[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 290532 CCA
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED...CORRECTED
TROPICAL STORM EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1239 AM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...EARL MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...HURRICANE
WATCH ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...SAN
JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEAST...SOUTHEAST...EASTERN INTERIOR...
NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL INTERIOR...PONCE AND VICINITY...
NORTHWEST...WESTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...
SOUTHWEST...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT
ISLANDS AND ST CROIX.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.6N...LONGITUDE 55.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT 710 MILES EAST
OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 640 MILES EAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI.
EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED ON SUNDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND EARL IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES FROM
THE CENTER.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM EARL CONTINUES TO MOVE RAPIDLY WESTWARD. BASED ON
ITS FORECAST TRACK...THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT POSSIBILITY FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND POSSIBLE HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA ...AND
POTENTIALLY MAINLAND PUERTO RICO LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST
NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY...ANY DELAY IN THIS EXPECTED
TURN COULD MEAN MORE SIGNIFICANT LOCAL IMPACTS. HEAVY RAINS WITH
STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE EXPECTED AS THE FORERUNNER BANDS APPROACH
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST
ACROSS PUERTO RICO THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.  RESIDENTS AND TOURISTS
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION DURING
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND AND
SURGE FORECAST VALUES FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS
RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING
TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU
LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS
TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM
INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR
ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE
REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS
FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE
AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 245 AM SUNDAY...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ712-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>011-300445-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.100829T0439Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-
1239 AM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NEW POSITION...FORECAST TRACK AND WATCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS
THAT ARE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH
WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO
FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM
IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION
ZONES.

ITEMS TO BRING TO A SHELTER INCLUDE A FIRST AID KIT...MEDICINES AND
PRESCRIPTIONS...BABY FOOD AND DIAPERS...GAMES AND BOOKS...
TOILETRIES...A BATTERY POWERED RADIO...A CELL PHONE AND CHARGER...
FLASHLIGHTS WITH EXTRA BATTERIES...A BLANKET OR SLEEPING BAG FOR
EACH PERSON...PERSONAL IDENTIFICATION...COPIES OF KEY PAPERS SUCH AS
INSURANCE POLICIES...AVAILABLE CASH AND CREDIT CARDS. REMEMBER...
PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST PUBLIC SHELTERS...SO CHECK AHEAD WITH
YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

REGARDING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS...COVER ALL WINDOWS AND DOORS
WITH SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE
OBJECTS INDOORS. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE
DOORS. DO THIS AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.

IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. BOAT
OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST
STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 3 TO
13 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 53 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. EAST SWELLS WILL
BEGIN TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC OFF SHORE COASTAL WATERS MONDAY AND
WILL BUILD SIGNIFICANTLY BY LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. COMBINED
SEAS ACROSS THESE WATERS AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH 8 TO 12 FEET OR GREATER...WITH SEAS SLIGHTLY LESS ACROSS THE
ADJACENT NEAR SHORE WATERS.

$$

AMZ715-722-725-732-300445-
/O.UPG.TJSJ.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.100829T0439Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
1239 AM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NEW POSITION...FORECAST TRACK AND WATCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
22 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 65 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST
LIKELY TO BEGIN SUNDAY EVENING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY MONDAY EVENING TO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING. EAST SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC
OFF SHORE COASTAL WATERS MONDAY AND WILL BUILD SIGNIFICANTLY BY
LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. COMBINED SEAS ACROSS THESE WATERS
AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 8 TO 12 FEET OR
GREATER...WITH SEAS SLIGHTLY LESS ACROSS THE ADJACENT NEAR SHORE
WATERS.

$$

AMZ710-VIZ001-002-300445-
/O.UPG.TJSJ.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.100829T0439Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1239 AM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NEW POSITION...FORECAST TRACK AND WATCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS
THAT ARE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH
WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO
FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM
IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION
ZONES.

ITEMS TO BRING TO A SHELTER INCLUDE A FIRST AID KIT...MEDICINES
AND PRESCRIPTIONS... BABY FOOD AND DIAPERS...GAMES AND BOOKS...
TOILETRIES...A BATTERY POWERED RADIO...A CELL PHONE...FLASHLIGHTS
WITH EXTRA BATTERIES...A BLANKET OR SLEEPING BAG FOR EACH
PERSON...PERSONAL IDENTIFICATION...COPIES OF KEY PAPERS SUCH AS
INSURANCE POLICIES...AVAILABLE CASH AND CREDIT CARDS. REMEMBER...
PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST PUBLIC SHELTERS...SO CHECK AHEAD
WITH YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

REGARDING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS...COVER ALL WINDOWS AND DOORS
WITH SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE
OBJECTS INDOORS. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE
DOORS. DO THIS AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.

IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. BOAT
OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST
STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS
SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED
WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF
YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL
OFFICIALS. BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO
DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
27 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 75 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST
LIKELY TO BEGIN SUNDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN MONDAY MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FROM LATE MONDAY EVENING TO EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BEGIN
AFFECTING THE AREA EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. EAST SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT THE ATLANTIC OFF SHORE COASTAL WATERS MONDAY AND WILL BUILD
SIGNIFICANTLY BY LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. COMBINED SEAS ACROSS
THESE WATERS AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 8 TO 12
FEET OR GREATER...WITH SEAS SLIGHTLY LESS ACROSS THE ADJACENT NEAR
SHORE WATERS.

$$

PRZ012-013-300445-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.HU.A.1007.100829T0439Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
1239 AM AST SUN AUG 29 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NEW POSITION...FORECAST TRACK AND WATCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS
THAT ARE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH
WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO
FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM
IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION
ZONES.

ITEMS TO BRING TO A SHELTER INCLUDE A FIRST AID KIT...MEDICINES
AND PRESCRIPTIONS... BABY FOOD AND DIAPERS...GAMES AND BOOKS...
TOILETRIES...A BATTERY POWERED RADIO...A CELL PHONE...FLASHLIGHTS
WITH EXTRA BATTERIES...A BLANKET OR SLEEPING BAG FOR EACH
PERSON...PERSONAL IDENTIFICATION...COPIES OF KEY PAPERS SUCH AS
INSURANCE POLICIES...AVAILABLE CASH AND CREDIT CARDS. REMEMBER...
PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST PUBLIC SHELTERS...SO CHECK AHEAD WITH
YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

REGARDING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS...COVER ALL WINDOWS AND DOORS
WITH SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE
OBJECTS INDOORS. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE
DOORS. DO THIS AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.

IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. PREPARATIONS
SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE CONDITIONS
DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. STRONGLY
CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO SO IF
ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 10 TO
14 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 44 TO 52 PERCENT.


...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

$$

RM



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