[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTPQ81 PGUM 120626
HLSPQ1

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TCPWP1 LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
426 PM CHST SAT SEP 12 2009

...A TYPHOON WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN...
...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN THE
MARIANAS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN AND COASTAL
WATERS OUT TO 40 NM.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA AND
COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 40 NM.

A WATCH MEANS THAT THE STATED CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS FOR THE SPECIFIED AREAS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 100 PM CHST...0300Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS CENTERED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.8 DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS ABOUT 415 MILES EAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN...440 MILES EAST
OF ROTA...AND 470 MILES EAST OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEPRESSION 15W IS MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AT 1 PM CHST...THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER BEGAN ISSUING
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W. THIS
DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST TOWARD THE NORTHERN MARIANAS
AND INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS...BECOMING A TROPICAL
STORM IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. IT IS EXPECTED TO PASS CLOSE TO
TINIAN AND SAIPAN MONDAY EVENING AS A CATEGORY ONE TYPHOON WITH
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 75 MPH.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN ORDER TO MAKE THE BEST DECISIONS...BE SURE THAT YOU UNDERSTAND
THE TERMINOLOGY AND DEFINITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE
EVENTS. TYPHOONS HAVE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WHICH EQUATES
TO 64 KNOTS OR HIGHER. TROPICAL STORMS HAVE WINDS OF 39 TO 73
MPH...WHICH EQUATES TO 34 TO 63 KNOTS. TROPICAL DEPRESSIONS HAVE
WINDS OF LESS THAN 39 MPH OR 33 KNOTS.

FOR INLAND LOCATIONS...TROPICAL CYCLONE CONDITIONS ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH HIGH WIND...BUT FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS AND PLACES PRONE TO
COASTAL FLOODING...THEY ARE ASSOCIATED WITH BOTH HIGH WIND AND
STORM SURGE. FOR THE MARINE WATERS...TROPICAL CYCLONE CONDITIONS
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH WIND AND DANGEROUS SEAS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TIYAN AROUND 9 PM CHST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

GUZ001-002-PMZ151-152-121800-
/X.NEW.PGUM.TR.A.0001.090912T0626Z-000000T0000Z/
GUAM-ROTA-GUAM COASTAL WATERS-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-
426 PM CHST SAT SEP 12 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WAS ISSUED FOR GUAM AND ROTA AND COASTAL
WATERS OUT TO 40 NM AT 200 PM CHST. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE CONDITIONS
DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. BOAT
OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST
STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
BASED ON THE LATEST JTWC FORECAST...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY.

...WINDS...
AS DEPRESSION 15W MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY MONDAY EVENING TO EARLY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE AND INUNDATION UP TO 2 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE IS
POSSIBLE.

$$

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-121800-
/X.NEW.PGUM.TY.A.0001.090912T0626Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
426 PM CHST SAT SEP 12 2009

...TYPHOON WATCH IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TYPHOON WATCH WAS ISSUED FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN AND SURROUNDING
WATERS OUT TO 40 NM AT 200 PM CHST. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE CONDITIONS
DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. BOAT
OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST
STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/TYPHOON CONDITIONS...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN EARLY MONDAY.
TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN MONDAY EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
AS DEPRESSION 15W MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS
WILL INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BEGIN
AFFECTING THE AREA MONDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE AND INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE IS
POSSIBLE DURING CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH.

...INLAND FLOODING...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN OF 5 TO 8 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED DURING CYCLONE
PASSAGE. FLOOD-PRONE AREAS AND LOCATIONS WITH POOR DRAINAGE WILL
LIKELY EXPERIENCE WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND IMPASSABLE ROADWAYS.

$$

MUNDELL



This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net