[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KILM 010430
HLSILM

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1230 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...POWERFUL HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS FOR PERSONS IN SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
PENDER...NEW HANOVER.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR WATERS
FROM SURF CITY...TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AROUND 4 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

NCZ097-101-020430-
/O.CON.KILM.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PENDER-NEW HANOVER-
1230 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.0N...LONGITUDE 69.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 910 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NC. EARL WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15
MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH.

...RIP CURRENTS...
THREE TO FOUR FOOT BREAKING WAVES WITH FIFTEEN SECOND PERIODS FROM
HURRICANE EARL ARE ALREADY OCCURRING. BREAKING WAVES WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THURSDAY...REACHING NEAR 10 FT
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. PEOPLE AT THE BEACH ARE URGED TO
STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS
ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF
LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS AROUND 35
PERCENT. THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
AROUND 5 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 180 MILES
EAST OF THE REGION. HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE
FORECAST TRACK REMAINS AND A WESTWARD SHIFT OF THE TRACK IN
SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS WOULD INCREASE THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS AFFECTING THE AREA. IF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WERE TO
OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF ONSET IS THURSDAY MORNING. IF
HURRICANE CONDITIONS WERE TO OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF
ONSET IS THURSDAY EVENING. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA. MUCH DEPENDS ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF
EARL. THE LATEST FORECAST PASSES EARL EAST OF THE AREA...LIMITING
STORM SURGE IMPACTS. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND
ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

$$

AMZ250-020430-
/O.CON.KILM.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
1230 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.0N...LONGITUDE 69.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 910 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NC. EARL WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15
MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS
ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE
PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR LATER TODAY AND
REMAIN THERE UNTIL EARL PASSES. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS BETWEEN
40 AND 50 PERCENT. THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME IS AROUND 10 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. IF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WERE TO
OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF ONSET IS THURSDAY MORNING. IF
HURRICANE CONDITIONS WERE TO OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF
ONSET IS THURSDAY EVENING. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE
FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 180 MILES EAST OF THE
CAPE FEAR REGION. HOWEVER...THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY WITH
RESPECT TO THE FORECAST TRACK AND A WESTWARD SHIFT IN SUBSEQUENT
FORECASTS WOULD INCREASE THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM AND
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AFFECTING THE WATERS. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. SEAS WILL
CONTINUE TO BUILD AS EARL APPROACHES...REACHING 15 FT ON THU.

$$

III




This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net