[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

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WTNT44 KNHC 170851
TCDAT4
TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042009
400 AM CDT MON AUG 17 2009

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT CLAUDETTE
MADE LANDFALL AROUND 0510 UTC...ALONG THE EASTERN END OF SANTA ROSA
ISLAND...JUST SOUTHEAST OF FORT WALTON BEACH FLORIDA.  DOPPLER
VELOCITIES HAVE GRADUALLY BEEN DECREASING AND THERE HAVE NOT BEEN
ANY RECENT REPORTS OF STRONG WINDS NEAR THE CENTER.  HOWEVER...
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT 35 KT WINDS ARE STILL OCCURRING IN THE STRONG
CONVECTION OVER WATER TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  ON THIS
BASIS...CLAUDETTE IS BEING MAINTAINED AS A TROPICAL STORM WITH AN
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KT.  CLAUDETTE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER THIS MORNING AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER
INLAND.

CLAUDETTE IS FORECAST TO MOVE AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE AREA OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.
THE NEW TRACK FORECAST IS A LITTLE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS NHC
ADVISORY...NEAR THE MIDDLE OF THE LATEST MODEL ENVELOPE.

THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM IS LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
INLAND FLOODING.  PLEASE REFER TO STATEMENTS...WATCHES...AND
WARNINGS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      17/0900Z 30.9N  87.0W    35 KT
 12HR VT     17/1800Z 32.1N  88.0W    25 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     18/0600Z 33.9N  88.9W    20 KT...INLAND
 36HR VT     18/1800Z 35.8N  89.3W    20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
 48HR VT     19/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



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