[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 11 12:43:08 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KLCH 111741 PAA
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE IKE CONTINUES GROW IN SIZE...
...HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED...
.AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST OR ABOUT 580 MILES...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 470 MILES
...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. A GENERAL
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND THE CENTER OF IKE SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE COAST BY LATE
FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE
THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE
COASTLINE.
IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES
LANDFALL. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
ALONG THE CENTRAL AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
TXZ201-216-112345-
/O.CAN.KLCH.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080912T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.HI.A.0002.080911T1741Z-080913T0200Z/
HARDIN-ORANGE-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS CANCELLED...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WIND WATCH ISSUED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
HARDIN...ORANGE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WIND WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE
COUNTY...VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE UP INTO SABINE LAKE. THIS IS
FORECAST TO CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE AND
ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY.
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BRIDGE CITY AND ORANGE. THE STORM TIDE
LEVEL AT RAINBOW BRIDGE IS FORECAST REACH 10 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER. AT LEAST 6 FEET IS FORECAST AT THE OLD ORANGE RIVER GAUGE
AND THIS IS MAJOR FLOODING. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG COW
BAYOU BETWEEN ORANGEFIELD AND BRIDGE CITY.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND NOON
FRIDAY. THESE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TO BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE BY FRIDAY EVENING. SUSTAINED HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS OF 75 TO 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FOR
TWO TO SIX HOURS BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING. A
HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THIS
WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES...NUMEROUS TREES BLOWN
DOWN...AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS ON HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS ORANGE AND HARDIN
COUNTIES IS 20 TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ACROSS ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES RANGE FROM 70 TO 80
PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AT THIS TIME MAJOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT ORANGE ON THE SABINE
RIVER DUE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING. OTHERWISE AREAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 6 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA
THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
TEXAS ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
LAZ028-029-032-033-112345-
/O.CAN.KLCH.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KLCH.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080913T0200Z/
AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED ACROSS ALL CENTRAL AND WESTERN
LOUISIANA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. THIS WILL
RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE
TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH
IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN
POWER OUTAGES...TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND ROOFS DAMAGE TO HOMES AND
BUSINESSES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA RANGE FROM 40 PERCENT ACROSS AVOYELLES PARISH
TO NEAR 70 PERCENT ACROSS BEAUAGARD PARISH.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH
FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
LAZ051-112345-
/O.UPG.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.HU.W.1009.080911T1741Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR CAMERON PARISH.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE TODAY...THEN INCREASE
RAPIDLY THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...CRESTING
BETWEEN 10 AND 13 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER
LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL
BE UNDER WATER. AS MUCH AS SIX TO SEVEN FEET OF WATER WILL COVER
THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON.
LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE
FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE 3 TO 4 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM IN
THESE LOCATIONS.
CALCASIEU PASS
HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE
TODAY 2:36 AM 7:09 PM
FRIDAY 2:35 AM 8:13 AM 11:01 AM 8:23 PM
SATURDAY 2:39 AM 8:17 AM 12:19 PM 8:59 PM
SABINE PASS
HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE
TODAY 3:32 AM 7:55 PM
FRIDAY 3:31 AM 8:59 AM 11:56 AM 8:33 PM
SATURDAY 3:35 AM 9:03 AM 1:15 PM 9:09 PM
LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION LIKELY!
ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL
COMMUNITIES...WILL BE INUNDATED DURING HIGH TIDE. MANY RESIDENCES
OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED.
WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY
ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY.
NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE
WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE
CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED
BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY
DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF
BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO
REPAIR.
...WINDS...
