[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 11 02:34:00 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KLCH 110733 PAA
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
233 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...IKE HOLDING STEADY AS A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...
.AT 100 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST OR ABOUT
645 MILES... 1040 KM...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND ABOUT
305 MILES...495 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A
GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED TODAY AND FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE. ALTHOUGH FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THIS PERIOD...AND IKE COULD BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE TODAY OR ON FRIDAY.
IKE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS WAS 946 MB...27.94 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.
LAZ051-111345-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-
233 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING PARISH OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR LOWER CAMERON PARISH
AS OF 10 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING. A LAST RESORT SHELTER WILL OPEN AT
THE LAKE CHARLES CIVIC CENTER AT 6 PM WEDNESDAY FOR CAMERON PARISH
RESIDENTS ONLY.
COASTAL INUNDATION OF PRONE COMMUNITIES IS POSSIBLE.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON THE SHORELINE WILL EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING DURING HIGH TIDE. HOMES WILL LIKELY BECOME UNINHABITABLE
IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL
BE TEMPORARILY CUT OFF...WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 6 FEET OR MORE
FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS OF ONE STORY HOMES
WHO DO NOT EVACUATE WILL FACE LIFE THREATENING CONSEQUENCES. THOSE
IN MULTI-STORY OR MULTI-UNIT FACILITIES RISK BEING CUT OFF FOR
DAYS. PARKED VEHICLES WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED IN THE FLOOD ZONE.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...INCLUDING DESTRUCTION OF HOMES AND
WASHING AWAY VEHICLES. BEACH EROSION WILL BE SUBSTANTIAL...AND
REQUIRE MONTHS TO CLEAN UP.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL REACH 4 FEET (MINOR FLOODING) BY FRIDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE TO AROUND
6 FEET FRIDAY AFTERNOON (MAJOR FLOODING)...CRESTING NEAR 10 FEET
BY VERY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO
RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW
(AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND). THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE SIMILAR TO
THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER
1961.
FOR CAMERON PARISH...MOST SECTIONS OF COASTAL ROADS OF LA 82...LA
27...AND LA 1141 WILL BE FLOODED...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE
INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY NEAR THE GIBBSTOWN BRIDGE. MOST LOW LYING
AREAS AROUND CALCASIEU LAKE WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING PORTIONS
OF HACKBERRY AND GRAND LAKE EAST TO BOONES CORNER NEAR LA 385 AND
LA 384.
...WINDS...
CAMERON PARISH WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BETWEEN
40 AND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
...AND PERSIST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 45 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS CAMERON PARISH WITH A 6 TO 12 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS.
...TORNADOES...
AN INCREASING THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BEGIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 5 AM.
$$
GMZ452-455-472-475-111345-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
233 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING PARISHES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS
FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING
FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND PREPARE VESSELS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS BEGINNING TOMORROW.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TODAY SEAS 7 FEET BUILDING TO 10 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS
EVENING SEAS 11 FEET BUILDING TO 14 FEET EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
FRIDAY SEAS 15 FEET BUILDING TO 18 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. FRIDAY
NIGHT SEAS 17 TO 20 FEET.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL IMPACT THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS
BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON. PREPARATIONS TO SECURE MARITIME
PROPERTY ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 45 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WITH A 6 TO 12 PERCENT CHANCE OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 5 AM.
$$
LAZ052>054-111345-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
233 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING PARISHES OR MARINE AREAS:
IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR MINOR DAMAGE TO OCCUR IN OLDER
MOBILE HOME PARKS. NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED
IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. SOME SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM
TREES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE
CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON THE SHORELINE WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE
FLOODING. HOMES MAY BECOME UNINHABITABLE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL REACH 4 FEET (MINOR FLOODING) BY FRIDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE TO AROUND
5 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON (MODERATE FLOODING). THE STORM SURGE
WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE
PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW (AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND). THESE WATER
LEVELS WILL APPROACH THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE
CARLA OF SEPTEMBER 1961 AND TROPICAL STORM FRANCES OF 1998.
