[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 11 18:07:55 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KLCH 112306 PAA
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...IKE HEADED FOR THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
.AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 510 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 400 MILES...EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS... WITH A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER- TEXAS COAST
BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE
THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE
COASTLINE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES
LANDFALL...EXCEPT AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...WHERE SURGE FLOODING OF
UP TO 25 FT COULD OCCUR. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO
8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE EASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
ALONG THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
LAZ041-120515-
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/O.NEW.KLCH.HI.W.0002.080911T2306Z-080913T0900Z/
CALCASIEU-
606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
CALCASIEU.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WIND WARNING.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL
TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES
RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR
WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY
ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL MOVE UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES
LATE FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS
OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO
RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW
AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND.
AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH
AS DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF
SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE
FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210
BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL
EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO
THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY
ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU TO THE
SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL
BEGIN EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON.
AROUND MID AFTERNOON WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 60 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 85 MPH AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF
CALCASIEU PARISH WINDS WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE AROUND 75 MPH WITH
GUSTS 90 SHOULD OCCUR ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF CALCASIEU PARISH
LATE TOMORROW NIGHT.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 10 TO 30
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM
70 TO 80 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED. THE GROUND IS QUITE SATURATED ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA
DUE TO THE RAINS FROM HURRICANE GUSTAV. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW
RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING
ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE
FLASH FLOODING. IF THE STORM APPROACHES SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA CLOSER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL BE QUITE A BIT HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.
AT THIS TIME MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU
RIVER FROM THE SALT WATER BARRIER TO OLD TOWN BAY AND MODERATE
FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM
HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO
TIDAL BACKUP UP THE CALCASIEU RIVER. ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER
MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST DUE TO STORM SURGE TRAVELING UP THE
RIVER.
AT THIS TIME ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...MAJOR FLOODING OF
RESIDENTIAL AREAS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER. UPSTREAM
NEAR OLD TOWN BAY...WATER WILL COMPLETELY COVER GOOS FERRY ROAD
ALL THE WAY TO THE RIVER ROAD ENTRANCE. FLOOD WATER ENTERS LOWER
LEVELS OF SOME ELEVATED HOMES ON GOOS FERRY ROAD. FLOODING IS
EXPECTED IN WHITE OAK PARK. ALONG THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU
WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. CYPRESS LAKE
DRIVE BECOMES IMPASSIBLE AND WATER IS UP TO A FEW HOMES ALONG THE
ROAD. PORTIONS OF SAM HOUSTON PARK ARE UNDER WATER.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM.
$$
TXZ201-216-120515-
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/O.NEW.KLCH.HI.W.0002.080911T2306Z-080913T0900Z/
HARDIN-ORANGE-
606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
HARDIN...ORANGE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WIND WARNING.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE
COUNTY...VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ORANGE:
STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE UP INTO SABINE LAKE. THIS
IS FORECAST TO CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE
AND ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE
COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE MUCH OF IF NOT ALL OF BRIDGE CITY AND
PORTIONS OF ORANGE. THE STORM TIDE LEVEL AT RAINBOW BRIDGE IS
FORECAST REACH 11 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT LEAST 6 FEET IS
FORECAST AT THE OLD ORANGE RIVER GAUGE AND THIS IS MAJOR FLOODING.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND MID MORNING FRIDAY WITH WINDS INCREASING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON TO 60 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH BY MID
AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 70 TO 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95
MPH ARE EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE NIGHT. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
DAY ON SATURDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS ORANGE AND HARDIN
COUNTIES IS 20 TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ACROSS ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES RANGE FROM 80 TO 90
PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AT THIS TIME MAJOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT ORANGE ON THE SABINE
RIVER DUE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS ALSO
EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER NECHES RIVER AS WELL AS THE PINE ISLAND
BAYOU NEAR SOUR LAKE.
OTHERWISE...AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH
LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE
DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS
MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
TEXAS ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM.
$$
LAZ030-TXZ180>182-120515-
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/O.EXB.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T0900Z/
BEAUREGARD-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-
606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT
SATURDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
BEAUREGARD...JASPER...NEWTON...TYLER.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AROUND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 80 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT
IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO
HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...WINDS...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING AND REACH
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH BY
LATE MORNING TOMORROW AND INCREASE TO 55 TO 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80
MPH EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 20 PERCENT OR LESS.
