[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 10 22:47:45 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KLCH 110346
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1046 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
...LARGE HURRICANE IKE SLOWLY HEADED NORTHWESTWARD...
.AT 1000 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 325 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. A TURN BACK TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR EARLY ON THURSDAY...AND
A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. ALTHOUGH
FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THIS PERIOD...AND
IKE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON THURSDAY OR FRIDAY.
IKE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 944 MB...27.88 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE THE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.
LAZ041-TXZ201-216-111000-
/O.CAN.KLCH.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.TI.A.0001.080911T1500Z-080912T1400Z/
CALCASIEU-HARDIN-ORANGE-
1046 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
CALCASIEU...HARDIN...ORANGE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL REACH 4 FEET (MINOR FLOODING) BY FRIDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE TO AROUND 6 FEET
FRIDAY AFTERNOON (MAJOR FLOODING)...CRESTING NEAR 10 FEET BY VERY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW (AFTER
IKE MOVES INLAND). THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE STORM
SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER 1961.
FOR CALCASIEU PARISH:
AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH
AS DEATONVILLE...VINCENT LANDING JUST SOUTHEAST OF CARLYSS...AND
LOCKMOOR JUST SOUTH OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE
FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210
BRIDGES...AREAS NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH
WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL.
FOR ORANGE COUNTY:
AT THESE LEVELS...SECTIONS OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND
BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED.
...WINDS...
CALCASIEU PARISH...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 55 MPH WILL OCCUR AROUND NOON ON FRIDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS.
ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 50 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL OCCUR BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 30 TO 40
PERCENT ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA TO 40 TO 50 PERCENT ACROSS THE
GOLDEN TRIANGLE.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS
EXPECTED ALONG MAINSTEM RIVERS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH
FLOODING.
AT THIS TIME...THE ONLY RIVERS THAT ARE FORECAST TO GO INTO FLOOD IS
THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER FROM THE SALT WATER BARRIER TO OLD TOWN
BAY...AND THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER TO
THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP UP THE
CALCASIEU RIVER.
AT THIS TIME ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF
NUMEROUS RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND HOMES WILL OCCUR NEAR THE SALT WATER
BARRIER. RIVER ROAD IN NORTH LAKE CHARLES AND MUCH OF MIMMS ROAD IN
WEST LAKE WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. GOOS FERRY
ROAD NEAR OLD TOWN BAY WILL ALSO WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY. ALONG THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU...WATER WILL BE
ON LOW SPOTS ON SOUTH PERKINS FERRY ROAD. WATER WILL ALSO BE OVER
SOME BOAT DOCKS ON SOUTH PERKINS FERRY ROAD AND OVER BOAT RAMPS AT
SAM HOUSTON JONES STATE PARK.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM THURSDAY.
$$
LAZ051-111000-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-
1046 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR LOWER CAMERON PARISH AS
OF 10 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING. A LAST RESORT SHELTER WILL OPEN AT THE
LAKE CHARLES CIVIC CENTER AT 6 PM WEDNESDAY FOR CAMERON PARISH
RESIDENTS ONLY.
COASTAL INUNDATION OF PRONE COMMUNITIES IS POSSIBLE.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON THE SHORELINE WILL EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING DURING HIGH TIDE. HOMES WILL LIKELY BECOME UNINHABITABLE
IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL
BE TEMPORARILY CUT OFF...WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 6 FEET OR MORE
FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS OF ONE STORY HOMES
WHO DO NOT EVACUATE WILL FACE LIFE THREATENING CONSEQUENCES. THOSE
IN MULTI-STORY OR MULTI-UNIT FACILITIES RISK BEING CUT OFF FOR
DAYS. PARKED VEHICLES WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED IN THE FLOOD ZONE.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...INCLUDING DESTRUCTION OF HOMES AND
WASHING AWAY VEHICLES. BEACH EROSION WILL BE SUBSTANTIAL...AND
REQUIRE MONTHS TO CLEAN UP.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL REACH 4 FEET (MINOR FLOODING) BY FRIDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE TO AROUND 6 FEET
FRIDAY AFTERNOON (MAJOR FLOODING)...CRESTING NEAR 10 FEET BY VERY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW (AFTER
IKE MOVES INLAND). THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE STORM
SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER 1961.
FOR CAMERON PARISH...MOST SECTIONS OF COASTAL ROADS OF LA 82...LA
27...AND LA 1141 WILL BE FLOODED...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY NEAR THE GIBBSTOWN BRIDGE. MOST LOW LYING AREAS AROUND
CALCASIEU LAKE WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF HACKBERRY AND
GRAND LAKE EAST TO BOONES CORNER NEAR LA 385 AND LA 384.
...WINDS...
CAMERON PARISH WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BETWEEN 45
AND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING ...AND
PERSIST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 45 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS CAMERON PARISH WITH A 6 TO 12 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS.
