST...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN RIO GRANDE
VALLEY AND THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
KENEDY...COASTAL WILLACY AND COASTAL CAMERON.

A HURRICANE WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
INLAND WILLACY...INLAND CAMERON.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...STARR...HIDALGO.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...ZAPATA...JIM HOGG AND BROOKS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS OUT 60 NM BETWEEN BAFFIN BAY AND
THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE...INCLUDING THE LAGUNA MADRE.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN
EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 4 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.2N...LONGITUDE 94.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 280 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TX AND SOUTH PADRE ISLAND TX. STORM
MOTION WAS NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS
70 MPH. ALEX IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
ALEX CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY...AND HAS A LARGE ENVELOPE
OF CIRCULATION COVERING THE ENTIRE WESTERN HALF OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. THE CORE OF ALEX...WHERE THE STRONGEST WINDS NEAR
HURRICANE FORCE ARE BEING OBSERVED...IS MUCH SMALLER...ABOUT 30 TO
70 MILES IN DIAMETER. THEREFORE...THE PRIMARY IMPACT FOR ALL OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WILL BE INLAND FLOODING FROM 12 TO 18 HOURS OF
TORRENTIAL RAINS...WITH SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE IMPACTS MORE
LIKELY TOWARD THE COAST INCLUDING CAMERON...WILLACY...AND EASTERN
HIDALGO COUNTY. CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN THE LOWER
VALLEY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND ELSEWHERE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

.TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED IN OUTER RAIN BANDS
BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THESE TORNADOES WILL BE QUICK AND SMALL...BUT CAN BE VERY
DANGEROUS A LIFE THREATENING. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT TO RAPIDLY
DEVELOPING TORNADOES OVERNIGHT...AND SET NOAA WEATHER RADIOS IN
ALERT MODE BEFORE RETIRING.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS UNDERWAY FOR ALL RECREATIONAL VEHICLES
AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES FROM ALL COUNTY PARKS ON SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS ARE UNDERWAY FOR RELOCATION FOR
RESIDENTS OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND AND PORT ISABEL. ADDITIONAL
VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS MAY BE PLACED IN EFFECT LATER TODAY AS ALEX
DEVELOPS AND CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE COAST. LOCAL SHELTERING
IS ALSO UNDERWAY IN SOME AREAS.

RESIDENTS SHOULD COMPLETE THEIR PREPARATIONS TODAY. THOSE LIVING
IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...PARTICULARLY WHERE POOR DRAINAGE CAUSED
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE FROM HIGH WATER DURING HURRICANE DOLLY...ARE
URGED TO SEEK REFUGE AT HIGHER LOCATIONS. SANDBAGS ARE AVAILABLE
FOR MANY COMMUNITIES IN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. CHECK WITH LOCAL
OFFICIALS FOR DETAILS ON LOCATIONS AND LIMITATIONS ON SANDBAGS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE PROVIDED AS RECEIVED BY THIS
OFFICE.


&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE AROUND OR BEFORE 11 PM CDT.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-300430-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
539 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM ALEX HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND CONTINUES TO
MOVE TOWARD THE COAST. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL BEGIN OVER THE
GULF AND LAGUNA MADRE WATERS ON OR BEFORE DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND GUSTY BY THIS EVENING
AS SEAS CONTINUE TO BUILD...REACHING 10 FEET. OUTER BAND RAIN
SQUALLS WILL INTENSIFY BEFORE DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY WITH OCCASIONAL
WIND GUSTS REACHING 35 TO 45 KNOTS IN STRONGER CELLS ALONG WITH
TORRENTIAL RAINS REDUCING VISIBILITY BELOW 1 NM.

ON WEDNESDAY...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS
TO 60 KNOTS BY NOON...AND 45 TO 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 TO
75 KNOTS IN STRONGER SQUALLS BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING
TO SOUTHEAST AT 25 TO 35 KNOTS DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. SEAS WILL
BUILD TO 20 TO 25 FEET OR MORE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

...WATERSPOUTS...
TROPICAL FUNNELS MAY FORM THROUGH THIS EVENING IN SOUTHWEST
MOVING BANDS...BUT WATERSPOUTS ARE UNLIKELY.