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 80 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ALONG THE
SABINE RIVER NEAR BON WIER IS EXPECTED AS WELL AS ALONG THE
NECHES RIVER AND VILLAGE CREEK. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH
FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM.
$$
LAZ027>029-031>033-120515-
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/O.EXB.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T0900Z/
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT
SATURDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
VERNON...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. THIS WILL
RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE
TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...WINDS...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING AND REACH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS ALLEN...EVANGELINE AND VERNON PARISHES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA RANGES FROM 40 PERCENT ACROSS AVOYELLES AND
RAPIDES PARISHES TO NEAR 70 PERCENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF VERNON AND
ALLEN PARISHES.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH
FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM.
$$
LAZ042>045-055-120515-
/O.EXT.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T0900Z/
JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-
606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT
SATURDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ACADIA...JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...UPPER
ST. MARTIN.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. THIS WILL
RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE
TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...WINDS...
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING
FROM EAST TO WEST. WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE
EXPECTED BY LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
ACROSS JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY MID AFTERNOON TOMORROW
AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM ABOUT 60
PERCENT ACROSS UPPER AND LOWER SAINT MARTIN PARISH TO NEARLY 80
PERCENT ACROSS JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP
TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THE GROUND IS QUITE SATURATED ACROSS
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA DUE TO THE RAINS FROM HURRICANE GUSTAV...AND
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LIKELY PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS AS
WELL AS FLASH FLOODING WITH HEAVIER RAINBANDS.
MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER
AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE.
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION
RIVER SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM.
$$
TXZ215-120515-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-
606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
JEFFERSON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE INCREASE THROUGH TONIGHT AND INCREASE VERY
RAPIDLY THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY...CRESTING BETWEEN 13 AND 15 FEET
MEAN LOWER LOW WATER EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE
SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE
FLOW.
AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL BE
OVERTOPPED...ESPECIALLY WITH WAVES OF UP TO FIVE FEET ABOVE THE
PREDICTED WATER LEVEL. THEREFORE PORTIONS OF DOWNTOWN PORT ARTHUR
ARE LIKELY TO FLOOD.
MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE
WILL HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG
HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE.
ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN
PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL.
INUNDATION LIKELY!
ENTIRE COASTAL CITIES AND TOWNS WILL BE INUNDATED. FULL RECOVERY
WILL TAKE MONTHS IF NOT YEARS. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY
BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL NOT ONLY EXACERBATE PROPERTY
DAMAGE BUT WASH OUT SOLID ROAD AND BRIDGE STRUCTURES. DAMAGE FROM
BEACH EROSION WILL TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 65 MPH TOMORROW MORNING AND WILL INCREASE TO 60 TO 70 MPH
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
OF 75 TO 85 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 100 MPH EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN
THE EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY
SATURDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 30 TO 40
PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM
80 TO 90 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY
TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE
FLASH FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER NECHES RIVER UP
THROUGH BEAUMONT DUE TO THE STORM SURGE.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM.
$$
GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-120515-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY END FROM EAST TO WEST TOMORROW
NIGHT.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR WATER SPOUTS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM.
$$
LAZ051>054-120515-
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CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON...VERMILION...IBERIA...SAINT MARY.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR CAMERON PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED.
FOR VERMILION PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14
INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE
PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.
FOR IBERIA PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH
IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.
FOR SAINT MARY:
VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND
SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN
FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW
LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
CAMERON:
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH
TONIGHT...THEN INCREASE VERY RAPIDLY THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT...CRESTING BETWEEN 12 AND 14 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE
SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW.
THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. LA 82 AND
LA 27 WILL BE UNDER WATER. AS MUCH AS EIGHT TO TEN FEET OF WATER
WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON.
LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE
FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE SIX TO SEVEN FEET OF WATER OVER THEM IN
THESE LOCATIONS.
VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY:
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THIS
EVENING AND INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL STORM
SURGE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE 10 TO 12 ACROSS VERMILION PARISH
TO 6 TO 8 FEET ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES. THE STORM SURGE
WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED
ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE
RITA.
FOR VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN
ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING
THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY...
AND DELCAMBRE.
FOR IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL
EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND.
ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST
AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL LIKELY FLOOD ON
FRIDAY.
ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES...LIFE THREATENING
INUNDATION IS LIKELY!
ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL
COMMUNITIES...WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE
CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND
DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES
LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE
SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE
COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF
HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH
EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR.
...WINDS...
CAMERON:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65
MPH WILL BEGIN TOMORROW MORNING. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 60 TO 70 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 70
TO 80 WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL BEGIN IN THE EVENING TOMORROW AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY.
VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL
BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING TO 50 TO 60 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TOMORROW NIGHT...BUT REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM
FORCE INTO THE MORNING SATURDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 10 TO 30
PERCENT FOR CAMERON PARISH AND IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT ACROSS
VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE PROBABILITY OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 60 TO 70 PERCENT ACROSS
SAINT MARY AND IBERIA PARISHES...AND INCREASES TO 70 TO 80 PERCENT
ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER DUE TO STORM SURGE TRAVELING
UPSTREAM.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM.
$$
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