[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 10 18:21:44 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KLCH 102320 CCA
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
620 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
...WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GULF COAST...
.AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT
720 MILES EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. A TURN BACK TO A
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...AND A MOSTLY WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS
A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE COASTS OF CUBA AND IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT. COASTAL STORM
SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET
ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTH COAST OF THE GULF
OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT WILL BE INCREASING
ALONG THE WESTERN GULF COAST AS IKE APPROACHES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA AND OVER THE EXTREME NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.
LAZ051-110515-
/O.CAN.KLCH.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.TR.W.1009.080910T2306Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.HU.A.1009.080910T2306Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-
606 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR CAMERON PARISH AS OF
10 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING. A LAST RESORT SHELTER WILL OPEN AT THE
LAKE CHARLES CIVIC CENTER AT 6 PM WEDNESDAY FOR CAMERON PARISH
RESIDENTS ONLY.
COASTAL INUNDATION OF PRONE COMMUNITIES IS POSSIBLE.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON THE SHORELINE WILL EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING DURING HIGH TIDE. HOMES WILL LIKELY BECOME UNINHABITABLE
IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL
BE TEMPORARILY CUT OFF...WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 6 FEET OR MORE
FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS OF ONE STORY HOMES
WHO DO NOT EVACUATE WILL FACE LIFE THREATENING CONSEQUENCES. THOSE
IN MULTI-STORY OR MULTI-UNIT FACILITIES RISK BEING CUT OFF FOR
DAYS. PARKED VEHICLES WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED IN THE FLOOD ZONE.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...INCLUDING DESTRUCTION OF HOMES AND
WASHING AWAY VEHICLES. BEACH EROSION WILL BE SUBSTANTIAL...AND
REQUIRE MONTHS TO CLEAN UP.
MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO MANY MOBILE HOMES. POORLY CONSTRUCTED
HOMES MAY RECEIVE SOME WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. A FEW
HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING.
UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND
LOCAL POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.
MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
SOME ROTTING SMALL TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...AND ROTTEN LARGE
BRANCHES WILL SNAP. NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM TREES.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE
LATE FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WITH ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
LEVELS PREDICTED TO BE OVER 2 FEET AT THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...THE
TOTAL WATER LEVELS OF 6 TO 8 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE
WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED
ONSHORE FLOW AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL
BE SIMILAR TO THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE CARLA
OF SEPTEMBER 1961.
FOR CAMERON PARISH...MOST SECTIONS OF COASTAL ROADS OF LA 82...LA
27...AND LA 1141 WILL BE FLOODED...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY NEAR THE GIBBSTOWN BRIDGE. MOST LOW LYING AREAS AROUND
CALCASIEU LAKE WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF HACKBERRY AND
GRAND LAKE EAST TO BOONES CORNER NEAR LA 385 AND LA 384.
...WINDS...
CAMERON PARISH WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BETWEEN
45 AND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...AND LAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY FRIDAY INTO EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL LIKELY SPREAD NORTH OF CAMERON PARISH INTO
JEFF DAVIS AND CALCASIEU PARISHES AS WELL DURING THE SAME TIME
FRAME.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 45 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS CAMERON PARISH WITH A 6 TO 12 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS.
...TORNADOES...
AN INCREASING THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BEGIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT.
$$
TXZ215-110515-
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/O.NEW.KLCH.HU.A.1009.080910T2306Z-000000T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-
606 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
JEFFERSON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
COASTAL INUNDATION OF PRONE COMMUNITIES IS POSSIBLE.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON THE SHORELINE WILL EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING DURING HIGH TIDE. HOMES WILL LIKELY BECOME UNINHABITABLE
IN FLO OD PRONE AREAS. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL
BE TEMPORARILY CUT OFF...WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 6 FEET OR MORE
FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS OF ONE STORY HOMES
WHO DO NOT EVACUATE WILL FACE LIFE THREATENING CONSEQUENCES. THOSE
IN MULTI-STORY OR MULTI-UNIT FACILITIES RISK BEING CUT OFF FOR
DAYS. PARKED VEHICLES WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED IN THE FLOOD ZONE.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...INCLUDING DESTRUCTION OF HOMES AND
WASHING AWAY VEHICLES. BEACH EROSION WILL BE SUBSTANTIAL...AND
REQUIRE MONTHS TO CLEAN UP.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
MOST MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE.
SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED.
HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO
SHINGLES...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT.
UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS
OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT
ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.
MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND ROTTING
SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE
LATE FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WITH ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
LEVELS PREDICTED TO BE OVER 2 FEET AT THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...THE
TOTAL WATER LEVELS OF 7 TO 9 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE
WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED
ONSHORE FLOW AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL
BE SIMILAR TO THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE CARLA
OF SEPTEMBER 1961.
AT THESE WATER LEVELS...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN
PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL LIKELY HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING.
FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS
BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG COW
BAYOU BETWEEN ORANGEFIELD AND BRIDGE CITY.
MOST IF NOT ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. SECTIONS OF
HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS
WELL.
...WINDS...
