[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 25 13:01:48 CDT 2008


ABNT20 KNHC 251801
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA-NORTH CAROLINA BORDER IS MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT THE LOW IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A
FRONTAL ZONE AND HAS NOT YET ACQUIRED TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.
HOWEVER THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP
INTO A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT THIS OCCURS...STRONG WINDS...COASTAL
FLOODING...HIGH SURF...AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
INTERESTS ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD
TO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR STATEMENTS FROM
THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES...AND ALSO
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND WARNINGS.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CENTERED ABOUT 190 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF
GRAND TURK ISLAND.  SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS
BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND IT
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE AT ANY TIME AS IT MOVES GENERALLY
NORTHWARD AROUND 10 MPH.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS


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