[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 060534
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE OCT 6 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON
TROPICAL STORM GRACE...WHICH MERGED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
OVER THE FAR NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE BROAD AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING PAST SEVERAL
HOURS.  THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...
30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT
15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS


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