[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 120358
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1058 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR KENEDY COUNTY...

.AT 1000 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST OR ABOUT 445 MILES EAST
SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH
A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK... THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER
TEXAS COAST BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE
TROPICAL CYCLONE... WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE
EARLY ON FRIDAY...LONG BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

DATA FROM BOTH NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR
SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS OR SO...AND IKE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE
REACHING THE COAST.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 265
MILES.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON AIRCRAFT DATA IS
956 MILLIBARS...OR 28.23 INCHES.

GMZ150-170-130400-
/O.UPG.KBRO.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KBRO.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1058 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS AND THE LAGUNA MADRE SOUTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF AND BAY WATERS SOUTHEAST OF KENEDY COUNTY
STARTING FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THESE CONDITIONS
PERSISTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING...AND EVENTUALLY DIMINISHING ON
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ISOLATED WIND GUSTS UP TO
HURRICANE FORCE ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT BEGINNING
TONIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THE LOWER
TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS SOUTHEAST OF KENEDY COUNTY WILL RANGE
FROM 20 TO 40 PERCENT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR
THIS SAME AREA AND TIME PERIOD WILL BE LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

GMZ135-155-175-130400-
/O.UPG.KBRO.HU.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1058 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS AND THE LAGUNA MADRE NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF AND BAY WATERS EAST OF KENEDY COUNTY
STARTING FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THESE CONDITIONS
PERSISTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING...AND EVENTUALLY DIMINISHING ON
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ISOLATED WIND GUSTS UP TO
HURRICANE FORCE ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT BEGINNING
THURSDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THE LOWER
TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS EAST OF KENEDY COUNTY WILL RANGE FROM
20 TO 40 PERCENT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR
THIS SAME AREA AND TIME PERIOD WILL BE LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

TXZ251-130400-
/O.UPG.KBRO.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-
1058 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
KENEDY COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR AN AREA WHEN TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORMS
PRODUCE WINDS FROM 39 TO 73 MPH. CITIZENS OF KENEDY COUNTY SHOULD
REMAIN VIGILANT AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST POSITION
AND FORECAST PATH OF HURRICANE IKE. NOW IS THE TIME TO ENSURE THAT
YOU HAVE COMPLETED YOUR PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE IKE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED STORM SURGE FOR KENEDY COUNTY WILL
RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 FEET STARTING FRIDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE
LANDFALL OF IKE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
KENEDY COUNTY STARTING FRIDAY EVENING WITH THESE CONDITIONS
PERSISTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING...AND EVENTUALLY DIMINISHING ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR KENEDY COUNTY
WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR
KENEDY COUNTY DURING THE SAME TIME PERIOD WILL BE LESS THAN 5
PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

HEAVY RAIN BANDS FROM HURRICANE IKE MAY BEGIN AFFECTING KENEDY
COUNTY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND MAY CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
THESE RAIN BANDS MAY PRODUCE TOTAL STORM AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS AMOUNT OF
RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR KENEDY COUNTY ON FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 1 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

TOMASELLI/SPEECE



This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net