[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 122356
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
656 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR KENEDY COUNTY...

.AT 6 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF VERY LARGE HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR
13 MPH. A NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATER
THIS EVENING OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

DATA FROM NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE IKE HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS HAVE NOW INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE
IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE AND
COULD REACH THE TEXAS COAST AS A CATEGORY THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE.
STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN STRONGER GUSTS...ARE LIKELY ON HIGH
RISE BUILDINGS.

IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 954 MILLIBARS...OR 28.17
INCHES.

GMZ135-155-175-130300-
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
656 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS AND THE LAGUNA MADRE EAST OF KENEDY
COUNTY.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER TEXAS GULF AND BAY WATERS EAST OF KENEDY
COUNTY STARTING THIS EVENING WITH THESE CONDITIONS PERSISTING INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN START
DIMINISHING BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS NO
CHANCE FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN THIS AREA DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH SATURDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THE LOWER
TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS EAST OF KENEDY COUNTY WILL RANGE FROM
15 TO 30 PERCENT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR THIS SAME AREA AND TIME
PERIOD IS ZERO.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 9 PM TONIGHT.

$$

GMZ132-TXZ251-130300-
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-KENEDY-
656 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
KENEDY COUNTY AND THE PORTIONS OF THE LAGUNA MADRE IN WILLACY
COUNTY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED STORM SURGE FOR KENEDY COUNTY WILL
RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 FEET THIS EVENING AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE DURING
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS IKE MAKES LANDFALL
ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COASTLINE.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THESE AREAS STARTING THIS EVENING OR LATE TONIGHT WITH THESE
CONDITIONS PERSISTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING...EVENTUALLY
DIMINISHING BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THESE AREAS WILL
RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 PERCENT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR THIS SAME
AREA IS ZERO.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 9 PM TONIGHT.

$$

SPEECE



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