EMBEDDED WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE IN OUTER BANDS BEGINNING
OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE THE CORE OF ALEX ARRIVES
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BOATERS SEEKING LAST MINUTE
SAFETY SHOULD BE AWARE FOR QUICK DEVELOPING WATERSPOUTS AND BE
READY TO TAKE COVER AT A MOMENTS NOTICE.

$$

TXZ251-256-257-300430-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
539 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM ALEX HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND CONTINUES TO
MOVE TOWARD THE COAST. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL BEGIN OVER
COASTAL PORTIONS OF CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES BY DAYBREAK
WEDNESDAY.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 TO 20 MPH THIS
EVENING...WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN RAIN BANDS. WINDS WILL INCREASE
TO 15 TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN RAIN BANDS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE AROUND MIDDAY
WEDNESDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARRIVING AS EARLY AS SUNSET
AND CONTINUING THROUGH MIDNIGHT OR LATER BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING
THURSDAY. WIND SPEEDS COULD BE HIGHER DEPENDING ON WHETHER ALEX
STRENGTHENS RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT IN THE OPEN WATERS OF THE
GULF.

IMPACT STATEMENT: DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED.

MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS
OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT
ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.

MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND
ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DOZENS OF
PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO
CITRUS ORCHARDS AND NEWLY PLANTED LOWLAND CROPS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE ONE HALF TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES
OF RAIN THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. HEAVIER BANDS WILL ARRIVE AFTER
MIDNIGHT INTO MIDDAY WEDNESDAY WITH ANOTHER HALF TO ONE AND ONE
HALF INCHES OF RAIN. SQUALLS WILL FOLLOW WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY NOON
THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 7 TO 10 INCHES BUT
COULD BE AS HIGH AS 12 INCHES WHERE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FALL.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 5 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 2
AND 4 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET.
NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED
UNTIL WELL AFTER FLOOD WATERS RECEDE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT REMAINS DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHT OF THE STORM
TIDE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS ALONG THE DEEP SOUTH TEXAS COAST
GIVEN REMAINING UNCERTAINTY IN SIZE AND INTENSITY...AND TO A
LESSER DEGREE TRACK OF ALEX. THE LATEST FORECAST SUGGESTS A STORM
TIDE WHICH COULD RANGE UP TO 6 FEET...RESULTING IN 2 TO 4 FEET OF
INUNDATION ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. HIGHEST INUNDATION WOULD FAVOR
AREAS WHERE WATER POOLS...INCLUDING THE BROWNSVILLE SHIP CHANNEL
ENTRANCE...PORT ISABEL...AND LAGUNA VISTA. THE COMBINATION OF WAVE
SET UP...TIDE RUN UP...AND STORM SURGE WILL BRING WATER TO THE
DUNES BY HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND COULD BREACH THE SEA
WALLS WEDNESDAY EVENING.


$$

TXZ254-255-300430-
/O.CON.KBRO.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100701T1200Z/
INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
539 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM ALEX HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND CONTINUES TO
MOVE TOWARD THE COAST. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL BEGIN OVER
PORTIONS OF CAMERON AND WILLACY COUNTIES BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE ONE HALF TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES
OF RAIN THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. HEAVIER BANDS WILL ARRIVE AFTER
MIDNIGHT INTO MIDDAY WEDNESDAY WITH ANOTHER HALF TO ONE AND ONE
HALF INCHES OF RAIN. SQUALLS WILL FOLLOW WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY NOON
THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 7 TO 10 INCHES BUT
COULD BE AS HIGH AS 12 INCHES WHERE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FALL.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 5 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 2
AND 4 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET.
NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED
UNTIL WELL AFTER FLOOD WATERS RECEDE.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 TO 20 MPH THIS
EVENING...WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN RAIN BANDS. WINDS WILL INCREASE
TO 15 TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN RAIN BANDS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE AROUND MIDDAY
WEDNESDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLY ARRIVING AS EARLY
AS SUNSET AND CONTINUING THROUGH MIDNIGHT OR LATER BEFORE SLOWLY
DIMINISHING THURSDAY. WIND SPEEDS COULD BE HIGHER DEPENDING ON
WHETHER ALEX STRENGTHENS RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT IN THE OPEN
WATERS OF THE GULF.

IMPACT STATEMENT: DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED.

MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS
OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT
ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.

MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND
ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DOZENS OF
PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO
CITRUS ORCHARDS AND NEWLY PLANTED LOWLAND CROPS.

$$

TXZ252-253-300430-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100701T1200Z/
STARR-HIDALGO-
539 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM ALEX HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND CONTINUES TO
MOVE TOWARD THE COAST. IMPACTS FROM INLAND FLOODING AND WIND WILL
BEGIN OVER HIDALGO COUNTY BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...AND STARR COUNTY
TOWARD EVENING WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE ONE HALF TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES
OF RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. HEAVIER BANDS WILL ARRIVE
WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH ANOTHER HALF TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES
OF RAIN BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. SQUALLS WILL FOLLOW LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
TAPERING OFF BY NOON THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE
FROM 7 TO 10 INCHES BUT COULD BE AS HIGH AS 12 INCHES WHERE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FALL.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 5 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 2
AND 4 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET.
NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED
UNTIL WELL AFTER FLOOD WATERS RECEDE.

