[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 12 21:17:55 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KLCH 130216 PAA
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
916 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...IKE HEADING TOWARD GALVESTON...
.AT 800 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF VERY LARGE HURRICANE IKE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
IKE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR
13 MPH. A NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST
BY LATER THIS EVENING OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
DATA FROM NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 110 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IKE IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE AND COULD REACH THE TEXAS COAST SATURDAY MORNING AS
A CATEGORY THREE...A MAJOR HURRICANE.
IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
DURING THE PAST HOUR...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED
ON GALVESTON ISLAND AND A GUST TO 70 MPH WAS MEASURED AT A NOAA
BUOY JUST OFFSHORE GALVESTON ISLAND BEFORE IT STOPPED REPORTING.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH NEAR 25 FEET
IN SOME AREAS...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE
THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN
USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE
CYCLONE. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY RISEN BY 7 TO 9 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST.
DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE IN THE EYE. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND
HIGHEST SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR OR JUST AFTER THE EYE MAKES
LANDFALL.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.
LAZ051>054-TXZ215-130830-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-IBERIA-JEFFERSON-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
916 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE HEADING TOWARD GALVESTON.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON...IBERIA...JEFFERSON...ST. MARY...VERMILION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR VERMILION PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14
INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE
PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.
FOR IBERIA PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH
IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.
FOR SAINT MARY:
VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND
SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN
FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW
LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER.
FOR CAMERON PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED.
FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
JEFFERSON COUNTY:
SEVERE STORM SURGE FLOODING IS OCCURRING. THE TIDE LEVELS AT
SABINE PASS NORTH WAS 8.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM AT
7 PM FRIDAY. STORM SURGE IS INCREASING VERY RAPIDLY. THE
FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE...AROUND 20 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER DATUM...IS POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES
ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. THE STORM SURGE
WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE
COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE
SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL BE OVERTOPPED...BY ABOUT 6 FEET...
CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF THE CITY OF PORT ARTHUR. MOST
LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL
HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT
AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. ALL ROADS IN
SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND
BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL. RECORD FLOODING IS ALSO
FORECAST ALONG THE NECHES RIVER AT BEAUMONT DUE TO STORM SURGE.
WIDESPREAD MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. NUMEROUS HOMES IN
NORTHEAST BEAUMONT AND ROSE CITY ARE FLOODED.
CAMERON:
SEVERE FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN SOUTHERN CAMERON PARISH. THE TIDE
LEVEL AT CALCASIEU PASS WAS 10.1 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER
DATUM AT 7 PM FRIDAY. STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ITS FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE...AROUND 20
FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...IS EXPECTED BY SATURDAY
MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER
DAMAGE. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDERWATER. AS MUCH AS 8 TO 10
FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON. LOW
LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE
FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE AROUND 7 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM.
THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE
WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA.
VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY:
STORM SURGE FLOODING IS BEING REPORTED AROUND VERMILION BAY. THE
TIDE LEVEL AT FRESH WATER CANAL LOCKS WAS AROUND 10 FEET ABOVE THE
MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM AT 7 PM FRIDAY. THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL
RAPIDLY INCREASE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. THE FORECAST VERTICAL
WATER RISE ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES WILL BE AROUND 8
FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM ON SATURDAY. THE FORECAST
VERTICAL WATER RISE ACROSS VERMILION PARISH WILL BE AROUND 12 FEET
ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM ON SATURDAY.
THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA.
ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY ARE LIKELY FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN
ISLAND. FLOODING IS ALSO LIKELY TO OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335
...AFFECTING THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND
...ESTHER...HENRY... AND DELCAMBRE.
ACROSS IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 ARE
LIKELY FLOODED.
ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST
AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY ARE LIKELY FLOODED.
ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION
DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND
DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES
LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE
SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE
COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK.
CONDITIONS WILL BE MADE WORSE BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF
HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH
EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR.
...WINDS...
JEFFERSON:
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH WILL
PREVAIL...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ON SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY
SATURDAY.
CAMERON:
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL
PREVAIL...AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE
DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON.
VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE
FORCE WILL PREVAIL. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT...BUT
REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WIND
GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IS BEING REPORTED.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
PERCENT FOR JEFFERSON. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT FOR JEFFERSON.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
PERCENT FOR CAMERON. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT FOR CAMERON.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT
ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 70 AND 80
PERCENT ACROSS SAINT MARY...VERMILION... AND IBERIA PARISHES.
...TORNADOES...
TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT SATURDAY.
$$
GMZ450-452-455-130830-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
916 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE HEADING TOWARD GALVESTON.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TORNADO WATCH.
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT SATURDAY.
$$
GMZ470-472-475-130830-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
916 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE HEADING TOWARD GALVESTON.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN
IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.
...WINDS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
...TORNADOES...
WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT SATURDAY.
$$
LAZ030-041-TXZ180>182-201-216-130830-
/O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/
BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-HARDIN-JASPER-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER-
916 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT
SATURDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE HEADING TOWARD GALVESTON.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...ORANGE...
TYLER.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
HURRICANE WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL
TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES
RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR
WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY
ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL.
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE COUNTY.
VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY.
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND
SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
CALCASIEU:
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS ONSHORE FLOW UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP
CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES. A VERTICAL WATER RISE FROM 8 TO 10 FEET
ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE
WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. AT THESE
LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH AS
DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF
SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE
FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210
BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL
EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO
THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE
LIKELY ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU
TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL.
FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING IN LAKE CHARLES.
ORANGE:
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS ONSHORE FLOW UP INTO SABINE LAKE.
ITS FORECASTED RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE...AROUND 15 FEET ABOVE
MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...MAY CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE
RIVER TO ORANGE AND ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS
BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE BRIDGE CITY AND
PORTIONS OF ORANGE.
...WINDS...
CALCASIEU PARISH:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH WILL
PREVAIL TONIGHT. WESTERN PORTIONS OF CALCASIEU PARISH COULD
EXPERIENCE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90
MPH THIS EVENING. WINDS ARE ALREADY GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM
FORCE.
BEAUREGARD PARISH:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH WILL
PREVAIL TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE PARISH...
BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY.
ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH WILL
PREVAIL THIS EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 95 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY
SATURDAY MORNING.
JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH
EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING.HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF
THESE COUNTIES LATER THIS EVENING... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL
STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
CALCASIEU PARISH:
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS
BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT.
BEAUREGARD PARISH:
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS
BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT.
ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES:
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS
BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT.
JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS:
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS
BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
CALCASIEU:
MODERATE FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING NEAR SALT WATER BARRIER.
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE
CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY
RAINS MAY SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS
FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR THE SALT WATER
BARRIER WHICH MAY FLOOD PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF LAKE CHARLES.
ON THE LOWER CALCASIEU AT OLD TOWN BAY MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
...WITH WATER LEVELS FORECAST TO RIVAL THOSE REACHED IN NOVEMBER
2002 (THE FOURTH HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD).
NUMEROUS HOMES AND CAMPS NEAR THE RIVER ARE FLOODED. MAJOR
FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM
HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO
TIDAL BACKUP.
ORANGE:
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED
AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS MAY
PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS
THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY
RAINS MAY SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS
FORECAST FOR THE SABINE RIVER AT ORANGE DUE TO STORM SURGE
FLOODING...WHICH MAY FLOOD PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF ORANGE.
...TORNADOES...
TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT SATURDAY.
$$
LAZ027>029-031>033-042>045-055-130830-
/O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/
ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON-
916 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT
SATURDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE HEADING TOWARD GALVESTON.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...JEFFERSON DAVIS...
LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST.
MARTIN...VERNON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND
SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH:
THE STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS RAPID INCREASE IN THE LAKE ARTHUR
AREA. ITS FORECASTED VERTICAL WATER RISE MAY REACH 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER DATUM. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO
HURRICANE RITA.
THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL
PERSIST INTO SATURDAY...BEFORE DECREASING TO BELOW TROPICAL STORM
FORCE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 20 PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 60
AND 80 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO
AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE
FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER
RAINBANDS.
MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER
AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE.
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER
SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO THE STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM.
...TORNADOES...
TORNADO WATCH 900 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT SATURDAY.
$$
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