[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 161254
HLSTAE

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
854 AM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009

...DEPRESSION MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...HEADING FOR THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST OF FLORIDA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER
ENTRANCE WESTWARD TO THE ALABAMA FLORIDA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND AREAS
OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS WELL AS FOR LIBERTY COUNTY IN
THE WESTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND FROM JEFFERSON COUNTY WESTWARD.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 AM EDT...OR 7 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST...
OR ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA...OR
ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS
NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 35
MPH. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOUR MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS MORNING.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR DEVELOPED EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWEST AROUND THE SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES. WHEN MAKING
DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOUR HAS A LARGE BAND OF RAIN THAT EXTENDS EAST OF THE
CENTER THAT WILL AFFECT A LARGE AREA ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA.
THEREFORE...EVEN THOUGH THE CENTER MAY TRACK WEST OF YOUR
LOCATION...YOU MAY STILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS
FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. LISTEN CAREFULLY TO THE
ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU
LIVE IN A COASTAL AREA. IF THEY URGE YOU TO EVACUATE...HEED THEIR
ADVICE. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY
COMPLETE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY
OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE
LEAVING IT. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM
INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FLZ008-012-014-015-161900-
/O.CON.KTAE.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WALTON-BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN-
854 AM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009 /754 AM CDT SUN AUG 16 2009/

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR IS LOCATED ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA AND COULD STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL
STORM BEFORE REACHING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST LATER TODAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. BASED ON THE LATEST
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOUR IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A TROPICAL STORM ALONG THE
FLORIDA GULF COAST WITH WINDS UP TO 50 MPH. WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
SOME POWER OUTAGES...MAKE SURE YOU HAVE ON HAND NON-PERISHABLE
FOOD ITEMS...LIKE CANNED GOODS AND BOTTLED WATER. TAKE MEASURES
TO PROTECT YOUR HOME FROM TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF CAUSING MINOR DAMAGE TO MOBILE
HOMES. SECURE LIGHT WEIGHT ITEMS...LIKE GARBAGE CANS AND PATIO
FURNITURE. THESE ITEMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
PROJECTILES DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM AND CAUSE ADDITIONAL
DAMAGE.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 50 TO 60
PERCENT. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS IS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR APPROACHES IT IS EXPECTED TO
STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE PREDICTED TO SUBSIDE BY EARLY MONDAY
MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES...WHICH ARE THE COMBINATION OF THE PREDICTED STORM
SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE...COULD BE IN THE 4 TO 6 FOOT RANGE
ALONG THE NORTH FLORIDA COAST BETWEEN PANAMA CITY AND ALLIGATOR
POINT IN FRANKLIN COUNTY. WITH AN EXPECTED SOUTHERLY FETCH OF
WINDS TO CONTINUE EVEN AFTER LANDFALL...STORM TIDE FLOODING MAY BE
SLOW TO SUBSIDE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS FRANKLIN COUNTY.

STORM TIDE VALUES OF THIS HEIGHT CAN CAUSE MINOR TO MODERATE
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES RIGHT ON THE BEACH. ACCESS ROADS
TO BEACHES AND BARRIER ISLANDS MAY BE CUT OFF DURING THE STORM. IF
YOU LIVE IN A STORM SURGE PRONE AREA, EVACUATE BEFORE THE STORM
ARRIVES. ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE STORM...PARTICULARLY FROM PANAMA
CITY BEACH WESTWARD...SIGNIFICANTLY LESS STORM SURGE VALUES CAN
BE EXPECTED WITH ONLY MINOR IMPACTS EXPECTED.

SOME SELECTED TIDE TIMES FOR THE NORTH FLORIDA COAST...

ALLIGATOR POINT...HIGH TIDE AT 1006 AM EDT...LOW TIDE AT 634 PM
EDT...HIGH TIDE AT 103 AM EDT MONDAY MORNING. '

APALACHICOLA...HIGH TIDE AT 1057 AM EDT...LOW TIDE AT 606 PM
EDT...HIGH TIDE AT 528 AM EDT MONDAY MORNING.

SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY...HIGH TIDE AT 645 AM CDT...LOW
TIDE AT 606 PM CDT...HIGH TIDE AT 755 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING.

DESTIN...HIGH TIDE AT 709 AM CDT...LOW TIDE AT 642 PM CDT...HIGH
TIDE AT 817 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING.

...TORNADOES...
WITH THE APPROACH OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR...THE POTENTIAL FOR
TORNADOES IS INCREASING. A FEW ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK OF THE
CENTER.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. OVERALL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY APPROACH 3 TO 5 INCHES IN THE AREA WHICH MAY RESULT IN
LOCALIZED FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS LIKE PANAMA CITY AND
APALACHICOLA.