FOR VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN
ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING
THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY...
AND DELCAMBRE.
FOR IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL
EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND.
ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST
AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL LIKELY FLOOD ON
FRIDAY.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL
BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL LOUISIANA PARISHES JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT FRIDAY MORNING...AND PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS VERMILION...
IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES ARE 40 TO 50 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND ISSUE
ANY ADDITIONAL WARNINGS THAT MAY BE NEEDED...SPECIFICALLY ALONG
THE VERMILION RIVER AT PERRY UP TO LAFAYETTE.
...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING THREAT OF TORNADOES BEGINNING FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 5 AM.
$$
LAZ041-TXZ201-216-111345-
/O.EXT.KLCH.TI.A.0001.080911T1500Z-080912T1800Z/
CALCASIEU-HARDIN-ORANGE-
233 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES/PARISHES OR MARINE AREAS:
CALCASIEU...HARDIN...ORANGE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL REACH 4 FEET (MINOR FLOODING) BY FRIDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE TO AROUND
6 FEET FRIDAY AFTERNOON (MAJOR FLOODING)...CRESTING NEAR 10 FEET
BY VERY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO
RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW
(AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND). THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE SIMILAR TO
THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER
1961.
FOR CALCASIEU PARISH:
AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN
SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...VINCENT LANDING JUST SOUTHEAST OF
CARLYSS...AND LOCKMOOR JUST SOUTH OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE
STORM SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND
I-210 BRIDGES...AREAS NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES
BEACH WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL.
FOR ORANGE COUNTY:
AT THESE LEVELS...SECTIONS OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND
BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED.
VOLUNTARY EVACUATION INCLUDES PERSONS LIVING IN TRAVEL TRAILERS
AND MOBILE HOMES. IF YOU DECIDE TO LEAVE PLEASE TRAVEL IN A
NORTHERLY DIRECTION AS SIGNIFICANT TRAFFIC CONGESTION IS EXPECTED
ON I-10 WEST.
FOR HARDIN COUNTY:
VOLUNTARY EVACUATION INCLUDES PERSONS LIVING IN TRAVEL TRAILERS
AND MOBILE HOMES. IF YOU DECIDE TO LEAVE PLEASE TRAVEL IN A
NORTHERLY DIRECTION AS SIGNIFICANT TRAFFIC CONGESTION IS EXPECTED
ON I-10 WEST.
...WINDS...
CALCASIEU PARISH...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL OCCUR AROUND NOON ON FRIDAY AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 50 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL OCCUR BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 30 TO 40
PERCENT ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA TO 40 TO 50 PERCENT ACROSS THE
GOLDEN TRIANGLE.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED CAUSING MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING
ALONG MAIN-STEM RIVERS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...
ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING.
AT THIS TIME...THE ONLY RIVERS THAT ARE FORECAST TO GO INTO FLOOD
IS THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER FROM THE SALT WATER BARRIER TO OLD
TOWN BAY...AND THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER
TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER (DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP UP
THE CALCASIEU RIVER).
AT THIS TIME ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF
NUMEROUS RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND HOMES WILL OCCUR NEAR THE SALT
WATER BARRIER. RIVER ROAD IN NORTH LAKE CHARLES AND MUCH OF MIMMS
ROAD IN WEST LAKE WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
GOOS FERRY ROAD NEAR OLD TOWN BAY WILL ALSO WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. ALONG THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU...WATER
WILL BE ON LOW SPOTS ON SOUTH PERKINS FERRY ROAD. WATER WILL ALSO
BE OVER SOME BOAT DOCKS ON SOUTH PERKINS FERRY ROAD AND OVER BOAT
RAMPS AT SAM HOUSTON JONES STATE PARK.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 5 AM.
