[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Sep 13 05:12:56 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KLCH 131010 PAA
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
510 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008
...EYE OF IKE MOVING INLAND ACROSS THE GALVESTON-HOUSTON AREA...
.AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST OR NEAR BAYTOWN
TEXAS. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 30 MILES... 50 KM...NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 25 MILES... 40 KM...EAST
OF HOUSTON TEXAS.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE
WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN AND EASTERN TEXAS TODAY...AND INTO
WESTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER
INLAND...ALTHOUGH IKE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO
OCCUR WELL INLAND NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. PORT
ARTHUR TEXAS RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 96 MPH...154 KM/HR.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.
THE NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE STATION AT THE GALVESTON PLEASURE PIER
REPORTED A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 951.6 MB...28.10 INCHES...AS THE
EYE OF IKE PASSED OVER THE STATION.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH POSSIBLY UP
TO 25 FEET IN BAYS AND RIVERS...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH
LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE
UPPER TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS. THE SURGE EXTENDS
A GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE
SIZE OF THE CYCLONE. AUTOMATED TIDE GAGES ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS
COAST ARE REPORTING STORM SURGES OF 9 TO 12 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS.
DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE IN THE EYE. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND
HIGHEST SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR OR JUST AFTER THE EYE MAKES
LANDFALL.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...AND SOUTHERN AND WESTERN LOUISIANA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN
LOUISIANA...MUCH OF ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
LAZ051>054-TXZ215-131615-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-IBERIA-JEFFERSON-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
510 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE IKE HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON...IBERIA...JEFFERSON...ST. MARY...VERMILION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR VERMILION PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14
INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE
PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.
FOR IBERIA PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH
IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.
FOR SAINT MARY:
VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND
SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN
FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW
LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER.
FOR CAMERON PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED.
FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
JEFFERSON COUNTY:
DEVASTATING STORM SURGE FLOODING IS OCCURRING. THE TIDE LEVEL AT
SABINE PASS NORTH WAS 14.3 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM
AT 3 AM SATURDAY. THE TIDE LEVEL AT PORT ARTHUR WAS 11.9 FEET
ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM AT 4 AM SATURDAY. STORM SURGE IS
CONTINUING TO RISE. A FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE...AROUND 20
FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...IS POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY
MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER
DAMAGE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY.
THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE HIGHER THAN THOSE EXPERIENCED DURING
HURRICANE RITA...AND POSSIBLY THE HIGHEST WATER LEVELS EVER
RECORDED. AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL
BE OVERTOPPED...BY ABOUT 6 FEET... CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF
THE CITY OF PORT ARTHUR. MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73
BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING.
FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN
FANNETT AND LA BELLE. ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED.
HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED
AS WELL. RECORD FLOODING IS ALSO FORECAST ALONG THE NECHES RIVER
AT BEAUMONT DUE TO STORM SURGE.
CAMERON:
SEVERE FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN SOUTHERN CAMERON PARISH. THE TIDE
LEVEL AT CALCASIEU PASS PEAKED AT 11.8 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER DATUM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...STORM SURGE WILL
CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS INLAND AREAS OF
CAMERON PARISH. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE
FURTHER DAMAGE. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDERWATER. AS MUCH AS 8
TO 10 FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON.
MANY AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE
FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE AROUND 7 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM.
THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER
LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA.
VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY:
STORM SURGE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AROUND VERMILION BAY. THE TIDE
LEVEL AT FRESHWATER CANAL LOCKS PEAKED AT 10.1 FEET ABOVE THE
MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM AT 7 PM FRIDAY. THE STORM SURGE WILL
BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THESE WATER LEVELS
WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA.
ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY ARE LIKELY FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN
ISLAND. FLOODING IS ALSO LIKELY TO OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335
...AFFECTING THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND
...ESTHER...HENRY... AND DELCAMBRE.
ACROSS IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 ARE
LIKELY FLOODED.
ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST
AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY ARE LIKELY FLOODED.
ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION
DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND
DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES
LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE
SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE
COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK.
CONDITIONS WILL BE MADE WORSE BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF
HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH
EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR.
...WINDS...
JEFFERSON:
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH WILL
CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING. WIND GUSTS OF 90 TO 100 MPH HAVE
BEEN MEASURED IN MANY LOCATIONS. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL
STORM FORCE LATER SATURDAY MORNING...BUT TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
CAMERON:
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON.
VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE INTO SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
PERCENT FOR JEFFERSON. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT FOR JEFFERSON.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
PERCENT FOR CAMERON. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT FOR CAMERON.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT
ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE PROBABILITY
OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 70 AND 80 PERCENT
ACROSS SAINT MARY...VERMILION... AND IBERIA PARISHES.
...TORNADOES...
TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM SATURDAY.
$$
GMZ450-452-455-131615-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
510 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE IKE HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TORNADO WATCH.
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DECREASE TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE LATER SATURDAY MORNING INTO SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.
...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM SATURDAY.
$$
GMZ470-472-475-131615-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
510 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE IKE HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN
IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DECREASE TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE LATER SATURDAY MORNING INTO SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.
...TORNADOES...
WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM SATURDAY.
$$
LAZ030-041-TXZ180>182-201-216-131615-
/O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/
BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-HARDIN-JASPER-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER-
510 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE IKE HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...ORANGE...
TYLER.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
HURRICANE WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL
TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES
RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR
WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY
ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL.
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE COUNTY.
VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
CALCASIEU:
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE FLOWING UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP
CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES. A FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE FROM 8
TO 10 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE
STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. AT
THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH AS
DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF
SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE
FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210
BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL
EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO
THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE
LIKELY ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU
TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL.
FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING IN LAKE CHARLES.
ORANGE:
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE RISING FROM SABINE LAKE INTO THE SABINE
RIVER. THE FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE...AROUND 15 FEET ABOVE MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...MAY CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE
RIVER TO ORANGE AND ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS
BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE BRIDGE CITY AND
PORTIONS OF ORANGE. THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF PEOPLE STRANDED ON
ROOFTOPS DUE TO THE STORM SURGE FLOODING.
...WINDS...
CALCASIEU PARISH:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 40 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75
MPH WILL PREVAIL EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE BEGINNING TO DIMINISH
LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. WINDS HAVE GUSTED AS HIGH
AS 77 MPH IN LAKE CHARLES.
BEAUREGARD PARISH:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS UP TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH WILL
PREVAIL TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE PARISH... BEFORE DECREASING TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY.
ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES:
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS FROM 90 TO 100 MPH
ARE EXPECTED EARLY THIS MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL
STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
TYLER...SOUTHERN JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS:
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 50 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 90 MPH
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES THIS
MORNING. ACROSS NORTHERN JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES...EXPECT WINDS
OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH. WINDS WILL BEGIN DECREASING
LATER ON SATURDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
CALCASIEU PARISH:
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS
BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT.
BEAUREGARD PARISH:
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS
BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT.
ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES:
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS
BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT.
JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES:
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS
BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
CALCASIEU:
MODERATE FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING NEAR SALT WATER BARRIER.
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE
CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY
RAINS MAY SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS
FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR THE SALT WATER
BARRIER WHICH MAY FLOOD PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF LAKE CHARLES.
ON THE LOWER CALCASIEU AT OLD TOWN BAY MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
...WITH WATER LEVELS FORECAST TO RIVAL THOSE REACHED IN NOVEMBER
2002 (THE FOURTH HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD). MAJOR FLOODING IS
FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER TO
THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP.
ORANGE:
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED
AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS MAY
PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS
THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY
RAINS MAY SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS
FORECAST FOR THE SABINE RIVER AT ORANGE DUE TO STORM SURGE
FLOODING...WHICH MAY FLOOD PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF ORANGE.
...TORNADOES...
TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM SATURDAY.
$$
LAZ027>029-031>033-042>045-055-131615-
/O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/
ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON-
510 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE IKE HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...JEFFERSON DAVIS...
LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST.
MARTIN...VERNON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND
SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH:
THE STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO RISE IN THE LAKE ARTHUR AREA.
THE FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE MAY REACH 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER
LOW WATER DATUM. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO
HURRICANE RITA. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55
MPH WILL PERSIST INTO SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING
BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 20 PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 60
AND 80 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO
AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE
FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER
RAINBANDS.
MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER
AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE.
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER
SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO THE STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM.
...TORNADOES...
TORNADO WATCH 900 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM SATURDAY.
$$
SHAMBURGER
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