[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KEWX 121954
HLSEWX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
254 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...LARGE AND DANGEROUS HURRICANE IKE HEADED FOR THE UPPER TEXAS
COAST...

AT 100 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.1 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES...
270 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 270 MILES...
430 KM...EAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE
TODAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE
TROPICAL CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ALONG THE
COASTLINE VERY SOON.

DATA FROM BOTH NOAA AND AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANES INDICATE
THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...
165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE BUT COULD REACH THE COAST AS A
CATEGORY THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE.  STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN
GUSTS...ARE LIKELY ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.

IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...
445 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.

TXZ193-194-209-223>225-122300-
/O.CON.KEWX.TI.W.0001.080913T0000Z-080914T0000Z/
BASTROP-LEE-FAYETTE-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-
254 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM CDT SATURDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED 100 PM CDT INFORMATION ON HURRICANE IKE: THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE
93.1 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES... 270 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON
TEXAS AND ABOUT 270 MILES... 430 KM...EAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI
TEXAS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
BASTROP...LEE...FAYETTE...GONZALES...DE WITT...AND LAVACA
COUNTIES OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BASTROP...LEE...
FAYETTE...GONZALES...DE WITT...AND LAVACA COUNTIES SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS FOR THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO MANY MOBILE HOMES. POORLY CONSTRUCTED
HOMES MAY RECEIVE SOME WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. A
FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. A
FEW POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS WILL BE DAMAGED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
ITEMS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. SOME
ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOCAL POWER OUTAGES ARE
LIKELY. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR
UPROOTED. SOME ROTTING SMALL TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...AND ROTTEN
LARGE BRANCHES WILL SNAP. NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM
TREES.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 39 TO 50 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED. WINDS WILL SLOWLY TAPER OFF
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS IKE MOVES INTO NORTHEASTERN
TEXAS.

...INLAND FLOODING...

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 6 INCHES OVER EASTERN PARTS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS ON SATURDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED NO LATER THAN 5 PM CDT.

$$




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