$$
GMZ450-470-111345-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
233 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES/PARISHES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD BEGIN TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR AND PREPARE VESSELS FOR
THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TODAY SEAS 7 FEET BUILDING TO 10 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS
EVENING SEAS 11 FEET BUILDING TO 14 FEET EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
FRIDAY SEAS 15 FEET BUILDING TO 18 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. FRIDAY
NIGHT SEAS 17 TO 20 FEET.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL IMPACT THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS
BY THURSDAY EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE IS POSSIBLE BY
FRIDAY EVENING. ALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...AND PREPARATIONS
TO SECURE MARITIME PROPERTY ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 45 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WITH A 6 TO 12 PERCENT CHANCE OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM.
$$
TXZ215-111345-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-
233 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR SABINE PASS EFFECTIVE TODAY AT 6 AM DUE
TO HIGH TIDE ON FRIDAY ALONG WITH STORM SURGE COULD CLOSE HIGHWAY
87 AS EARLY AS FRIDAY. THIS ALSO INCLUDES PERSONS LIVING IN
TRAVEL TRAILERS AND MOBILE HOMES. IF YOU DECIDE TO LEAVE PLEASE
TRAVEL IN A NORTHERLY DIRECTION AS SIGNIFICANT TRAFFIC CONGESTION
IS EXPECTED ON I-10 WEST.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
JEFFERSON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR SABINE PASS IS IN EFFECT.
COASTAL INUNDATION OF PRONE COMMUNITIES IS POSSIBLE.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON THE SHORELINE WILL EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING. HOMES WILL LIKELY BECOME UNINHABITABLE IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE TEMPORARILY
CUT OFF...WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 6 FEET OR MORE FOR MORE THAN A
MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS OF ONE STORY HOMES WHO DO NOT
EVACUATE WILL FACE LIFE THREATENING CONSEQUENCES. THOSE IN MULTI-
STORY OR MULTI-UNIT FACILITIES RISK BEING CUT OFF FOR DAYS. PARKED
VEHICLES WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED IN THE FLOOD ZONE.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...INCLUDING DESTRUCTION OF HOMES AND
WASHING AWAY VEHICLES. BEACH EROSION WILL BE SUBSTANTIAL...AND
REQUIRE MONTHS TO CLEAN UP.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL REACH 4 FEET (MINOR FLOODING) BY FRIDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE TO AROUND
6 FEET FRIDAY AFTERNOON (MAJOR FLOODING)...CRESTING NEAR 10 FEET
BY VERY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO
RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW
(AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND). THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE SIMILAR TO
THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER
1961.
AT THESE WATER LEVELS...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN
PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL LIKELY HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING.
FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS
BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG COW
BAYOU BETWEEN ORANGEFIELD AND BRIDGE CITY.
MOST IF NOT ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. SECTIONS OF
HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED
AS WELL.
...WINDS...
JEFFERSON COUNTY WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 70 MPH BY LATE FRIDAY
MORNING ...THEN PERSIST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY INTO EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 70 TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY WITH A 20 TO 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG
AREA RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH
FLOODING.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND ISSUE
ANY ADDITIONAL FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MAY BE NEEDED SPECIFICALLY
ALONG THE NECHES RIVER AT BEAUMONT.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM.
$$
LAZ027>033-042>045-055-TXZ180>182-111345-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-EVANGELINE-JASPER-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-LOWER ST. MARTIN-NEWTON-RAPIDES-
ST. LANDRY-TYLER-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON-
233 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND PARISHES AREAS:
ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...EVANGELINE...JASPER...
JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...NEWTON...
RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...TYLER...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERNON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS IF THE TRACK OF IKE DRIFTS FURTHER TO THE NORTH.
...WINDS...
FOR TYLER...JASPER...AND NEWTON COUNTIES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS FROM 45 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED ON
THURSDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 50 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA WITH LESS THAN A
20 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO
AROUND 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY SEE FLASH
FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM.
$$
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