[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 290059
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
859 PM AST SAT AUG 28 2010

...EARL HEADING TOWARD THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IN A HURRY...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
CULEBRA...VIEQUES...ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS AND ST
CROIX.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RIO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL
WATERS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.5N...LONGITUDE 54.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 690 MILES EAST
OF SAINT THOMAS VI...OR ABOUT 680 MILES EAST OF SAINT CROIX VI.
EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...34 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL
WILL APPROACH THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.

REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
EARL IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.|

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES TO THE
NORTH OF THE CENTER.


.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CURRENT TRACK OF TROPICAL STORM EARL STILL REMAINS VERY CLOSE
TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS VIEQUES AND CULEBRA. THIS IMPLIES A
RISK FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND OCCASIONAL BANDS OF
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS AS THE SYSTEM
APPROACHES.THE BANDS OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER
FRINGES OF THE SYSTEM MAY AFFECT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS VIEQUES
AND CULEBRA AS EARLY AS SUNDAY NIGHT AND SHOULD BECOME MORE
FREQUENT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...AND CULEBRA...VIEQUES AS EARLY
AS MONDAY AND TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. RESIDENTS AND TOURISTS
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO THE DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION TONIGHT
AND SUNDAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER TURNS EARL TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AS IT APPROACHES THE
NORTHERN LEEWARDS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A SMALL DEVIATION TO THE
SOUTH OF ITS FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA...AND POTENTIALLY
MAINLAND PUERTO RICO.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS
RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING
TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU
LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS
TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM
INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR
ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE
REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS
FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE
AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 1145 PM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ715-725-PRZ012-013-300100-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
859 PM AST SAT AUG 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NEW POSITION. WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 65 MPH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS. BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF
SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR
CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 5 TO
14 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 56 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST
LIKELY TO BEGIN SUNDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

VIZ001-002-300100-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
859 PM AST SAT AUG 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NEW POSITION. WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 65 MPH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 7 TO
11 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 46 PERCENT. |

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY MONDAY EVENING TO MONDAY
AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$

AMZ722-732-300100-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
859 PM AST SAT AUG 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NEW POSITION. WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 65 MPH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 14 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 56 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. EAST SWELLS WILL
BEGIN TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC OFF SHORE COASTAL WATERS MONDAY AND
WILL BUILD SIGNIFICANTLY BY LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. COMBINED
SEAS ACROSS THESE WATERS AND THE ANEGADA PASSAGE ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH 8 TO 12 FEET OR GREATER...WITH SEAS SLIGHTLY LESS ACROSS THE
ADJACENT NEAR SHORE WATERS.

$$

AMZ710-300100-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
859 PM AST SAT AUG 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NEW POSITION. WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 65 MPH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
22 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 66 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN SUNDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON TO
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
EAST SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC OFF SHORE COASTAL
WATERS MONDAY AND WILL BUILD SIGNIFICANTLY BY LATE MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT. COMBINED SEAS ACROSS THESE WATERS AND THE ANEGADA
PASSAGE ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 8 TO 12 FEET OR GREATER...WITH SEAS
SLIGHTLY LESS ACROSS THE ADJACENT NEAR SHORE WATERS.

$$





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