[Tropical] Tropical Weather Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

AXNT20 KNHC 021628
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED JUN 02 2010

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1545 UTC...

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 16W TO THE SOUTH OF 10N
MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN
CLUSTERS FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 20W AND 23W. OTHER SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE FROM 4N TO 8N BETWEEN 14W AND 25W.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 34W TO THE SOUTH OF 10N
MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT. ANY NEARBY PRECIPITATION IS IN THE ITCZ.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 45W TO THE SOUTH OF 10N
MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT. ANY NEARBY PRECIPITATION IS IN THE ITCZ.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 66W/67W TO THE SOUTH OF
11N MOVING WESTWARD 10 KT. IT IS MOVING THROUGH VENEZUELA.
ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE IN VENEZUELA TO THE SOUTH OF 6N
MOVING SOUTHWARD. IT IS NOT KNOWN IF THIS PRECIPITATION IS
RELATED TO THE WAVE.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 76W SOUTH OF 11N MOVING
WEST 10 KT. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN CLUSTERS IN
THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 9N TO 12N
BETWEEN 76W AND 82W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 10N83W...CROSSING THE
COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.
THIS WAVE IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC FLOW. ANY PRECIPITATION IS IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN.

...THE ITCZ...

FROM 7N17W TO 5N24W 6N33 5N38W 6N44W...INTO FRENCH GUIANA AND
SURINAME NEAR 5N56W. THE GUINEA COAST NEAR 9N13W TO 3N30W
4N42W...INTO NORTHEASTERN BRAZIL AND FRENCH GUIANA NEAR 4N53W.
ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS TO LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FROM 4N TO 9N BETWEEN 30W AND 47W. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS
ALONG 11N55W 8N57W TO 3N59W ALONG THE GUYANA/BRAZIL BORDER.
THE ITCZ PASSES THROUGH 5N56W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS COVER
THE AREA FROM 3N TO 7N BETWEEN 57W AND 60W...AND OVER LAND IN
FRENCH GUIANA AND COASTAL SECTIONS OF SURINAME.

...DISCUSSION...

FROM THE NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS...BEYOND 31N74W IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN...ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SPANS THIS
AREA.

FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 31N77W...ACROSS FLORIDA...
INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 31N77W
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...ACROSS FLORIDA...TO 24N86W IN THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. AT LEAST 0NE INCH OF RAIN WAS OBSERVED
IN FREEPORT IN THE BAHAMAS FOR THE 24-HOUR TIME PERIOD ENDING
AT 02/1200 UTC.

THE REST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH MISSISSIPPI
AND EASTERN LOUISIANA INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO TO 27N91W IN THE
NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. SHOWERS ARE TO THE NORTH OF 28N
BETWEEN 85W/86W IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE TEXAS GULF COAST
NEAR 95W.

THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
THE SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN IS COMPARATIVELY WEAK AND FLAT
AT THE MOMENT. THE SURFACE WIND FLOW IS FROM THE SOUTHEAST.
BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ACCOMPANIES THE RIDGE
THAT EXTENDS FROM NICARAGUA BEYOND THE WINDWARD PASSAGE.

THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A TROUGH ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY PASSES THROUGH 32N52W TO 27N54W
TO 16N56W. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
FROM THE END OF A COLD FRONT...THAT IS NEAR 30N35W...TO 22N50W
20N62W TO 22N74W IN THE BAHAMAS. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORMS COVER THE AREA FROM THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR
16N65W...ACROSS THE EASTERN TIP OF PUERTO RICO INTO THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN...FROM 20N TO 25N BETWEEN 65W AND 75W...
AND FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 52W AND 62W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MT





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