[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 231015 PAA
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
615 AM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010

...TROPICAL STORM BONNIE APPROACHING SOUTH FLORIDA...
...HEAVY SQUALLS WILL MOVE ONSHORE LATER THIS MORNING...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...COASTAL BROWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE...COASTAL MIAMI DADE AND FAR
SOUTH MIAMI DADE.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND MIAMI DADE AND METRO MIAMI
DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ATLANTIC WATERS OF BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE COUNTIES OUT
60 NAUTICAL MILES INCLUDING BISCAYNE BAY AS WELL AS THE COASTAL
WATERS OF COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
COASTAL PALM BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH AND METRO PALM
BEACH.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS THE WATERS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY AS WELL AS LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. PLEASE
LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR
YOUR AREA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.1N...LONGITUDE 78.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 155 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 240 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS WNW AT 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
WERE 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE IS ON TRACK TO MOVE ACROSS
THE FLORIDA STRAITS AND PASS OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND VERY CLOSE
TO THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY. REGARDLESS OF
THE EXACT TRACK OF THE CENTER OF BONNIE...IMPACTS FROM THE STORM
WILL BE FELT OVER THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED OVER BROWARD...MIAMI-DADE AND COLLIER
COUNTIES AS WELL AS MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY...WITH LESSER IMPACTS
IN THE PALM BEACHES AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION. THE MAIN AREA OF
SHOWERS AND SQUALLS IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE AT THE SOUTHEAST COAST
AROUND 10 AM, MOVING RAPIDLY WEST ACROSS THE PENINSULA DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IT IS IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THAT TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS CAN BE DANGEROUS. AS A RESULT, OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES SHOULD BE LIMITED TODAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS AREA WIDE
THROUGH TONIGHT ARE FORECAST TO BE 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO 5 INCHES. THIS IS CAPABLE OF CAUSING
FLOODING MAINLY IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SUCH AS COASTAL LOCATIONS
WHICH ARE VULNERABLE TO TIDAL EFFECTS. THERE IS ALSO THE
POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA
TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECTION LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY MID-MORNING ALONG THE EAST COAST
AND BY MIDDAY OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE
FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE
SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND
CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU CAN ALSO GO
TO READY.GOV, FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT
REDCROSS.ORG OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND NOON.

FLZ172>174-232200-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
615 AM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HEAVY SQUALLS ARRIVING BY LATE MORNING...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITIES AND WINDS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME RANGES FROM
35 TO 55 PERCENT OVER MIAMI-DADE COUNTY WITH THE HIGHEST
PROBABILITIES OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS. OVER BROWARD COUNTY...PROBABILITIES
RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT DOWNWARD
TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BONNIE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING OR BY MIDDAY.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

THESE WINDS REPRESENT A LIMITED THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES,
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR
DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING CARPORTS, AWNINGS, POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS.

UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND, POSSIBLY
CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES
AND CAUSEWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH
ABOVE GROUND LINES.

MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
SMALL BRANCHES AND NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL BREAK OFF TREES.
MANY PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME THE STORM SURGE THREAT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA IS MINIMAL.
HOWEVER...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING OF JUST UNDER 1 FOOT OF
INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BISCAYNE BAY.

$$

FLZ069-075-232200-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-
615 AM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...SQUALLS INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITIES AND WINDS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 45 TO 55
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BONNIE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

THESE WINDS REPRESENT A LIMITED THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES,
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR
DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING CARPORTS, AWNINGS, POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS.

UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND, POSSIBLY
CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES
AND CAUSEWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH
ABOVE GROUND LINES.

MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
SMALL BRANCHES AND NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL BREAK OFF TREES.
MANY PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN.

$$

FLZ070>074-232200-
/O.CON.KMFL.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100724T0600Z/
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-
615 AM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITIES AND WINDS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME RANGES FROM
35 TO 55 PERCENT OVER MIAMI-DADE AND COLLIER COUNTIES...AND
BETWEEN 25 TO 35 PERCENT IN BROWARD COUNTY. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TO SLIGHTLY DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BONNIE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING OR MIDDAY OVER
MIAMI-DADE AND BROWARD COUNTIES...AND THIS AFTERNOON OVER COLLIER
COUNTY. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE
WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

THESE WINDS REPRESENT A LIMITED THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES,
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR
DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING CARPORTS, AWNINGS, POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS.

UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND, POSSIBLY
CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES
AND CAUSEWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH
ABOVE GROUND LINES.

MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
SMALL BRANCHES AND NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL BREAK OFF TREES.
MANY PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN.

$$

FLZ168-232200-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL PALM BEACH-
615 AM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITIES AND WINDS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME RANGES FROM
12 TO 25 PERCENT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TO SLIGHTLY DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BONNIE PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE.  HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL SOME
POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN GUSTS AS SQUALLS
IMPACT THE AREA BEGINNING LATE THIS MORNING. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.

$$

FLZ063-066>068-232200-
/O.CON.KMFL.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-100724T0600Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-
615 AM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITIES AND WINDS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME RANGES FROM
15 TO 30 PERCENT...HIGHEST IN SOUTHERN AND WESTERN HENDRY COUNTY.
THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TO SLIGHTLY DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BONNIE PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE.  HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL SOME
POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AS SQUALLS IMPACT THE
AREA FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.

$$

AMZ630-651-671-232200-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
615 AM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITIES AND WINDS/SEAS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME RANGES
FROM 45 TO 58 PERCENT OVER THE SOUTHERN MIAMI-DADE WATERS TO 20 TO
35 PERCENT OVER THE BROWARD WATERS. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT
DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.I

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BONNIE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY MID MORNING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN
THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. THIS WILL RESULT
IN SEAS OF UP TO 10 FEET TODAY, ALONG WITH VERY ROUGH WATERS ON
BISCAYNE BAY.

$$

GMZ656-657-676-232200-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
615 AM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITIES AND WINDS/SEAS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 50 TO 55
PERCENT OVER THE GULF WATERS...AND 15 TO 20 PERCENT ON LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BONNIE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS..WITH LAKE OKEECHOBEE EXPERIENCING WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS.
SEAS WILL BE UP TO 10 FEET OVER THE GULF WATERS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WATERS ON LAKE OKEECHOBEE WILL BE VERY
ROUGH.

$$

AMZ610-650-670-232200-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
615 AM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITIES AND WINDS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 10 TO 25
PERCENT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. THIS REPRESENTS A SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM BONNIE PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE.  HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL SOME
POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AS SQUALLS IMPACT THE
WATERS THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES. SEAS WILL BE UP TO 10 FEET THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$

MOLLEDA


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