[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 211728
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUL 21 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND THE EFFECTS OF THE HIGH TERRAIN OF
HISPANIOLA HAVE DISRUPTED THE STRUCTURE OF THE TROPICAL WAVE THIS
MORNING. THE AXIS OF THE WAVE IS APPROACHING THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS WITH MOST OF THE CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS
EXTENDING EASTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL
LIKELY SPREAD OVER THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OT TWO AS THE
WAVE MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ALTHOUGH THE WAVE IS
CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED
TODAY...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE ON
THURSDAY.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

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