[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 12 13:42:02 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KLCH 121841 PAA
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED ALONG THE UPPER-TEXAS COAST BY
MIDNIGHT SATURDAY...
.AT 100 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.1 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK... THE
CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE
TODAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE
TROPICAL CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ALONG THE
COASTLINE SOON.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE BUT COULD
REACH THE COAST AS A CATEGORY THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE. STRONGER
WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.
IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
IS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH A FEW SPOTS
TO NEAR 25 FEET...ABOVE THE NORMAL TIDE ALONG WITH LARGE AND
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST
OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE EXTENDS A
GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE
OF THE CYCLONE. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY RISEN BY MORE THAN
5 FEET ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA . ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.
LAZ051>054-130045-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A NEW TORNADO WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON...IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR VERMILION PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14
INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE
PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.
FOR IBERIA PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH
IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.
FOR SAINT MARY:
VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND
SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN
FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW
LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER.
FOR CAMERON PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
CAMERON:
STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY THROUGH TONIGHT. ITS ASSOCIATED
VERTICAL WATER RISE...FROM 15 TO 20 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER
DATUM...IS EXPECTED BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP
THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE
UNDERWATER. AS MUCH AS 8 TO 10 FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS
IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON. LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY
WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE AROUND 7 FEET
OF WATER OVER THEM.
SEVERE FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY AND
SOUTHERN CAMERON PARISH.
THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER
LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA.
VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY:
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THROUGH THIS EVENING.
THE ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY
PARISHES WILL BE AROUND 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM.
THE ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE ACROSS VERMILION PARISH WILL BE
AROUND 12 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM.
THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA.
ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN
ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING
THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY...
AND DELCAMBRE.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IS BEING REPORTED AROUND VERMILION BAY.
ACROSS IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL
EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND.
ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST
AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL FLOOD ON FRIDAY.
ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION
DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND
DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES
LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE
SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE
COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK.
CONDITIONS WILL BE MADE WORSE BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF
HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH
EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR.
...WINDS...
CAMERON:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL
BE INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL
BEGIN BY THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON.
VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL
INCREASE TO AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE BY LATER
THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT...BUT
REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IS BEING REPORTED.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
PERCENT FOR CAMERON.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND
100 PERCENT FOR CAMERON.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT
ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 70 AND
80 PERCENT ACROSS SAINT MARY...VERMILION... AND IBERIA PARISHES.
...TORNADOES...
TORNADO WATCH 898 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT. ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY.
$$
TXZ215-130045-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-
141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
JEFFERSON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE VERY RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON. ITS
ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE...FROM 20 TO 25 FEET ABOVE MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...IS EXPECTED BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE.
THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER
LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA.
AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL BE
OVERTOPPED...BY ABOUT 6 FEET...CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF THE
CITY OF PORT ARTHUR.
MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE
WILL HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG
HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE.
ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN
PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL.
LIFE THREATENING FLOOD INUNDATION IS LIKELY! ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND
POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE
PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE. PERSONS NOT HEEDING EVACUATION ORDERS IN
SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY HOMES MAY FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY
RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE
DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS
LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY.
NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE
WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF. WATER
LEVELS MAY EXCEED 9 FEET FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL
RESIDENTS IN MULTI-STORY FACILITIES RISK BEING CUTOFF. CONDITIONS
WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES CLOSER TO THE COAST. SUCH WAVES
WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF
HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH
EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...INCREASING OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
DAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH ARE
EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING...CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT...
BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ON SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY
SATURDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND
100 PERCENT.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND
100 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER NECHES RIVER UP
THROUGH BEAUMONT DUE TO THE STORM SURGE.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY.
$$
GMZ450-452-455-130045-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TORNADO WATCH.
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE INCREASING TO HURRICANE FORCE
THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING.
...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH 898 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT. WATERSPOUTS
WILL BE LIKELY TODAY INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY.
$$
GMZ470-472-475-130045-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN
IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN
IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS LATER TODAY...INCREASING TO HURRICANE FORCE LATER
THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY
LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
...TORNADOES...
WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY.
$$
LAZ030-041-130045-
/O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/
BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-
141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT
SATURDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING PARISHES:
BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
HURRICANE WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL
TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES
RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR
WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY
ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL.
