[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 222250
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
650 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE EXPECTED TO AFFECT SOUTH FLORIDA ON
FRIDAY ...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE...COASTAL MIAMI
DADE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND MIAMI DADE AND METRO MIAMI
DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ATLANTIC WATERS OF BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE COUNTIES OUT
60 NAUTICAL MILES INCLUDING BISCAYNE BAY AS WELL AS THE COASTAL
WATERS OF COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS... COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM
BEACH...INLAND BROWARD AND METRO BROWARD.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS THE WATERS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY AS WELL AS LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SPECIFIED
AREAS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.7N...LONGITUDE 75.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT 370 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 470 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 35 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
STRAITS ON FRIDAY AS A TROPICAL STORM. AT THE PRESENT TIME...THE
MAIN IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA ARE EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY
RAINFALL AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH.
BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST...SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE ARE ALSO EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF MIAMI
DADE...MAINLAND MONROE...AND MAY BE COASTAL SECTIONS OF COASTAL
COLLIER COUNTIES. THESE WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF CAUSING DAMAGE TO
SMALL TREES AS WELL AS DOWNED POWER LINES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS AREA
WIDE ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 2 TO 4 INCH RANGE WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS IS CAPABLE OF CAUSING FLOODING MAINLY IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS. THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES ACROSS THE AREA AS THE CENTER OF THE STORM MOVES ACROSS
THE STRAITS AND FLORIDA KEYS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE AS RECOMMENDED BY LOCAL AUTHORITIES.
IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE
YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE
CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU CAN ALSO GO
TO READY.GOV, FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT
REDCROSS.ORG OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND 12 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FLZ069-075-173-174-232300-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
650 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS SECTION.
UPDATED STORM SURGE SECTION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 54 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF MIAMI DADE AND CONTINUE TO LATE
AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. FOR COASTAL SECTIONS OF MAINLAND
MONROE AND COLLIER COUNTIES WINDS ARE MORE LIKELY TO START TOWARDS
MID AFTERNOON BEFORE SUBSIDING LATER IN THE EVENING HOURS.

THESE WINDS REPRESENT A LIMITED THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES, ESPECIALLY THOSE
THAT ARE UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF
SHINGLES AND SIDING. THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING CARPORTS,
AWNINGS, POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS.

UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND, POSSIBLY
CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES
AND CAUSEWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH
ABOVE GROUND LINES.

MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
SMALL BRANCHES AND NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL BREAK OFF TREES.
MANY PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT THIS TIME THE STORM SURGE THREAT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA IS MINIMAL.
HOWEVER...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING OF JUST UNDER 1 FOOT INUNDATION
IS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BISCAYNE BAY.

$$

FLZ070-073-074-232300-
/O.CON.KMFL.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100724T0600Z/
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
650 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS SECTION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 49 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS ON FRIDAY WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING BY THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS.

THESE WINDS REPRESENT A LIMITED THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES, ESPECIALLY THOSE
THAT ARE UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF
SHINGLES AND SIDING. THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING CARPORTS,
AWNINGS, POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS.

UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND, POSSIBLY
CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES
AND CAUSEWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH
ABOVE GROUND LINES.

MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
SMALL BRANCHES AND NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL BREAK OFF TREES.
MANY PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN.

$$

FLZ168-172-232300-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
650 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
WINDS SECTION UPDATED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 28 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE PASSES NEARBY...TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED BUT ARE STILL POSSIBLE. SINCE THERE IS
STILL SOME POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...CLOSELY
MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO
TAKE ACTION.

$$

FLZ063-066>068-071-072-232300-
/O.CON.KMFL.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-100724T0600Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND BROWARD-
METRO BROWARD-
650 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS SECTION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 35 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE PASSES NEARBY...TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED BUT ARE STILL POSSIBLE. SINCE THERE IS
STILL SOME POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...CLOSELY
MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO
TAKE ACTION.


$$

AMZ630-651-671-232300-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
650 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS SECTION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 54 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY MORNING AND
SUBSIDE BY THE LATE AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL WATERS
MAINLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI DADE GOING OUT 60 NAUTICAL
MILES.

THIS WILL RESULT IN SEAS OF UP TO 10 TO 12 FEET ON FRIDAY.

$$

GMZ656-657-676-232300-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
650 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS SECTION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 54 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE BEFORE SUBSIDE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING JUST PASSED
MIDNIGHT.

THIS WILL RESULT IN SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FEET NEARSHORE AWAY FROM THE
COAST AND UP TO 10 TO 12 FEET WELL OFFSHORE.

$$

AMZ610-650-670-232300-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
650 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
WINDS SECTION UPDATED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 21 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE PASSES NEARBY...TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED BUT ARE STILL POSSIBLE. SINCE THERE IS
STILL SOME POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...CLOSELY
MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO
TAKE ACTION.

$$







This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net