[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Jul 1 21:33:43 CDT 2010


WTNT41 KNHC 020233
TCDAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012010
1000 PM CDT THU JUL 01 2010

ALEX HAS MOVED OVER THE RUGGED TERRAIN OF CENTRAL MEXICO AT
ELEVATIONS BETWEEN 5000 AND 8000 FEET...AND SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT A WELL-DEFINED CENTER OF
CIRCULATION NO LONGER EXISTS.  IN ADDITION...THE ONLY DEEP
CONVECTION LEFT IN THE VICINITY OF ALEX IS ASSOCIATED WITH UPSLOPE
FLOW WELL TO THE EAST ALONG THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL MOUNTAINS.
ALEX HAS THEREFORE DISSIPATED...AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY
ON THIS SYSTEM.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE AROUND
25 KT...BASED ON THE LATEST OBSERVATION AT ZACATECAS MEXICO.

MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ALEX WILL CONTINUE TO POSE
A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
MEXICO...AS WELL AS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS OF THE UNITED STATES...OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  FOR THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE REFER TO
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AND
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      02/0300Z 23.3N 102.4W    25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12HR VT     02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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