[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 251150
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 180 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA-NORTH CAROLINA BORDER IS MOVING
SLOWLY WESTWARD. SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
THAT THE LOW IS STILL EMBEDDED WITHIN A FRONTAL ZONE AND HAS NOT
YET ACQUIRED TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. HOWEVER THERE IS STILL A
POSSIBILITY THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP INTO A SUBTROPICAL OR
TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT THIS
OCCURS...STRONG WINDS...COASTAL FLOODING...HIGH SURF...AND
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE U.S.
EAST COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. INTERESTS ALONG THE U.S.
EAST COAST FROM SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR STATEMENTS FROM THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES...AND ALSO HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY
THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
WARNINGS.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF
GRAND TURK ISLAND IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SATELLITE
IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED...WITH THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DISPLACED TO THE WEST OF THE SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS COULD BRIEFLY BECOME
MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS




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