[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 110106
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
806 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

...HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED FOR THE TEXAS GULF COAST...

.AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.3 WEST OR ABOUT 700 MILES EAST
OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND ABOUT 345 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE
MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. A TURN BACK TOWARD
THE WEST NORTHWESTWARD IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR EARLY ON THURSDAY...
AND A GENERAL WEST NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OVER THE CENTRAL AND
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY THURSDAY.

IKE IS A LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 947 MILLIBARS...OR 27.96 INCHES.

GMZ135-155-175-110500-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
806 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS AND THE LAGUNA MADRE NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF AND BAY WATERS EAST OF KENEDY COUNTY
STARTING FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THESE CONDITIONS
PERSISTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING EVENTUALLY DIMINISHING ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WIND GUSTS UP TO HURRICANE FORCE
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT BEGINNING THURSDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THE LOWER
TEXAS BAY AND GULF WATERS EAST OF KENEDY COUNTY WILL RANGE FROM
40 TO 50 PERCENT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR
THIS SAME AREA AND TIME PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 PERCENT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM.

$$

TXZ251-110500-
/O.CON.KBRO.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-
806 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
KENEDY COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR AN AREA WHEN HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE A POSSIBLE THREAT WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANES PRODUCE WINDS
OF 74 MPH AND HIGHER. CITIZENS OF KENEDY COUNTY SHOULD REMAIN
VIGILANT AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST POSITION AND
FORECAST PATH OF HURRICANE IKE. NOW IS THE TIME TO ENSURE THAT YOU
HAVE YOUR HURRICANE SUPPLIES IN STOCK.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED STORM SURGE FOR KENEDY COUNTY WILL
RANGE FROM 4 TO 5 FEET STARTING FRIDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE
LANDFALL OF IKE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
KENEDY COUNTY STARTING FRIDAY EVENING WITH THESE CONDITIONS
PERSISTING INTO SATURDAY MORNING EVENTUALLY DIMINISHING ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WIND GUSTS UP TO HURRICANE FORCE
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR KENEDY COUNTY
WILL RANGE FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT DURING FRIDAY MORNING INCREASING
TO 30 TO 40 PERCENT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY SATURDAY.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR KENEDY COUNTY DURING
THE SAME TIME PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

HEAVY RAIN BANDS FROM HURRICANE IKE WILL START AFFECTING KENEDY
COUNTY ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. THESE RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE TOTAL STORM
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL MAY QUICKLY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD
FLOODING PROBLEMS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR KENEDY
COUNTY ON THURSDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

SPEECE


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