[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 12 06:01:16 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KLCH 121100 PAA
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...IKE GETS A LITTLE STRONGER...FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE...
.AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.6 WEST OR ABOUT
280 MILES...SOUTHEAST OF BEAUMONT TEXAS AND ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE
TODAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE
TROPICAL CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE
TODAY...LONG BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR
105 MPH... 165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND IKE IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES
THE COAST.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE
HUNTERS IS 953 MB...28.14 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES
LANDFALL...EXTENDING A GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE
CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CYCLONE. SURGE FLOODING OF
UP TO 25 FEET...AND POSSIBLY HIGHER...COULD OCCUR AT THE HEADS OF
BAYS. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
LAZ028-029-032-033-043>045-055-121700-
/O.EXT.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T2000Z/
ACADIA-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-LAFAYETTE-LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES-
ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CDT
SATURDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TORNADO WATCH 897 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING PARISHES:
ACADIA...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST.
MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND
SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BEGIN LATER TODAY...AND PERSIST TODAY INTO SATURDAY...BEFORE
DECREASING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 20 PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 80 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO
AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE
FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING WITH HEAVIER RAINBANDS.
MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER
AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE.
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION
RIVER SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM.
...TORNADOES...
TORNADO WATCH 897 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM THIS MORNING.
$$
LAZ030-041-TXZ180>182-201-216-121700-
/O.EXT.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080913T2000Z/
BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-HARDIN-JASPER-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER-
600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CDT SATURDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR PARISHES:
BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...ORANGE...
TYLER.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
HURRICANE WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL
TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES
RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR
WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY
ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL.
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE COUNTY.
VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY.
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND
SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
CALCASIEU:
STORM SURGE WILL MOVE UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE
CHARLES THIS MORNING AND INTO FRIDAY EVENING AND SATURDAY
MORNING. TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE.
THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND.
AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH
AS DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF
SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE
FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210
BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL
EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO
THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY
ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU TO THE
SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL.
ORANGE:
STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE UP INTO SABINE LAKE. THIS IS
FORECAST TO CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE AND
ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE
COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE BRIDGE CITY AND PORTIONS OF ORANGE. THE
STORM TIDE LEVEL AT RAINBOW BRIDGE IS FORECAST REACH FROM 10 TO 15
FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT LEAST 6 FEET IS FORECAST AT THE OLD
ORANGE RIVER GAGE AND THIS IS MAJOR FLOODING.
...WINDS...
CALCASIEU PARISH:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BEGIN THIS MORNING AND PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...INCREASING TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH THIS EVENING.
WESTERN PORTIONS OF CALCASIEU PARISH COULD EXPERIENCE HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH BY THIS EVENING.
ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL
BEGIN THIS MORNING...INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY
MIDNIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS... BEFORE
DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
BEAUREGARD PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND JASPER...
NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BEGIN BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...AND CONTINUE INCREASING
THROUGH THE EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 60 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES AND PARISHES.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 70 TO 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH
ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE
COUNTIES AND PARISHES.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
CALCASIEU PARISH:
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 35 TO 45
PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 80
TO 90 PERCENT.
ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES:
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 35 TO 45 PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS ORANGE AND
HARDIN COUNTIES RANGE FROM 80 TO 90 PERCENT.
BEAUREGARD PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND JASPER...
NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS:
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 30 TO 40 PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 80 TO 90 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
CALCASIEU:
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO
10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
NEW RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING
ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE
FLASH FLOODING.
AT THIS TIME MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU
RIVER FROM THE SALT WATER BARRIER TO OLD TOWN BAY AND MODERATE
FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON
RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP.
