[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Nov 9 19:28:34 CST 2009


WTUS84 KMOB 100128
HLSMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM IDA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
728 PM CST MON NOV 9 2009

...TROPICAL STORM IDA TO MAKE LANDFALL LATE THIS EVENING...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LOCATIONS AND
COASTAL WATER LEGS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GULF COASTAL WATERS
DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF GULF COASTAL WATERS
DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND
INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 7 PM CST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH
DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA. RADAR INDICATES THE ESTIMATED RATE OF MOTION
IS TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 19 MPH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED BY THE NWS MOBILE ALABAMA WSR-
88D RADAR TO BE BETWEEN 60 TO 65 MPH. HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE
CLOSER TO IDA'S RAGGED CENTER.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...BASED ON RECENT RADAR TRENDS...IT IS APPARENT THAT IDA
WILL MAKE LANDFALL LATER THIS EVENING...MOST LIKELY OVER COASTAL ALABAMA. AN
ABRUPT INCREASE IN WINDS ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER THE BEACHES
HAS BEGUN TO ONSET IN THE PAST HOUR. THIS TREND WILL FOLLOW SUIT
FURTHER INLAND THROUGH 10 PM CST.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AT THIS TIME...ALL STORM RELATED PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AROUND 830 PM CST.

ALZ063-064-FLZ001>006-110000-
/O.CON.KMOB.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-
INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
728 PM CST MON NOV 9 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
BASED ON RECENT RADAR TRENDS...IT IS APPARENT THAT IDA
WILL MAKE LANDFALL LATE THIS EVENING...MOSTLY LIKELY OVER COASTAL
ALABAMA. AN ABRUPT INCREASE IN WINDS ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER
THE BEACHES HAS BEGUN TO ONSET IN THE PAST HOUR. THIS TREND WILL
FOLLOW SUIT FURTHER INLAND THROUGH 10 PM CST. TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE
NOW BETWEEN 2 AND 3 FEET ACROSS THE REGION...AND ARE HIGHEST EAST OF
THE CENTER.

&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...ALL STORM RELATED PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETE.


&&

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL FORCE WIND SPEED OF 39 MPH OR HIGHER ARE NOW
OCCURRING FROM THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND EASTWARD TO NEAR
PENSACOLA. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD FURTHER
INLAND THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE SUSTAINED WINDS
WILL SUBSIDE BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER EXTREME SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA INTO TUESDAY MORNING THEN DECREASE BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE
OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS
ON TUESDAY. GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST
WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH FURTHER INLAND UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE ON
TUESDAY. POWER OUTAGES ARE A REAL POSSIBILITY WITH IDA
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST.

&&

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 4 TO 6 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN
MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES ALABAMA.  ACROSS THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 4 FEET ARE ANTICIPATED. THE
TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 AM
ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL EXACERBATE STORM RELATED FLOODING DUE TO TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM IDA DURING THIS TIME. THERE HAVE ALREADY BEEN
REPORTS OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ACROSS DAUPHIN ISLAND WITH WATER
REPORTED FROM ST. STEPHENS ROAD TO THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN
ISLAND...AND WATER HAS BEEN REPORTED OVER ROADWAYS AT FORT PICKENS IN
SOUTHERN ESCAMBIA COUNTY FLORIDA.

&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
CURRENT RAINFALL RATES ARE NO MORE THAN ONE INCH PER HOUR. THESE
RATES WILL INCREASE AS IDA'S CIRCULATION CENTER NEARS THE COAST
LATER THIS EVENING AND EARLY TUESDAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE
THROUGH NOON TUESDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS AROUND 8 INCHES...CAN BE EXPECTED. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT SHOULD
FLOODING OCCUR. &&

...TORNADOES...
GIVE VERY STABLE AIR NEAR THE COAST...THE TORNADO THREAT IS LOW. IF A
TORNADO WERE TO OCCUR IT WOULD BE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS NEAR THE COAST.

&&

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE WEST END OF
DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA TO DESTIN FLORIDA. EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO HIGH WINDS AND WAVES. RIP CURRENTS
ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF...AND SWIMMERS
SHOULD NOT ENTER THE WATER UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

&&

$$

ALZ061-062-110000-
/O.CON.KMOB.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-
728 PM CST MON NOV 9 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
BASED ON RECENT RADAR TRENDS...IT IS APPARENT THAT IDA
WILL MAKE LANDFALL LATER THIS EVENING...MOST LIKELY OVER COASTAL
ALABAMA. AN ABRUPT INCREASE IN WINDS ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER
THE BEACHES HAS BEGUN TO ONSET IN THE PAST HOUR. THIS TREND WILL
FOLLOW SUIT FURTHER INLAND THROUGH 10 PM CST. TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE
NOW BETWEEN 2 AND 3 FEET ACROSS THE REGION...AND ARE HIGHEST EAST OF
THE CENTER.

