[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KCRP 291029
HLSCRP

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ALEX LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
529 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...ALEX IS SLOWLY STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING
CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...KLEBERG...NUECES...SAN
PATRICIO...ARANSAS...REFUGIO AND CALHOUN.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...WEBB...DUVAL AND JIM WELLS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.7N...LONGITUDE 91.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 530 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARANSAS TX...OR ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF PORT OCONNOR TX. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASED
TO 8 MPH. STORM INTENSITY HAS WAS 70 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

TROPICAL STORM ALEX...WITH 70 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS AND ITS CENTER
LOCATED AT 21.7 NORTH AND 91.9 WEST OR ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF BROWNSVILLE...IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN INTO A
CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE TODAY AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL JUST
SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS...OR NORTHEAST MEXICO LATE WEDNESDAY OR
EARLY THURSDAY. THE STORM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD AT 8 MPH AND
IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS AND AN INTERIOR SOUTH TEXAS LANDFALL
REMAINS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...THIS IS A LARGE SYSTEM AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY EXTEND WELL NORTH
OF THE EYE OF THE STORM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO THURSDAY MORNING. GIVEN THE
CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE MAIN THREAT TO THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND
AREA WILL LIKELY BE FROM HEAVY RAINFALL OF 3 TO 8 INCHES AND
ASSOCIATED FLOODING. HOWEVER..IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT
WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A GENERAL
CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST MINOR DAMAGE
ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH TEXAS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH.
COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY DUE TO 2 TO 5 FOOT STORM SURGE.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO
COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.
HEAVY RAIN ON WEDNESDAY WILL MAKE FOR DIFFICULTIES IN MOST
PREPARATIONS. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL
OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR
FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY
COMPLETE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY
OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE
LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES
AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE
WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS
RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI AROUND 11 AM CDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

TXZ242>247-301030-
/O.CON.KCRP.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100702T0000Z/
/O.CON.KCRP.TR.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
529 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT
THURSDAY...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING WAS ISSUED OVERNIGHT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE ON WEDNESDAY WITH BANDS
OF HEAVY RAIN AND INCREASING WIND. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND
HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 8 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 52 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ALEX APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
INTO EARLY THURSDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WOULD BE SOUTH OF PORT
ARANSAS. MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS
SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE... AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM ALEX APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO
3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING
INCLUDE LOW LYING AREAS...STREETS AND POOR DRAINAGE

THE IMPACT OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. REMEMBER THAT SURGE WATERS OFTEN ARRIVE WELL
BEFORE THE STRONG WINDS...CAUSING SIGNIFICANT BEACH FLOODING
AND EROSION. STAY AWAY FROM JETTIES...THE THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS
WILL BE MODERATE TODAY AND HIGH ON WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS AN ELEVATED THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM COASTAL
FLOODING...POTENTIALLY HAVING A LOW BUT NOTABLE IMPACT. THE
CONCERN IS FOR THE CHANCE OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR IN
AREAS WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...RESULTING IN SHALLOW INUNDATION. IF
REALIZED...PEOPLE WITHIN THE THREATENED AREAS WHO FAILED TO ACT
ACCORDING TO THEIR PERSONAL DISASTER PLAN WILL HAVE NEEDLESSLY
PLACED THEMSELVES AT SOME MEASURE OF RISK.

MANY HOMES AND BUSINESSES ALONG THE SHORELINE...OR IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE SOME WATER ENTERING INSIDE...
ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE STRUCTURES NOT RAISED OR PROTECTED BY A
SEAWALL.  HIGHER WAVES AND POUNDING SURF WILL INCREASE THE
LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE NEAR THE COAST...ESPECIALLY IN
EXPOSED LOCATIONS. SOME CARS MAY TAKE ON WATER OR EVEN BECOME
DISPLACED.

MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR...WHICH MAY BECOME SUBSTANTIAL
IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE HIGH TIDES. SEVERAL ROADS
IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL LIKELY BE CLOSED.

...INLAND FLOODING...
HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS...IS
EXPECTED AND THE RUNOFF MAY CAUSE AREAS OF FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR HEAVY RAIN WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.


$$

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-301030-
/O.CON.KCRP.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
529 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING WAS ISSUED OVERNIGHT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 57 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY MORNING OVER THE
OFFSHORE WATERS...REACHING THE BAYS LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
INCREASING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ALEX APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SEAS
ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 FEET AND PERSIST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING THURSDAY MORNING.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
WHEN BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN ARRIVE ON WEDNESDAY THE THREAT FOR
WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE.

$$

TXZ239>241-301030-
/O.NEW.KCRP.TI.A.0002.100629T1029Z-100702T0000Z/
WEBB-DUVAL-JIM WELLS-
529 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR INLAND COUNTIES
ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 44.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 48 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO
BEGIN WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND PEAK DURING WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
HEAVY RAIN BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. RAINFALL OF 2 TO 6 INCHES MAY CAUSE
LOCAL FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED.

$$

TARDY




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