AT THIS TIME ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...MAJOR FLOODING OF
RESIDENTIAL AREAS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER. UPSTREAM
NEAR OLD TOWN BAY...WATER WILL COMPLETELY COVER GOOS FERRY ROAD
ALL THE WAY TO THE RIVER ROAD ENTRANCE. FLOOD WATER ENTERS LOWER
LEVELS OF SOME ELEVATED HOMES ON GOOS FERRY ROAD. FLOODING IS
EXPECTED IN WHITE OAK PARK. ALONG THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU
WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. CYPRESS LAKE
DRIVE BECOMES IMPASSIBLE AND WATER IS UP TO A FEW HOMES ALONG THE
ROAD. PORTIONS OF SAM HOUSTON PARK ARE UNDER WATER.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM THIS MORNING.
$$
LAZ027-031-042-121700-
/O.EXT.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T2000Z/
ALLEN-JEFFERSON DAVIS-VERNON-
600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CDT
SATURDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING PARISHES:
ALLEN...JEFFERSON DAVIS...VERNON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN
TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BEGIN LATER TONIGHT...AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY...BEFORE
DECREASING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 20 PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 80 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO
AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE
FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING WITH HEAVIER RAINBANDS.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM THIS MORNING.
$$
LAZ052>054-121700-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TORNADO WATCH 897 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING PARISHES OR MARINE AREAS:
IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR VERMILION PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14
INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE
PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.
FOR IBERIA PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH
IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.
FOR SAINT MARY:
VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND
SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN
FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW
LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY:
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY
THEN INCREASE RAPIDLY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL STORM SURGE VALUES
ARE FORECAST TO RANGE...FROM AROUND 8 FEET ACROSS IBERIA AND ST.
MARY PARISHES...TO AROUND 12 FEET ACROSS VERMILION PARISH.
THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE
COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA.
FOR VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN
ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING
THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY...
AND DELCAMBRE.
FOR IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL
EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND.
ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST
AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL FLOOD ON FRIDAY.
ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION IS LIKELY!
ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION
DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND
DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES
LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE
SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE
COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK.
CONDITIONS WILL BE MADE WORSE BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF
HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH
EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR.
...WINDS...
VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BEGIN TODAY...INCREASING TO AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE BY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
LATE TONIGHT...BUT REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE INTO THE
MORNING SATURDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT
ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 70 TO 80
PERCENT ACROSS SAINT MARY...VERMILION... AND IBERIA PARISHES.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM THIS MORNING.
$$
LAZ051-TXZ215-121700-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-JEFFERSON-
600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND PARISHES OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON...JEFFERSON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR CAMERON PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED.
FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
CAMERON:
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TODAY RAPIDLY INTO
TONIGHT...CRESTING BETWEEN 15 AND 20 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL
CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. MOST OF CAMERON PARISH WILL BE INUNDATED.
THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL
BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDER
WATER. AS MUCH AS EIGHT TO TEN FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE
STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON.
LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE
FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE 6 TO 7 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM.
JEFFERSON:
STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE VERY RAPIDLY BY NOON TODAY... CRESTING
TO AROUND 20 TO 25 FEET MEAN SEA LEVEL. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE
HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE.
THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW.
AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL BE
OVERTOPPED...BY ABOUT 6 FEET...CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF THE
CITY OF PORT ARTHUR.
MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE
WILL HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG
HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE.
ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN
PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL.
LIFE THREATENING FLOOD INUNDATION IS LIKELY! ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...
AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES... WILL BE INUNDATED
DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE. PERSONS NOT HEEDING
EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY HOMES MAY FACE
CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON
THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL
PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL
LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE
WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES
WILL BE CUTOFF. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 9 FEET FOR MORE THAN A
MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN MULTI-STORY FACILITIES RISK
BEING CUTOFF. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES
CLOSER TO THE COAST. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY
DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF
BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO
REPAIR.
...WINDS...
CAMERON:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BEGIN THIS MORNING...INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL
BEGIN BY THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON.
JEFFERSON:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65
MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY...INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH ARE
EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING...CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT...
BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ON SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY
SATURDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 35 TO 45
PERCENT.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 90 TO
100 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH
FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER NECHES RIVER UP
THROUGH BEAUMONT DUE TO THE STORM SURGE.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM THIS MORNING.
$$
GMZ452-455-121700-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TORNADO WATCH.
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN
IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD FROM EAST TO
WEST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE DAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY END FROM EAST TO WEST
LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
...TORNADOES...
WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM FRIDAY MORNING.
$$
GMZ450-470-472-475-121700-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN
IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WITH HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS GRADUALLY SPREADING FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
END FROM EAST TO WEST LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
...TORNADOES...
WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM FRIDAY MORNING.
$$
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