[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 100951
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM IDA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
351 AM CST TUE NOV 10 2009

...IDA NOW JUST SOUTHWEST OF MOUTH OF MOBILE BAY CAUSING WATER RISES...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND
COASTAL WATER LEGS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS
DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF GULF COASTAL WATERS
DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 330 AM CST...THE CENTER OF POORLY DEFINED TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 30
MILES SOUTH OF THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. IDA IS NOW
MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 11 MPH. IDA WILL MAKE LANDFALL
VERY NEAR THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER NEAR SUNRISE. AFTER
LANDFALL...IDA IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TO THE EAST. DATA FROM AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND THE WSR-88D IN MOBILE
ALABAMA ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...AS IDA APPROACHES COASTAL ALABAMA...AREA TIDE GAGES
HAVE CONTINUED TO SHOW A RAPID RATE OF INCREASE IN HIGH WATER VALUES
SINCE JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GIVEN IDA'S CURRENT LOCATION...SOUTHEASTERLY
SURFACE WINDS ARE NOW PUSHING WATER ONSHORE IN THE FORM OF SURGE
FROM THE MOUTH OF MOBILE BAY EASTWARD...INCLUDING THE UPPER REACHES
OF MOBILE BAY AND ADJACENT RIVERS. WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO TURN
NORTHWESTERLY AND BLOW OFFSHORE ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST WHICH IS A
SIGN THAT SOME HELP IS ON THE WAY IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS FAR AS
WATER RECESSION FROM BAYOU LA BATRE OVER TO FORT MORGAN...BUT
AGAIN...THIS WILL TAKE A FEW HOURS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AT THIS TIME...ALL STORM RELATED PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 7 AM CST.

ALZ063-064-FLZ001>006-101500-
/O.CON.KMOB.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-
INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
351 AM CST TUE NOV 10 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 330 AM CST...THE CENTER OF POORLY DEFINED TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 30
MILES SOUTH OF THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. IDA IS NOW
MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 11 MPH. IDA WILL MAKE LANDFALL
VERY NEAR THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER NEAR SUNRISE. AFTER
LANDFALL...IDA IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TO THE EAST. DATA FROM AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND THE WSR-88D IN MOBILE
ALABAMA ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.

&&

...WINDS...
THE WIND THREAT IS ON THE WANE AS IDA WEAKENS. WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30
AND 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR DURING THE
MORNING HOURS...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST. THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE WINDY
AS DRY AIR MIXES INTO THE BACK OF IDA FROM THE WEST. THIS MAY CAUSE
FREQUENT GUSTS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

&&

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS IDA APPROACHES COASTAL ALABAMA...AREA TIDE GAGES HAVE CONTINUED TO
SHOW A RAPID RATE OF INCREASE IN HIGH WATER VALUES SINCE JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GIVEN IDA'S CURRENT LOCATION...SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS
ARE NOW PUSHING WATER ONSHORE IN THE FORM OF SURGE FROM THE MOUTH OF
MOBILE BAY EASTWARD...INCLUDING THE UPPER REACHES OF MOBILE BAY AND
ADJACENT RIVERS. WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO TURN NORTHWESTERLY AND BLOW
OFFSHORE ON THE MISSISSIPPI COAST WHICH IS A SIGN THAT SOME HELP IS ON
THE WAY IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS FAR AS WATER RECESSION FROM BAYOU LA
BATRE OVER TO FORT MORGAN...BUT AGAIN...THIS WILL TAKE A FEW HOURS.

&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT AND MAY BE REVISED OR CANCELED
LATER TODAY. THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO RECEIVE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL
BE EAST OF A LINE FROM EVERGREEN ALABAMA TO ANDALUSIA TO CRESTVIEW.

&&

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE WEST END OF
DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA TO DESTIN FLORIDA. EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO HIGH WINDS AND WAVES. RIP CURRENTS
ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF...AND SWIMMERS
SHOULD NOT ENTER THE WATER UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

&&

$$

ALZ061-062-101500-
/O.CON.KMOB.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-
351 AM CST TUE NOV 10 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 330 AM CST...THE CENTER OF POORLY DEFINED TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 30
MILES SOUTH OF THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. IDA IS NOW
MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 11 MPH. IDA WILL MAKE LANDFALL
VERY NEAR THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER NEAR SUNRISE. AFTER
LANDFALL...IDA IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TO THE EAST. DATA FROM AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND THE WSR-88D IN MOBILE
ALABAMA ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.

&&

...WINDS...
THE WIND THREAT IS ON THE WANE AS IDA WEAKENS. WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30
AND 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR DURING THE
MORNING HOURS...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST. THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE WINDY
AS DRY AIR MIXES INTO THE BACK OF IDA FROM THE WEST. THIS MAY CAUSE
FREQUENT GUSTS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT AND MAY BE REVISED OR CANCELED
LATER TODAY. THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO RECEIVE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL
BE EAST OF A LINE FROM EVERGREEN ALABAMA TO ANDALUSIA TO CRESTVIEW.

&&

$$

ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101500-
/O.CON.KMOB.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
351 AM CST TUE NOV 10 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 330 AM CST...THE CENTER OF POORLY DEFINED TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 30
MILES SOUTH OF THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. IDA IS NOW
MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 11 MPH. IDA WILL MAKE LANDFALL
VERY NEAR THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER NEAR SUNRISE. AFTER
LANDFALL...IDA IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TO THE EAST. DATA FROM AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND THE WSR-88D IN MOBILE
ALABAMA ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.

&&

...WINDS...
THE WIND THREAT IS ON THE WANE AS IDA WEAKENS. WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 30
AND 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR DURING THE
MORNING HOURS...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST. THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE WINDY
AS DRY AIR MIXES INTO THE BACK OF IDA FROM THE WEST. THIS MAY CAUSE
FREQUENT GUSTS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT AND MAY BE REVISED OR CANCELED
LATER TODAY. THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO RECEIVE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL
BE EAST OF A LINE FROM EVERGREEN ALABAMA TO ANDALUSIA TO CRESTVIEW.

&&

$$

GMZ630-650-655-670-675-101500-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
351 AM CST TUE NOV 10 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 330 AM CST...THE CENTER OF POORLY DEFINED TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 30
MILES SOUTH OF THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. IDA IS NOW
MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 11 MPH. IDA WILL MAKE LANDFALL
VERY NEAR THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER NEAR SUNRISE. AFTER
LANDFALL...IDA IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TO THE EAST. DATA FROM AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND THE WSR-88D IN MOBILE
ALABAMA ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IDA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.

&&

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED ONE MINUTE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM
FORCE DURING THE MORNING HOURS...ALTHOUGH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE AFTERNOON.

&&

...MARINE...
TEN TO FIFTEEN FEET SEAS WILL SUBSIDE DURING THE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON HOURS AS IDA WEAKENS...BUT ONLY GRADUALLY.

&&

$$





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