[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 231318
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
818 AM CDT FRI JUL 23 2010

...TROPICAL STORM BONNIE APPROACHING SOUTH FLORIDA AND WILL MOVE INTO
THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF BY TONIGHT...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN
COASTAL ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL
WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
UPPER MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...LOWER BALDWIN...
INLAND ESCAMBIA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...COASTAL
SANTA ROSA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND COASTAL OKALOOSA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL
OF GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 7 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.7N...LONGITUDE 79.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 650 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE AL...OR ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
PENSACOLA FL. BONNIE WAS MOVING QUICKLY TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 19
MPH...WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD
ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...EMERGING OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT. BONNIE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
MOVING TO THE WEST...NORTHWEST TOWARDS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY.

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.

IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES FOR
SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY
OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN INLAND
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE
ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY
OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN
TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE
LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL
PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE
DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER
DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR
LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.


&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 11 AM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-241330-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.A.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
818 AM CDT FRI JUL 23 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE CONDITIONS
DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. STRONGLY
CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO SO IF
ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 35 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BONNIE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IS LIKELY TO INCREASE LATE SATURDAY
INTO EARLY SUNDAY ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM BONNIE. MUCH DEPENDS
ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. SOME COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AS TIDES
WILL RUN 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LATE SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
WHILE BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO BE A FAST MOVING SYSTEM...LOCALIZED
FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER INLAND AREAS THIS
WEEKEND.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SURF CONDITIONS ALONG THE BEACHES WILL BECOME ROUGH SATURDAY AS
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHEAST. ALONG WITH THE
ROUGH SURF...THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED RISK FOR DANGEROUS LIFE
THREATENING RIP CURRENTS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY ALONG AREA BEACHES.

&&

$$

GMZ630-650-655-670-675-241330-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
818 AM CDT FRI JUL 23 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST
STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 47 PERCENT OFFSHORE...35 PERCENT NEAR SHORE. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN OFFSHORE LATE SATURDAY MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BONNIE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
WINDS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE IS LIKELY TO INCREASE LATE
SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE SATURDAY TO EARLY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. SEAS WILL BUILD TO NEAR 10 FEET OFFSHORE LATE SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY.


$$

GARMON



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