[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Jul 22 16:54:00 CDT 2010


WTUS82 KKEY 222153
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
553 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS
OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MONROE UPPER KEYS...MONROE MIDDLE KEYS AND MONROE LOWER KEYS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL FLORIDA KEYS COASTAL WATERS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.7N...LONGITUDE 75.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT 425 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FL...OR ABOUT 360 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF OCEAN REEF FL. MOTION WAS TO THE NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. INTENSITY
WAS 35 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER THREE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE
FLORIDA STRAITS ON FRIDAY AS A TROPICAL STORM. BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SURROUNDING
WATERS FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS ADJACENT TO THE
FLORIDA KEYS FRIDAY MORNING...IN THE UPPER KEYS BY MID-DAY...AND
THEN IN THE LOWER KEYS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.NEW INFORMATION...
WINDS AND PRECAUTIONARY ACTIONS UPDATED THIS ISSUANCE.

.WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE APPROACHES AND STRENGTHENS...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY IN
THE FLORIDA KEYS. LOOSE LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS...INCLUDING
UMBRELLA...SMALL POTTED PLANTS AND SOME FURNITURE MAY BE BLOWN AROUND
DECKS...BALCONIES AND PATIOS. TREE BRANCHES MAY PULL DOWN ELECTRICAL
SERVICE LINES...RESULTING IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

.STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL...WHICH WILL CAUSE WATER LEVELS OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL ACROSS THE LOWEST LYING AREAS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE SHORELINE.
A FEW WATERFRONT ROADWAYS AND BEACH FRONT AREAS MAY BE FLOODED...
ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. HIGH TIDES ON FRIDAY ALONG
THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 7 AND 9 AM IN THE
MORNING...AND AGAIN BETWEEN 9 AND 11 PM IN THE EVENING.

.RAINFALL IMPACTS...
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF OF
2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES.

.TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING.

.MARINE IMPACTS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE APPROACHES AND STRENGTHENS...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY MORNING. THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THERE ARE NO EVACUATION ORDERS IN PLACE OR PLANNED FOR RESIDENTS OR
VISITORS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS. HOWEVER...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO
COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF PROPERTY. FOR INTERESTS
AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR
SECURING YOUR CRAFT. NOTE THAT SNAKE CREEK BRIDGE MAY NOT OPEN FOR
MARINE VESSELS. REGARDING ANY PORTION OF THE FLORIA KEYS UNDER A
WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. CLOSELY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL
STORM INFORMATION. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS IN MONROE COUNTY
HAVE OPENED IN-COUNTY STORM SHELTERS FOR ANYONE FEELING A NEED TO
RELOCATE TO A MORE PROTECTED LOCATION. THOSE SHELTERS INCLUDE KEY
WEST HIGH SCHOOL AT 2100 FLAGLER AVENUE...AND STANLEY SWITLIK
ELEMENTARY NEAR MILE MARKER 49 IN MARATHON. BUSES WILL BE SHUTTLING
PEOPLE TO STANLEY SWITLIK ELEMENTARY FROM BOTH CORAL SHORES HIGH
SCHOOL NEAR MILE MARKER 90 ON PLANTATION KEY AND SUGARLOAF ELEMENTARY
AT MILE MARKER 19 ON SUGARLOAF KEY.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION THREE TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 9 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF
NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

FLZ076>078-230100-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
553 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS UPDATED THIS ISSUANCE.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 41 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.



$$

GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-230100-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
553 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND WINDS AND SEAS UPDATED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 42 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE APPROACHES AND STRENGTHENS...SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON OR EARLY AFTERNOON. SEAS OF 8 TO 12 FEET BY LATE FRIDAY
MORNING MAY BUILD TO 10 TO 16 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

$$





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