SEVERAL ARROYOS AND CREEKS WILL SURPASS BANK FULL...FOR UP TO 3
OR MORE HOURS BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
DEPENDING ON THE DURATION OF RAINFALL. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD
PRONE AREAS NEAR HIGHLY VOLATILE ARROYOS SHOULD CONSIDER
EVACUATING TO HIGHER GROUND TODAY.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 TO 20 MPH THIS
EVENING...WITH GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 MPH IN RAIN BANDS. WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH OVERNIGHT...WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN RAIN
BANDS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE IN
BANDS BY MID AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY...WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS REACHING EASTERN HIDALGO COUNTY BY LATE AFTERNOON AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS REACHING STARR COUNTY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE EVENT: IN HIDALGO COUNTY...SUSTAINED
WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH FROM
MCALLEN EAST...AND 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WEST OF
MCALLEN. IN STARR COUNTY...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL RISE FROM 25 TO
35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 TO 55 MPH. WIND SPEEDS COULD BE HIGHER
DEPENDING ON WHETHER ALEX STRENGTHENS RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
IN THE OPEN WATERS OF THE GULF.

WIND IMPACTS: MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE
HOMES...ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR
CARPORTS. POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE
AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND
SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND
MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED
DOWN RESULTING IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES...
ESPECIALLY EAST OF MCALLEN. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES
WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE
DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

$$

TXZ248>250-300430-
/O.CON.KBRO.TI.A.0002.000000T0000Z-100701T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-
539 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM ALEX HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND CONTINUES TO
MOVE TOWARD THE COAST. IMPACTS FROM INLAND FLOODING AND WIND WILL
BEGIN OVER BROOKS...JIM HOGG...AND ZAPATA COUNTY WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

...INLAND FLOODING...
OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NOON. HEAVIER BANDS WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...EARLIER IN BROOKS COUNTY...WITH ANOTHER HALF TO ONE
AND ONE HALF INCHES OF RAIN BY EVENING. SQUALLS WILL FOLLOW
WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO EARLY THURSDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURING
THE AFTERNOON THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO
9 INCHES IN ZAPATA COUNTY...4 TO 8 INCHES FROM JIM HOGG THROUGH
BROOKS COUNTY...BUT COULD BE AS HIGH AS 10 OR MORE INCHES WHERE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FALL.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RESIDENTS CAN
PLAN ON THE FOLLOWING IMPACTS:

THIS MAY BECOME A DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION! PERSONS LIVING IN OR
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATION IMMEDIATELY.
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL OCCUR IN THESE LOCATIONS. MINOR
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS. SOME POWER OUTAGES
ARE EXPECTED.

WATER LEVELS IN VERY POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL APPROACH 5 FEET OR
HIGHER. OTHER POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS WILL HAVE RISES BETWEEN 2
AND 4 FEET. ELSEWHERE...EXPECT WATER RISES TO 1 TO 2 FEET.
NUMEROUS MAIN ROADS WILL BE CLOSED. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED
UNTIL WELL AFTER FLOOD WATERS RECEDE.

SEVERAL ARROYOS AND CREEKS WILL SURPASS BANK FULL...FOR UP TO 3
OR MORE HOURS BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
DEPENDING ON THE DURATION OF RAINFALL. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD
PRONE AREAS NEAR HIGHLY VOLATILE ARROYOS SHOULD CONSIDER
EVACUATING TO HIGHER GROUND TODAY.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT 10 TO 20 MPH THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 MPH IN RAIN BANDS.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH GUSTS
TO 35 MPH IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS...THEN REACH 30 TO 45 MPH IN
BROOKS COUNTY AFTER SUNSET AND 25 TO 35 MPH ELSEWHERE...GUSTING
TO 60 MPH IN BROOKS COUNTY AND 45 TO 50 MPH ELSEWHERE IN SQUALLS
AS ALEX MOVES INLAND ALONG OR SOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH ON THURSDAY.

FOR WIND 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 MPH:

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR IN OLDER MOBILE HOME PARKS. NEWLY PLANTED
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. SOME
SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM TREES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE
UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...
INDOORS.

$$



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