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND
SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
CALCASIEU:
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS ONSHORE FLOW UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP
CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES. A VERTICAL WATER RISE FROM 8 TO 10 FEET
ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE
WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH
AS DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF
SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE
FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210
BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL
EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO
THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY
ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU TO THE
SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL.
FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING IN LAKE CHARLES.
...WINDS...
CALCASIEU PARISH:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL
PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...INCREASING TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 85 MPH THIS EVENING.
WESTERN PORTIONS OF CALCASIEU PARISH COULD EXPERIENCE HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH BY THIS EVENING.
WINDS ARE ALREADY GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE.
BEAUREGARD PARISH:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BEGIN BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...THEN CONTINUE INCREASING
THROUGH THE EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES AND PARISHES...BEFORE DECREASING TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
CALCASIEU PARISH:
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND
90 PERCENT.
BEAUREGARD PARISH:
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40
PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80
AND 90 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
CALCASIEU:
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO
10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
NEW RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING
ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE
FLASH FLOODING.
AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU
RIVER NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER WHICH WILL CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HALF THE CITY OF LAKE CHARLES TO BE FLOODED.
ON THE LOWER CALCASIEU AT OLD TOWN BAY MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
...WITH WATER LEVELS FORECAST TO RIVAL THOSE REACHED IN NOVEMBER
2002 WHICH IS THE FOURTH HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD. NUMEROUS HOMES AND
CAMPS NEAR THE RIVER ARE FLOODED. MAJOR FLOODING FORECAST ON THE
WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF
THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP WITH NUMEROUS HOMES AND
CAMPS UNDER WATER. MANY ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE.
...TORNADOES...
TORNADO WATCH 898 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT. ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY.
$$
LAZ027>029-031>033-042>045-055-130045-
/O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/
ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON-
141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT
SATURDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...JEFFERSON DAVIS...
LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST.
MARTIN...VERNON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND
SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH:
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS RAPID INCREASE IN THE LAKE ARTHUR
AREA. ITS ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE MAY REACH 8 FEET ABOVE
MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE
TO HURRICANE RITA.
THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL
PERSIST INTO SATURDAY...BEFORE DECREASING TO BELOW TROPICAL STORM
FORCE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 20 PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 60 AND
80 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO
AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE
FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER
RAINBANDS.
MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER
AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE.
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION
RIVER SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM.
...TORNADOES...
TORNADO WATCH 898 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT. ISOLATED TORNADOES
ARE POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY.
$$
TXZ180>182-201-216-130045-
/O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/
HARDIN-JASPER-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER-
141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT
SATURDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...ORANGE...TYLER.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
HURRICANE WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE COUNTY.
VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY.
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND
SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ORANGE:
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS ONSHORE FLOW UP INTO SABINE LAKE.
THE ASSOCIATED RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE...FROM 15 TO 20 FEET
ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...WILL CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP
THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE AND ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW
AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE BRIDGE CITY
AND PORTIONS OF ORANGE. FLOODING IS LIKELY AROUND BRIDGE CITY.
THE VERTICAL WATER RISE AT RAINBOW BRIDGE IS FORECAST TO REACH FROM
10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM.
THE VERTICAL WATER RISE AT THE OLD ORANGE RIVER GAGE IS FORECAST TO
REACH 6 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...WHICH WILL CAUSE
MAJOR FLOODING.
...WINDS...
ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL PREVAIL...INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY
MIDNIGHT...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS... BEFORE
DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL
BEGIN BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...THEN CONTINUE INCREASING
THROUGH THE EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES AND PARISHES...BEFORE DECREASING TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES:
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND
90 PERCENT.
JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS:
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40
PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND
90 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO
15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS MAY PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS THE CASE
DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS
WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING.
AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE SABINE RIVER AT
ORANGE DUE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING. THIS WOULD CAUSE INUNDATION
OF MUCH OF THE CITY OF ORANGE.
RECORD FLOODING IS ALSO FORECAST ALONG THE NECHES RIVER AT BEAUMONT DUE TO
STORM SURGE. WIDESPREAD MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. NUMEROUS HOMES
IN NORTHEAST BEAUMONT AND ROSE CITY ARE FLOODED.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY.
$$
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