[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 11 07:45:58 CDT 2008


WTUS84 KLCH 111244
HLSLCH

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
744 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...LARGE HURRICANE IKE HEADING TOWARD THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...

.AT 700 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.0 WEST OR ABOUT
485 MILES...SOUTHEAST OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA...AND ABOUT 520
MILES...SOUTHEAST OF BEAUMONT TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/HR. A
GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED TODAY AND FRIDAY.  ON THIS TRACK THE
CENTER WILL BE APPROACHING THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST
LATE FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE...AND IT COULD INTENSIFY INTO A CATEGORY THREE
HURRICANE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

IKE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 MILES...410 KM.

AIR FORCE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORT THAT THE
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.  ABOVE NORMAL TIDES OF
2 TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHERN
COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT WILL
BE INCREASING ALONG THE WESTERN GULF COAST AS IKE APPROACHES.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND THE EXTREME NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.

LAZ051-111715-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-
744 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

CAMERON.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
HURRICANE WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR CAMERON PARISH AS OF
6 AM THURSDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL REACH 4 FEET (MINOR FLOODING) BY FRIDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE TO AROUND
6 FEET FRIDAY AFTERNOON (MAJOR FLOODING)...CRESTING BETWEEN 10 AND
12 FEET EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO
RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW.
THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED
DURING HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER 1961.

MANY SECTIONS OF LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDER WATER. AS MUCH AS
SIX FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON.

LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE
FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE 2 TO 3 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM IN
THESE LOCATIONS.

                        CALCASIEU PASS
         HIGH TIDE     LOW TIDE     HIGH TIDE     LOW TIDE
TODAY     2:36 AM                                  7:09 PM
FRIDAY    2:35 AM       8:13 AM      11:01 AM      8:23 PM
SATURDAY  2:39 AM       8:17 AM      12:19 PM      8:59 PM

                        SABINE PASS
         HIGH TIDE     LOW TIDE     HIGH TIDE     LOW TIDE
TODAY     3:32 AM                                  7:55 PM
FRIDAY    3:31 AM       8:59 AM      11:56 AM      8:33 PM
SATURDAY  3:35 AM       9:03 AM       1:15 PM      9:09 PM

...WINDS...

CAMERON PARISH WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO
50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH...STARTING FRIDAY MORNING...AND
CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...TREES
BLOWN DOWN...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THERE IS A 65 TO 75 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS CAMERON PARISH WITH LESS THAN A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS.

...TORNADOES...

AN INCREASING THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BEGIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 AM.

$$

GMZ452-455-472-475-111715-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
744 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS
FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING
FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND PREPARE VESSELS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS BEGINNING TOMORROW.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TODAY SEAS 5 FEET BUILDING TO 8 FEET BY THE AFTERNOON AND 11 FEET
FRIDAY MORNING AND 14 FEET ON FRIDAY. FRIDAY NIGHT SEAS BUILDING
TO 18 FEET.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL IMPACT THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS
BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON. PREPARATIONS TO SECURE MARITIME
PROPERTY ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THERE IS A 60 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WITH A 6 TO 12 PERCENT CHANCE OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

...TORNADOES...

THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 AM.

$$

LAZ052>054-111715-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
744 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR MINOR DAMAGE TO OCCUR IN OLDER
MOBILE HOME PARKS. NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED
IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. SOME SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM
TREES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE
CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS.

ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON THE SHORELINE WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE
FLOODING. HOMES MAY BECOME UNINHABITABLE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL REACH 4 FEET (MINOR FLOODING) BY FRIDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A CREST OF 6 TO 8 FEET LATE FRIDAY NIGHT OR
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE
WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH OR EXCEED THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING
HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER 1961 AND TROPICAL STORM FRANCES OF
1998.

FOR VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN
ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING
THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY...
AND DELCAMBRE.

FOR IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL
EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND.

ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST
AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL LIKELY FLOOD ON
FRIDAY.

                        SOUTHWEST PASS
         HIGH TIDE     LOW TIDE     HIGH TIDE     LOW TIDE
TODAY     4:18 AM                                  8:00 PM
FRIDAY    4:17 AM       9:04 AM      12:42 AM      8:38 PM
SATURDAY  4:21 AM       9:08 AM       2:01 PM      9:14 PM

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL
BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL LOUISIANA PARISHES JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT FRIDAY MORNING...AND PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS VERMILION...
IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES ARE 50 TO 60 PERCENT WITH LESS THAN
A 10 PERCENT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

...INLAND FLOODING...

AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND ISSUE
ANY ADDITIONAL WARNINGS THAT MAY BE NEEDED...SPECIFICALLY ALONG
THE VERMILION RIVER AT PERRY UP TO LAFAYETTE.

...TORNADOES...

THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING THREAT OF TORNADOES BEGINNING FRIDAY.


...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 AM.

$$

LAZ027-030-031-041>045-055-TXZ180>182-201-216-111715-
/O.EXT.KLCH.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080912T2300Z/
ACADIA-ALLEN-BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-HARDIN-JASPER-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
LAFAYETTE-LOWER ST. MARTIN-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERNON-
744 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

...NEW INFORMATION...

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS FOR ALL OF ORANGE COUNTY.

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL
TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES
RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR WELL-BEING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

ACADIA...ALLEN...BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...HARDIN...JASPER...
JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...NEWTON...
ORANGE...TYLER...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERNON.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. THIS WILL
RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE
TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH
IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN
POWER OUTAGES...TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND ROOFS DAMAGE TO HOMES AND
BUSINESSES.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THERE IS A 60 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA WITH LESS THAN A 20
PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

...INLAND FLOODING...

AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH
FLOODING.

...TORNADOES...

THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 AM.

$$

GMZ450-470-111715-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
744 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

HURRICANE WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD BEGIN TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR AND PREPARE VESSELS FOR
THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TODAY SEAS 7 FEET BUILDING TO 10 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS
EVENING SEAS 11 FEET BUILDING TO 13 FEET EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
FRIDAY SEAS 15 FEET BUILDING TO 20 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. FRIDAY
NIGHT SEAS 20 TO 25 FEET.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL IMPACT THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS
BY THURSDAY EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE IS POSSIBLE BY
FRIDAY EVENING. ALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...AND
PREPARATIONS TO SECURE MARITIME PROPERTY ALONG THE COAST SHOULD
BE COMPLETED BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THERE IS A 70 TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WITH LESS THAN A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

...TORNADOES...

THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 AM.

$$

TXZ215-111715-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-
744 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.

MANDATORY EVACUATION IS NOW IN PLACE FOR ALL OF JEFFERSON COUNTY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

JEFFERSON.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

HURRICANE WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY AS OF
6 AM THURSDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL REACH 4 FEET (MINOR FLOODING) BY FRIDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE TO AROUND
6 FEET FRIDAY AFTERNOON (MAJOR FLOODING)...CRESTING BETWEEN 10 AND
12 FEET EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO
RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW.
THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED
DURING HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER 1961.

AT THESE WATER LEVELS...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY
73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL LIKELY HAVE STORM SURGE
FLOODING. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR
BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR
ALONG COW BAYOU BETWEEN ORANGEFIELD AND BRIDGE CITY.

MOST IF NOT ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. SECTIONS OF
HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED
AS WELL.
                        SABINE PASS
         HIGH TIDE     LOW TIDE     HIGH TIDE     LOW TIDE
TODAY     3:32 AM                                  7:55 PM
FRIDAY    3:31 AM       8:59 AM      11:56 AM      8:33 PM
SATURDAY  3:35 AM       9:03 AM       1:15 PM      9:09 PM

...WINDS...

JEFFERSON COUNTY WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 70 MPH BY LATE FRIDAY
MORNING ...THEN PERSIST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY INTO EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...TREES BLOWN
DOWN...AND DAMAGE TO ROOFS ON HOMES AND BUSINESSES.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THERE IS A 70 TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY WITH A 20 TO 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

...INLAND FLOODING...

AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG
AREA RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY
TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE
FLASH FLOODING.

WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND ISSUE
ANY ADDITIONAL FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MAY BE NEEDED SPECIFICALLY
ALONG THE NECHES RIVER AT BEAUMONT.

...TORNADOES...

THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 11 AM.

$$

LAZ028-029-032-033-111715-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-
744 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS IF THE TRACK OF IKE DRIFTS FURTHER TO THE NORTH.

...WINDS...

TROPICAL STORM FORCE AROUND 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH MAY BE
REQUIRED ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...TREES
BLOWN DOWN...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES OR BUSINESSES.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THERE IS A 20 TO 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA WITH LESS THAN A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO
AROUND 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY SEE FLASH
FLOODING.

...TORNADOES...

THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 AM.

$$




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