CAMERON PARISH WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO
50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH STARTING FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS OF 60 TO
70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO APPROACH HURRICANE FORCE BETWEEN FRIDAY EVENING AND
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...TREES BLOWN
DOWN...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS CAMERON PARISH
RANGE FROM 10 TO 30 PERCENT.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
GMZ452-455-472-475-112345-
/O.UPG.KLCH.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.HU.W.0001.080911T1741Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS
FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING
FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION TO FIND SAFE HARBOR AND STAY
IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE OUTER COASTAL
WATERS SHORTLY AFTER NOON THURSDAY...SPREADING TOWARD THE COAST
DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH HURRICANE FORCE
BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. PREPARATIONS TO SECURE MARITIME PROPERTY
ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOON THURSDAY.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR WATER SPOUTS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
LAZ052>054-112345-
/O.UPG.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.HU.W.1009.080911T1741Z-000000T0000Z/
IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR VERMILION PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14
INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE
PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.
FOR IBERIA PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS
UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.
FOR SAINT MARY:
VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND
SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN
FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW
LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE
DAY AND INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL STORM
SURGE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE 8 TO 12 ACROSS VERMILION PARISH TO
6 TO 8 FEET ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE
SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED
ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH OR EXCEED THE STORM
SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER 1961 AND
TROPICAL STORM FRANCES OF 1998.
FOR VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN
ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING
THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY...
AND DELCAMBRE.
FOR IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL
EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND.
ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST
AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL LIKELY FLOOD ON
FRIDAY.
SOUTHWEST PASS
HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE
TODAY 4:18 AM 8:00 PM
FRIDAY 4:17 AM 9:04 AM 12:42 AM 8:38 PM
SATURDAY 4:21 AM 9:08 AM 2:01 PM 9:14 PM
ACROSS VERMILION LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION LIKELY!
ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL
COMMUNITIES...WILL BE INUNDATED DURING HIGH TIDE. MANY RESIDENCES
OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED.
WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY
ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY.
NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE
WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE
CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 9
FEET FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY
BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH
MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK
CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO
REPAIR.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL BEGIN
AFFECTING THE COASTAL LOUISIANA PARISHES JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY
MORNING...AND PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE 10 PERCENT OR LESS
ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
GMZ450-470-112345-
/O.UPG.KLCH.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.HU.W.0001.080911T1741Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
VESSELS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION THE PREPERATION FOR HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS AND SEAS AND SEEK SAFE HARBOR NOW. STAY IN PORT UNTIL
THE STORM PASSES.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL IMPACT THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS BY
THURSDAY EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE
FRIDAY MORNING...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BECOMING SUSTAINED BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...AND PREPARATIONS TO
SECURE MARITIME PROPERTY ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR WATER SPOUTS WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
TXZ215-112345-
/O.UPG.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.HU.W.1009.080911T1741Z-000000T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
JEFFERSON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY
AND INCREASE RAPIDLY THROUGH FRIDAY...CRESTING BETWEEN 11 AND 13 FEET
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE
WATER LEVELS WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING
HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER 1961.
AT THESE WATER LEVELS...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY
73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL LIKELY HAVE STORM SURGE
FLOODING. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR
BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR
ALONG COW BAYOU BETWEEN ORANGEFIELD AND BRIDGE CITY.
ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. SECTIONS OF HIGHWAY
73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL.
SABINE PASS
HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE
TODAY 3:32 AM 7:55 PM
FRIDAY 3:31 AM 8:59 AM 11:56 AM 8:33 PM
SATURDAY 3:35 AM 9:03 AM 1:15 PM 9:09 PM
INUNDATION LIKELY!
ENTIRE COASTAL CITIES AND TOWNS WILL BE INUNDATED. PERMANENT
BREACHES MAY BE CUT OFF. FULL RECOVERY WILL TAKE MONTHS IF NOT
YEARS. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 13 FEET FOR MORE THAN A MILE
INLAND. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES
WILL NOT ONLY EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE BUT WASH OUT SOLID ROAD
AND BRIDGE STRUCTURES. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION WILL TAKE YEARS
TO REPAIR.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG COASTAL
JEFFERSON COUNTY BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN
TO BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. BY LATE FRIDAY EVENING...SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
OF 75 TO 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE EXPECTED AND WILL PERSIST
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD POWER
OUTAGES...NUMEROUS TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO
ROOFS ON HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY
IS 30 TO 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE 80 TO 90 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG
AREA RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY
TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE
FLASH FLOODING.
MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NECHES RIVER UP THROUGH
BEAUMONT DUE TO THE STORM SURGE.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
LAZ041>045-055-112345-
/O.UPG.KLCH.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080912T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.TI.W.0004.080911T1741Z-080913T0200Z/
ACADIA-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT FRIDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING ISSUED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ACADIA...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST.
MARTIN...UPPER ST. MARTIN.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL
TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES
RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR
WELL-BEING.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR CALCASIEU PARISH:
STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES LATE
FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS OF 7
TO 8 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO
RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW
AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND.
AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER
BASIN SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...VINCENT LANDING JUST SOUTHEAST OF
CARLYSS...AND LOCKMOOR JUST SOUTH OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM
SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210
BRIDGES...AREAS NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH
WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE
COMPARABLE TO THAT EXPIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA.
...WINDS...
FOR CALCASIEU PARISH:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS OF AROUND 60 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN POWER
OUTAGES...TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND ROOFS DAMAGE TO HOMES AND
BUSINESSES.
FOR JEFF DAVIS...ACADIA AND LAFAYETTE PARISHES:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY MORNING. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS
IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN POWER
OUTAGES...TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND ROOFS DAMAGE TO HOMES AND
BUSINESSES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE 50 TO 70 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT MOST OF THIS RAIN WILL
FALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME MINOR
FLOODING ALONG AREA RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE GROUND IS QUITE
SATURATED ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA DUE TO THE RAINS
FROM HURRICANE GUSTAV. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY
TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH
FLOODING. IF THE STORM APPROACHES SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA CLOSER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
BE QUITE A BIT HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.
AT THIS TIME MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU
RIVER FROM THE SALT WATER BARRIER TO OLD TOWN BAY AND MODERATE
FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM
HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO
TIDAL BACKUP UP THE CALCASIEU RIVER. ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER
MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST UP THE RIVER THROUGH MERMENTAU DUE TO
STORM SURGE
AT THIS TIME ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...MAJOR FLOODING OF
RESIDENTIAL AREAS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER. FURTHER
UP THE RIVER TO OLD TOWN BAY...WATER WILL COMPLETELY COVER GOOS
FERRY ROAD ALL THE WAY TO THE RIVER ROAD ENTRANCE. FLOOD WATER
ENTERS LOWER LEVELS OF SOME ELEVATED HOMES ON GOOS FERRY ROAD.
FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN WHITE OAK PARK. ALONG THE WEST FORK OF THE
CALCASIEU WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA.
CYPRESS LAKE DRIVE BECOMES IMPASSIBLE AND WATER IS UP TO A FEW
HOMES ALONG THE ROAD. PORTIONS OF SAM HOUSTON PARK ARE UNDER
WATER.
SOME MINOR FLOODING IS ALSO FORECAST UP THE VERMILION RIVER DUE TO
STORM SURGE AS WELL.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
LAZ027-030-031-TXZ180>182-112345-
/O.EXT.KLCH.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080913T0200Z/
ALLEN-BEAUREGARD-JASPER-NEWTON-TYLER-VERNON-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ALLEN...BEAUREGARD...JASPER...NEWTON...TYLER...VERNON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. THIS WILL
RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE
TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...WINDS...
FOR TYLER...JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE
WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TO BETWEEN 55 AND 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE BY MIDNIGHT FRIDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS
IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN POWER
OUTAGES...TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND DAMAGE TO ROOFS ON HOMES AND
BUSINESSES.
FOR ALLEN AND BEUREGARD PARISHES:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH
IS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN
POWER OUTAGES...TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND ROOFS DAMAGE TO HOMES AND
BUSINESSES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 60 TO 80 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH
FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net
More information about the Tropical
mailing list