[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 130357
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1057 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KENEDY COUNTY...

.AT 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES
SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A NORTHWEST TO
NORTH NORTHWEST MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY MORNING WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY
NEAR GALVESTON ISLAND AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.

DATA FROM NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IKE IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR
SIMPSON SCALE AND COULD REACH THE TEXAS COAST AS A CATEGORY THREE
...MAJOR HURRICANE...JUST BEFORE LANDFALL. STRONGER WINDS...AS
MUCH AS 30 MPH HIGHER THAN AT THE SURFACE...COULD OCCUR ON HIGH
RISE BUILDINGS.

IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MILLIBARS...OR 28.11
INCHES.

GMZ132-TXZ251-131200-
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-KENEDY-
1057 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
KENEDY COUNTY AND THE PORTIONS OF THE LAGUNA MADRE IN WILLACY
COUNTY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED STORM SURGE FOR KENEDY COUNTY WILL
RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 FEET THIS EVENING AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
DURING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS IKE MAKES
LANDFALL ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COASTLINE.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THESE AREAS STARTING THIS EVENING OR LATE TONIGHT WITH THESE
CONDITIONS PERSISTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING...EVENTUALLY
DIMINISHING BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THESE AREAS WILL
RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 PERCENT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR THIS SAME
AREA IS ZERO.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1 AM SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

GMZ135-155-175-131200-
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1057 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS AND THE LAGUNA MADRE EAST OF KENEDY
COUNTY.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER TEXAS GULF AND BAY WATERS EAST OF KENEDY
COUNTY STARTING THIS EVENING WITH THESE CONDITIONS PERSISTING
INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN
START DIMINISHING BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS
NO CHANCE FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN THIS AREA DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH SATURDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THE LOWER
TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS EAST OF KENEDY COUNTY WILL RANGE FROM
15 TO 30 PERCENT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR THIS SAME AREA AND TIME
PERIOD IS ZERO.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1 AM SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

TOMASELLI/SPEECE

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