...TORNADOES...
AN INCREASING THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BEGIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 5 AM THURSDAY.
$$
GMZ452-455-472-475-111000-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
1046 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS
FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING
FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND PREPARE VESSELS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS BEGINNING TOMORROW.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL IMPACT THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS
BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON. PREPARATIONS TO SECURE MARITIME
PROPERTY ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM THURSDAY.
$$
LAZ052>054-111000-
/O.CON.KLCH.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
1046 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR MINOR DAMAGE TO OCCUR IN OLDER
MOBILE HOME PARKS. NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF
NOT SECURED PROPERLY. SOME SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM TREES.
RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND
DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON THE SHORELINE WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE
FLOODING. HOMES MAY BECOME UNINHABITABLE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL REACH 4 FEET (MINOR FLOODING) BY FRIDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE TO AROUND 5 FEET
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON (MODERATE FLOODING). THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW
TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW
(AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND). THESE WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH THE STORM
SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER 1961 AND
TROPICAL STORM FRANCES OF 1998.
FOR VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN
ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING THE
COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY...AND
DELCAMBRE.
FOR IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL
EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND.
ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST
AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL LIKELY FLOOD ON FRIDAY.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL BEGIN
AFFECTING THE COASTAL LOUISIANA PARISHES JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY
MORNING...AND PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS
VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES ARE 40 TO 50 PERCENT. THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO
NEAR 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND ISSUE ANY
ADDITIONAL WARNINGS THAT MAY BE NEEDED...SPECIFICALLY ALONG THE
VERMILION RIVER AT PERRY UP TO LAFAYETTE.
...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING THREAT OF TORNADOES BEGINNING FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM THURSDAY.
$$
GMZ450-470-111000-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
1046 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD BEGIN TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR AND PREPARE VESSELS FOR
THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL IMPACT THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS BY
THURSDAY EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE IS POSSIBLE BY
FRIDAY EVENING. ALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...AND PREPARATIONS
TO SECURE MARITIME PROPERTY ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM THURSDAY.
$$
TXZ215-111000-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-
1046 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
JEFFERSON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR SABINE PASS IS IN EFFECT.
COASTAL INUNDATION OF PRONE COMMUNITIES IS POSSIBLE.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON THE SHORELINE WILL EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING. HOMES WILL LIKELY BECOME UNINHABITABLE IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE TEMPORARILY
CUT OFF...WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 6 FEET OR MORE FOR MORE THAN A
MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS OF ONE STORY HOMES WHO DO NOT
EVACUATE WILL FACE LIFE THREATENING CONSEQUENCES. THOSE IN
MULTI-STORY OR MULTI-UNIT FACILITIES RISK BEING CUT OFF FOR DAYS.
PARKED VEHICLES WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED IN THE FLOOD ZONE.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...INCLUDING DESTRUCTION OF HOMES AND
WASHING AWAY VEHICLES. BEACH EROSION WILL BE SUBSTANTIAL...AND
REQUIRE MONTHS TO CLEAN UP.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL REACH 4 FEET (MINOR FLOODING) BY FRIDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE TO AROUND 6 FEET
FRIDAY AFTERNOON (MAJOR FLOODING)...CRESTING NEAR 10 FEET BY VERY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW (AFTER
IKE MOVES INLAND). THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE STORM
SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER 1961.
AT THESE WATER LEVELS...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN
PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL LIKELY HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING.
FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS
BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG COW
BAYOU BETWEEN ORANGEFIELD AND BRIDGE CITY.
MOST IF NOT ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. SECTIONS OF
HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS
WELL.
...WINDS...
JEFFERSON COUNTY WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BETWEEN
50 AND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 70 MPH BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING
...THEN PERSIST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS
JEFFERSON COUNTY...WITH A 50 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO
NEAR 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG AREA
RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND ISSUE ANY
ADDITIONAL FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MAY BE NEEDED SPECIFICALLY ALONG THE
NECHES RIVER AT BEAUMONT.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM THURSDAY.
$$
LAZ027>033-042>045-055-TXZ180>182-111000-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-EVANGELINE-JASPER-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-LOWER ST. MARTIN-NEWTON-RAPIDES-
ST. LANDRY-TYLER-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON-
1046 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...EVANGELINE...JASPER...
JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...NEWTON...
RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...TYLER...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERNON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS IF THE TRACK OF IKE DRIFTS FURTHER TO THE NORTH.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO
AROUND 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY SEE FLASH
FLOODING.
...WINDS...
FOR TYLER...JASPER...AND NEWTON COUNTIES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS FROM 45 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED ON
THURSDAY.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM THURSDAY.
$$
TRARES
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net
More information about the Tropical
mailing list