[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri May 29 15:35:53 CDT 2009


WTNT41 KNHC 292035
TCDAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE DISCUSSION NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012009
500 PM AST FRI MAY 29 2009

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CLOUD PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH
THE DEPRESSION HAS CONTINUED TO DETERIORATE...WITH THE NEAREST DEEP
CONVECTION NOW DISPLACED ABOUT 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SINCE
THE SYSTEM LACKS ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION...IT HAS NOW DEGENERATED
INTO A REMNANT LOW. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ONE.

SINCE THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING OVER INCREASINGLY COLDER WATERS AND
UNDERGOING SIGNIFICANT WESTERLY SHEAR...NO REGENERATION IS
EXPECTED. THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION WILL BECOME ABSORBED
WITHIN A FRONTAL ZONE DEVELOPING NEAR AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER
LATER TONIGHT OR SATURDAY.

A DEEP LAYER OF SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER
THE EASTERN UNITED STATES IS CARRYING THE REMNANTS OF THE
DEPRESSION STEADILY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD...065/16...AND MODELS SHOW
LITTLE CHANGE TO THIS HEADING OR SPEED.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      29/2100Z 40.3N  62.3W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 12HR VT     30/0600Z 41.4N  59.4W    25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 24HR VT     30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN

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