$$

FLZ018-027-161900-
/O.CON.KTAE.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-WAKULLA-
854 AM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH
FLORIDA COAST AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS MORNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
WITH THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR EXPECTED TO PASS WEST
OF THE AREA...THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS STORM WILL BE FOR LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND COASTAL FLOODING. RESIDENTS ALONG THE COAST
SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...ESPECIALLY BEGINNING LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING TOWARD HIGH TIDE AFTER MIDNIGHT. IF YOU LIVE
IN A FLOOD PRONE AREA LIKE NEAR MASHES SANDS BEACH OR SOUTH OF
SAINT MARKS...MAKE PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT YOUR PROPERTY. WINDS
GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IS POSSIBLE IN RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER FRINGES OF THE SYSTEM. AS A
RESULT...SECURE ANY LIGHT WEIGHT LOOSE ITEMS THAT MAY BE BLOWN
AROUND BY THE STORM.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN THE AREA IS ABOUT 20 TO
30 PERCENT. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE APPROACH
OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR. WINDS OF THIS INTENSITY MAY CAUSE
LIGHT WEIGHT LOOSE OBJECTS TO BE BLOWN AROUND BY THE STORM. AS A
RESULT...MAKE PREPARATIONS TO SECURE THESE ITEMS BEFORE THE STORM
APPROACHES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES...WHICH ARE THE COMBINATION OF THE PREDICTED STORM
SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE...COULD BE IN THE 3 TO 5 FOOT RANGE
ALONG THE WAKULLA AND JEFFERSON COUNTY COASTS...ESPECIALLY NEAR
THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER ENTRANCE.

STORM TIDE VALUES OF THIS HEIGHT CAN CAUSE MINOR STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES RIGHT ON THE BEACH. ACCESS ROADS TO BEACHES
AND BARRIER ISLANDS MAY BE CUT OFF DURING THE STORM. IF YOU LIVE
IN A STORM SURGE PRONE AREA...EVACUATE BEFORE THE STORM ARRIVES.
ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE STORM...PARTICULARLY FROM PANAMA CITY
BEACH WESTWARD...SIGNIFICANTLY LESS STORM SURGE VALUES CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH ONLY MINOR IMPACTS EXPECTED.

SOME SELECTED TIDE TIMES FOR THE NORTH FLORIDA COAST...

ALLIGATOR POINT...HIGH TIDE AT 1006 AM EDT...LOW TIDE AT 634 PM
EDT...HIGH TIDE AT 103 AM EDT MONDAY MORNING. '

SHELL POINT...HIGH TIDE AT 1044 AM EDT...LOW TIDE AT 648 PM
EDT...HIGH TIDE AT 131 AM EDT MONDAY MORNING.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANY OF THE
OUTER BANDS WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. OVERALL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY APPROACH 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE AREA WHICH MAY RESULT
IN LOCALIZED FLOODING.

$$

FLZ028-034-161900-
/O.CON.KTAE.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TAYLOR-DIXIE-
854 AM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWEST TOWARD THE
NORTH FLORIDA COAST WITH THE OVERALL THREAT FOR THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA BIG BEND DECREASING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS IN THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA BIG BEND SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR CLOSELY. HOWEVER
AT THIS TIME...ANY IMPACTS FROM THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE CONFINED TO
THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE OVERALL PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS DECREASING
AND IS NOW IN THE 15 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE BY LATE TONIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WITH THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR PASSING WELL TO THE
WEST OF THE AREA THE THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT STORM TIDE IS
DECREASING. AT THIS TIME...STORM TIDE FLOODING...WHICH IS THE
COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE IS ONLY
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 1 TO 2 FOOT RANGE.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND WITH THE OUTER
FRINGES OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR.

$$

FLZ007-009>011-013-026-161900-
/O.CON.KTAE.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-090818T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-LIBERTY-
854 AM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009 /754 AM CDT SUN AUG 16 2009/

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
/7 PM CDT/ MONDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE COAST AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS
MORNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BASED ON THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS
A TROPICAL STORM ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST WITH WINDS UP TO 50
MPH. WINDS UP TO TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE INLAND AREAS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THESE WINDS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CREATE SOME POWER OUTAGES...THUS MAKE
SURE YOU HAVE ON HAND NON-PERISHABLE FOOD ITEMS...LIKE CANNED
GOODS AND BOTTLED WATER. TAKE MEASURES TO PROTECT YOUR HOME FROM
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CAPABLE
OF CAUSING MINOR DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES. SECURE LIGHT WEIGHT
ITEMS...LIKE GARBAGE CANS AND PATIO FURNITURE. THESE ITEMS WILL
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME PROJECTILES DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE
STORM AND CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 50 TO 60
PERCENT. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS IS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR APPROACHES IT IS EXPECTED TO
STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE PREDICTED TO SUBSIDE BY EARLY MONDAY
MORNING.

...TORNADOES...
WITH THE APPROACH OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR...THE POTENTIAL FOR
TORNADOES IS INCREASING. A FEW ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK OF THE
CENTER.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. OVERALL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY APPROACH 3 TO 5 INCHES IN THE AREA WHICH MAY RESULT IN
LOCALIZED FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS LIKE PANAMA CITY AND
APALACHICOLA.

$$

GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-161900-
/O.CON.KTAE.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
APALACHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
854 AM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR IS APPROACHING THE MARINE AREA AND MAY
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS MORNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 50 TO 60
PERCENT. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS IS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
MARINE AREA WITH WINDS UP TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE MARINE
AREA...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOUR.

$$

GODSEY



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