[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 292228
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
628 PM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...EARL STRENGTHENS...HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD
ISLANDS...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUE FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEAST...
SOUTHEAST...EASTERN INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL INTERIOR...
PONCE AND VICINITY...NORTHWEST...WESTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND
VICINITY...SOUTHWEST...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...ST. THOMAS/ST.
JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS AND ST CROIX.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN
EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6N...LONGITUDE 59.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 360 MILES EAST
OF SAINT THOMAS VI. THE STORM WAS MOVING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285
DEGREES AT 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 85 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES ON A TRACK THAT WILL TAKE HIM ACROSS THE
NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS WILL
LIKELY BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. ANY DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE
TRACK COULD BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO PUERTO RICO. HEAVY
RAINS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA THAT COULD
TRIGGER FLASH FLOODING.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT
PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR
THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED. FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR
PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT
OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND
PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 930 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-302230-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
628 PM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ALL SECTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 20 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 71 PERCENT. THE HIGHEST
PROBABILITIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS GREATER THAN 39 MPH ARE
EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS BY NOON
MONDAY. ANY DEVIATION TO THE TRACK COULD BRING THESE WINDS FURTHER
WEST INTO MAINLAND PUERTO RICO.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL PRIMARILY NEAR THE COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WIND. THE SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. SEE
LATEST FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
LIKELY IN THE WATCH AREA WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY CAUSE FLOODING OF
DRY GUTS...URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS. OUTSIDE THE WATCH
AREA...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE SIGNIFICANT LESS WITH AMOUNTS OF
UP TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ACROSS THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND ACROSS NORTH
COASTAL AREAS OF PUERTO RICO TOMORROW.

$$

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-302230-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
628 PM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ALL SECTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 61 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 96 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS GREATER THAT 34 KNOTS WILL
BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS AROUND NOON TOMORROW. WATERS
NORTH OF THE ST. THOMAS AND ST. JOHN WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE
STRONGER WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ACROSS THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND ACROSS NORTH
COASTAL AREAS OF PUERTO RICO TOMORROW.


$$

AMZ741-742-745-302230-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
628 PM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ALL SECTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 26 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT LIKELY. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION
TO THE TRACK OF THE STORM COULD BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.
CURRENT WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
TORNADOES ARE VERY UNLIKELY.

$$




WWWW
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net