&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AT THIS TIME...ALL STORM RELATED PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETE.

&&

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL FORCE WIND SPEED OF 39 MPH OR HIGHER ARE NOW
OCCURRING FROM THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND EASTWARD TO NEAR
PENSACOLA. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO
THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES THROUGH THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD
INTO THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING. THE SUSTAINED WINDS WILL SUBSIDE
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA LATE
TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE COAST WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH FURTHER INLAND UNTIL THE
WINDS SUBSIDE ON TUESDAY.

&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
CURRENT RAINFALL RATES ARE NO MORE THAN ONE INCH PER HOUR. THESE
RATES WILL INCREASE AS IDA'S CIRCULATION CENTER NEARS THE COAST
LATER THIS EVENING AND EARLY TUESDAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE
THROUGH NOON TUESDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS AROUND 8 INCHES...CAN BE EXPECTED. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT SHOULD
FLOODING OCCUR.

&&

...TORNADOES...
GIVE VERY STABLE AIR NEAR THE COAST...THE TORNADO THREAT IS LOW. IF A
TORNADO WERE TO OCCUR IT WOULD BE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS NEAR THE COAST.

&&

$$

ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-110000-
/O.CON.KMOB.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091111T0000Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
728 PM CST MON NOV 9 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
BASED ON RECENT RADAR TRENDS...IT IS APPARENT THAT IDA
WILL MAKE LANDFALL LATER THIS EVENING...MOST LIKELY OVER COASTAL
ALABAMA. AN ABRUPT INCREASE IN WINDS ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER
THE BEACHES HAS BEGUN TO ONSET IN THE PAST HOUR. THIS TREND WILL
FOLLOW SUIT FURTHER INLAND THROUGH 10 PM CST. TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE
NOW BETWEEN 2 AND 3 FEET ACROSS THE REGION...AND ARE HIGHEST EAST OF
THE CENTER.

&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AT THIS TIME...ALL STORM RELATED PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETE.

&&

...WINDS...
GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL SPREAD INTO INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...INLAND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE OVER
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING...THEN SUBSIDE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA DURING THE
DAY ON TUESDAY.  WIND GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE UNTIL THE
WINDS SUBSIDE ON TUESDAY.

&&

...INLAND FLOODING...
CURRENT RAINFALL RATES ARE NO MORE THAN ONE INCH PER HOUR. THESE
RATES WILL INCREASE AS IDA'S CIRCULATION CENTER NEARS THE COAST
LATER THIS EVENING AND EARLY TUESDAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE
THROUGH NOON TUESDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS AROUND 8 INCHES...CAN BE EXPECTED. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT SHOULD
FLOODING OCCUR.

&&

$$

GMZ630-650-655-670-675-110130-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
728 PM CST MON NOV 9 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
BASED ON RECENT RADAR TRENDS...IT IS APPARENT THAT IDA
WILL MAKE LANDFALL LATER THIS EVENING...MOST LIKELY OVER COASTAL
ALABAMA. AN ABRUPT INCREASE IN WINDS ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE OVER
THE BEACHES HAS BEGUN TO ONSET IN THE PAST HOUR. THIS TREND WILL
FOLLOW SUIT FURTHER INLAND THROUGH 10 PM CST. TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE
NOW BETWEEN 2 AND 3 FEET ACROSS THE REGION...AND ARE HIGHEST EAST OF
THE CENTER.

&&

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOW BE IN PORT AND BE WELL SECURED.

&&

...WINDS...
GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE ONGOING OVER THE NEAR SHORE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WITH SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FURTHER OFFSHORE FROM 20 TO 60 NM
OFFSHORE. THE SUSTAINED WINDS WILL SUBSIDE BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. WIND GUSTS OF 40
TO 60 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE ON TUESDAY.

&&

...MARINE...
SEAS OVER THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WILL
INCREASE FROM 10 TO 13 FEET NEAR SHORE TO A MAXIMUM OF 17 TO 23 FEET
WITHIN 20 NM OF THE COAST THROUGH TONIGHT. FURTHER OFFSHORE FROM 20
TO 60 NM SEAS WILL INCREASE FROM 15 TO 20 FEET TO 21 TO 26 FEET
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TO 10 TO 15 FEET OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

$$




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