[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 271136
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE FAR NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM CUBA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS WESTWARD TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND SATELLITE IMAGES
INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT WELL-DEFINED.
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY
ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
SOME DEVELOPMENT ONCE THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO TONIGHT.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...
OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL
CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TODAY AND
COULD SPREAD NORTHWARD TOWARDS SOUTH FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
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