[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 29 07:58:13 CDT 2010


WTCA82 TJSJ 291257
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
857 AM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...EARL STRENGTHENS INTO A HURRICANE...HEADED FOR THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS PUERTO
RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE SURROUNDING LOCAL
COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...ALL OF
MAINLAND PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...ST. THOMAS/ST.
JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS AND ST CROIX.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE
LOCAL COASTAL WATERS SURROUNDING PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1N...LONGITUDE 57.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 550 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAINT
THOMAS VI. EARL IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...WITH A
TURN TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

AT THIS TIME...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
160 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
NEW FORMED HURRICANE STORM EARL CONTINUES TO TRACK RAPIDLY
WESTWARD. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...THERE IS A
SIGNIFICANT POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND
POSSIBLE HURRICANE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA...AND PORTIONS OF MAINLAND PUERTO
RICO BEGINNING MONDAY MORNING. AS A RESULT...A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MAY BECOME NECESSARY LATER TODAY.

ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A GRADUAL TURN
TO THE WEST NORTHWEST LATER TODAY OR MONDAY...ANY DELAY IN THIS
EXPECTED TURN WILL SIGNIFICANTLY ALTER LOCAL IMPACTS. AT THIS
TIME...HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AS THE
FORERUNNER BANDS APPROACH THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS MONDAY
MORNING...CONTINUING ACROSS PUERTO RICO THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
RESIDENTS AND TOURISTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO THIS DEVELOPING
WEATHER SITUATION TODAY AS MORE UPDATES ARE LIKELY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS
RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING
TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU
LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS
TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA
ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS
RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND NOON AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-
301300-
/O.CON.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
857 AM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM POSITION.
STORM INTENSITY/CLASSIFICATION.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS
THAT ARE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH
WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO
FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM
IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION
ZONES.

ITEMS TO BRING TO A SHELTER INCLUDE A FIRST AID KIT...MEDICINES
AND PRESCRIPTIONS... BABY FOOD AND DIAPERS...GAMES AND BOOKS...
TOILETRIES...A BATTERY POWERED RADIO...A CELL PHONE...FLASHLIGHTS
WITH EXTRA BATTERIES...A BLANKET OR SLEEPING BAG FOR EACH
PERSON...PERSONAL IDENTIFICATION...COPIES OF KEY PAPERS SUCH AS
INSURANCE POLICIES...AVAILABLE CASH AND CREDIT CARDS. REMEMBER...
PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST PUBLIC SHELTERS...SO CHECK AHEAD
WITH YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

REGARDING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS...COVER ALL WINDOWS AND DOORS
WITH SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE
OBJECTS INDOORS. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE
DOORS. DO THIS AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.

IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. BOAT
OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST
STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 32 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 84 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BECOME NECESSARY LATER TODAY.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS NEWLY FORMED HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER TO THE LOCAL ISLANDS...
THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE
LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO POSSIBLY
DEVELOP ACROSS THE LOCAL OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS AND ACROSS THE
WATERS SURROUNDING THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS BEGINNING
MONDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...EAST SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT
THE LOCAL ATLANTIC OFF SHORE COASTAL WATERS MONDAY MORNING AND
WILL BUILD SIGNIFICANTLY BY MONDAY NIGHT. COMBINED SEAS ACROSS
THESE WATERS AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 8 TO 12
FEET OR GREATER...WITH SEAS SLIGHTLY LESS ACROSS THE ADJACENT
NEAR SHORE WATERS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE BANDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SURROUNDING HURRICANE EARL WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL
FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN FAVORED AREA.

$$

SR/RAM



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