[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 301320
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
920 AM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...EARL CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...ST.
THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS...ST CROIX.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR
SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL
WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEAST...
SOUTHEAST...EASTERN INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL INTERIOR...
PONCE AND VICINITY...NORTHWEST...WESTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND
VICINITY...SOUTHWEST...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN
EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.4N...LONGITUDE 62.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 200 MILES EAST
OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 140 MILES EAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI.
HURRICANE EARL IS PRESENTLY MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST OR
285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO
NEAR 110 MPH. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND EARL IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE NOW SPREADING INTO THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS...AND WILL SPREAD WESTWARD MAINLY INTO THE NORTHERN U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO SPREAD OVER CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND MAINLAND PUERTO RICO
TODAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINS THAT COULD TRIGGER FLASH FLOODING ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA. ISOLATED TORNADOES OR
WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
EASTERN PASSAGES AND THE WATERS SURROUNDING THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO TODAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT
PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR
THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED. FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR
PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT
OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND
PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 1130 AM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ710-715-722-725-732-VIZ001-002-311330-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
920 AM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
POSITION AND SUSTAINED WINDS.


...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 64 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 98 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 55 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE EARL TRACKS ALONG
ITS FORECAST TRACK AND MOVES CLOSER... STRONGER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS
OCCUR.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TOTAL WATER RISES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY NEAR THE
COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WIND. THESE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
BREAKING WAVES THAT WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT
THE SURF ZONE AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS. WAVE ACTION SURGING UPON
THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS MAY POSE A
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY AND PRODUCE MINOR BEACH EROSION.


$$

PRZ001-003>011-311330-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-NORTH CENTRAL-
CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-WESTERN INTERIOR-
MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-
920 AM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
POSITION AND SUSTAINED WINDS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 48 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...INLAND FLOODING...
OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM HURRICANE EARL HAVE BEGUN TO AFFECT THE
EASTERN SECTION OF THE ISLAND. AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES ALONG ITS FORECAST
TRACK...SHOWERS WILL BECOME NUMEROUS WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
THIS WILL SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND
INTO TUESDAY. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES... ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH MAINLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE
EARL MOVES ALONG ITS FORECAST TRACK...STRONGER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT. MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER
MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS
GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE... AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN
AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF
NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TOTAL WATER RISES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY NEAR THE
COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WIND. THESE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
BREAKING WAVES THAT WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT
THE SURF ZONE AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS. WAVE ACTION SURGING UPON
THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS MAY POSE A
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY AND PRODUCE MINOR BEACH EROSION.

$$

AMZ712-735-311330-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
920 AM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
POSITION AND SUSTAINED WINDS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 60 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 55 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES TO
MOVE ALONG ITS FORECAST TRACK... STRONGER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

$$

AMZ741-742-745-311330-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
920 AM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
POSITION AND SUSTAINED WINDS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 29 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE.  HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL SOME
POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.

$$

PRZ002-012-013-311330-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NORTHEAST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
920 AM AST MON AUG 30 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
POSITION AND SUSTAINED WINDS.|

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 3 TO
9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 61 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES ALONG ITS
FORECAST TRACK... STRONGER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE AND ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR
ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT. MINOR DAMAGE MAY
OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS
INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE... AS THEY
WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG TREES AND SHRUBS MAY
BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WILL
BE POSSIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR. OCCASIONAL RAIN BANDS HAVE BEEN AFFECTING THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO
RICO DURING THIS MORNING. RAINS WILL BECOME HEAVIER AS THE
DAY PROGRESSES WITH SHOWERS BECOMING NUMEROUS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE CORE OF THE
HURRICANE MOVES ALONG ITS FORECAST TRACK. WIDESPREAD TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALIZED
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE FLOODING OF
DRY GUTS...SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS AS WELL AS URBAN AREAS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TOTAL WATER RISES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY NEAR THE
COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WIND. THESE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
BREAKING WAVES THAT WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT
THE SURF ZONE AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS. WAVE ACTION SURGING UPON
THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS MAY POSE A
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY AND PRODUCE MINOR BEACH EROSION.

$$






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