[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 090540
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED SEP 9 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
RECENTLY-UPGRADED HURRICANE FRED...LOCATED ABOUT 445 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE
NORTH CAROLINA-VIRGINA BORDER.  THIS LOW IS PRODUCING SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WELL TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF ITS
CENTER...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE
FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.  THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST U.S.
COAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES AND IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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