[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 121542
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1042 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR KENEDY COUNTY...

.AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST OR ABOUT 295 MILES EAST
OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON
TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE TODAY
OR EARLY SATURDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE
SOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE BUT COULD REACH THE COAST AS A CATEGORY
THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE.  STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN
GUSTS...ARE LIKELY ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.

IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES. AN OIL PLATFORM
IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 89 MPH AT AN ELEVATION OF 400 FEET.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
954 MB...OR 28.17 INCHES.

GMZ150-170-121645-
/O.CAN.KBRO.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1042 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...

AN ELEVATED PLATFORM...122 METERS...400 FT HEIGHT NEAR THE CENTER
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 109 KNOTS EARLIER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ARE NOT IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF WATERS OF CAMERON AND
WILLACY COUNTIES.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

GMZ135-155-175-122115-
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1042 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS AND THE LAGUNA MADRE NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF AND BAY WATERS EAST OF KENEDY COUNTY
STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THESE CONDITIONS
PERSISTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING...AND EVENTUALLY DIMINISHING BY
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN THIS AREA DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT BEGINNING NOW.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THE LOWER
TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS EAST OF KENEDY COUNTY WILL RANGE FROM
20 TO 30 PERCENT FROM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR THIS SAME
AREA ARE UNLIKELY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

GMZ132-TXZ251-122115-
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-KENEDY-
1042 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS AND THE LAGUNA MADRE NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF AND BAY WATERS SOUTHEAST OF KENEDY COUNTY
STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THESE CONDITIONS
PERSISTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING...AND EVENTUALLY DIMINISHING BY
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THE LOWER
TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS SOUTHEAST OF KENEDY COUNTY WILL RANGE
FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT FROM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING OVER THE EXTREME NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE KENEDY
COUNTY GULF OF MEXICO WATERS. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS FOR THIS SAME AREA IS UNLIKELY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

PHILO


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