JEFFERSON...ORANGE...AND HARDIN COUNTIES WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH
POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING...AND LAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY
FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS
JEFFERSON COUNTY...WITH A 50 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT MOST OF THIS RAIN WILL
FALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME MINOR
FLOODING ALONG AREA RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS THE CASE
DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS
WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. IF THE STORM APPROACHES SOUTHEAST TEXAS
AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA CLOSER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL BE QUITE A BIT HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND ISSUE ANY
ADDITIONAL FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MAY BE NEEDED SPECIFICALLY ALONG
THE NECHES RIVER AT BEAUMONT...SABINE RIVER AT ORANGE. PLEASE SEE
THE STORM SURGE SECTION FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ABOUT THE
THREATS FROM THE STORM SURGE THAT IS EXPECTED WITH IKE.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 PM.
$$
LAZ052>054-110515-
/O.CAN.KLCH.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.TR.W.1009.080910T2306Z-000000T0000Z/
IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
606 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR MINOR DAMAGE TO OCCUR IN OLDER
MOBILE HOME PARKS. NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED
IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. SOME SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM
TREES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE
CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS.
COASTAL INUNDATION OF PRONE COMMUNITIES IS POSSIBLE.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON THE SHORELINE WILL EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING DURING HIGH TIDE. HOMES WILL LIKELY BECOME UNINHABITABLE
IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL
BE TEMPORARILY CUT OFF...WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 6 FEET OR MORE
FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS OF ONE STORY HOMES
WHO DO NOT EVACUATE WILL FACE LIFE THREATENING CONSEQUENCES. THOSE
IN MULTI-STORY OR MULTI-UNIT FACILITIES RISK BEING CUT OFF FOR
DAYS. PARKED VEHICLES WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED IN THE FLOOD ZONE.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...INCLUDING DESTRUCTION OF HOMES AND
WASHING AWAY VEHICLES. BEACH EROSION WILL BE SUBSTANTIAL...AND
REQUIRE MONTHS TO CLEAN UP.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE
LATE FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WITH ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
LEVELS PREDICTED TO BE OVER 2 FEET AT THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...THE
TOTAL WATER LEVELS OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE
WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED
ONSHORE FLOW AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL
APPROACH THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE CARLA OF
SEPTEMBER 1961 AND TROPICAL STORM FRANCES OF 1998.
FOR VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN
ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING
THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED
ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY...AND DELCAMBRE.
FOR IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL
EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND.
ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. WITH ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS PREDICTED TO BE OVER 2 FEET
AT THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...THE TOTAL WATER LEVELS OF 4 TO 5 FEET
WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW AFTER IKE MOVES
INLAND.
AT THESE LEVELS...AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY...INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT...WILL BE FLOODED.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL BEGIN
AFFECTING THE COASTAL LOUISIANA PARISHES JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY
MORNING...AND LAST THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY. DUE TO THE EXPECTED
TRACK OF IKE COMING INTO THE CENTRAL TEXAS COAST...THE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE FURTHER NORTH INTO
ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...OR ST. MARTIN PARISHES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS
VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES ARE 40 TO 50 PERCENT. THE
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT MOST OF THIS RAIN WILL
FALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME MINOR
FLOODING ALONG AREA RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE GROUND IS QUITE
SATURATED ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA DUE TO THE RAINS
FROM HURRICANE GUSTAV. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY
TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH
FLOODING. IF THE STORM APPROACHES SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA CLOSER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
BE QUITE A BIT HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND ISSUE ANY
ADDITIONAL WARNINGS THAT MAY BE NEEDED SPECIFICALLY ALONG THE
VERMILION RIVER AT PERRY UP TO LAFAYETTE. PLEASE SEE THE STORM SURGE
SECTION FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ABOUT THE THREATS FROM THE STORM
SURGE THAT IS EXPECTED WITH IKE.
...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING THREAT OF TORNADOES BEGINNING FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 PM.
$$
GMZ452-455-472-475-110515-
/O.NEW.KLCH.TR.W.0001.080910T2306Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
606 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS
FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING
FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND PREPARE VESSELS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS BEGINNING TOMORROW.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL IMPACT THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS
BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED
TO IMPACT THE 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILE ZONES FROM CAMERON TO HIGH
ISLAND TEXAS. ALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...AND PREPARATIONS TO
SECURE MARITIME PROPERTY ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BEFORE THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS REACH THE SOUTH CENTRAL COASTLINE.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 PM.
$$
GMZ450-470-110515-
/O.NEW.KLCH.HU.A.0001.080910T2306Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
606 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD BEGIN TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR AND PREPARE VESSELS FOR
THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL IMPACT THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS
BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED
TO IMPACT THE 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILE ZONES FROM CAMERON TO HIGH
ISLAND TEXAS. ALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...AND PREPARATIONS TO
SECURE MARITIME PROPERTY ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BEFORE THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS REACH THE SOUTH CENTRAL COASTLINE.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 PM.
$$
LAZ027>033-041>045-055-TXZ180>182-201-216-110515-
/O.CON.KLCH.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-EVANGELINE-HARDIN-
JASPER-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-LOWER ST. MARTIN-NEWTON-ORANGE-
RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-TYLER-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON-
606 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008
...NEW INFORMATION...
ALL NEW INFORMATION.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...
EVANGELINE...HARDIN...JASPER...JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...
LOWER ST. MARTIN...NEWTON...ORANGE...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...
TYLER...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERNON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR CALCASIEU PARISH:
STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES LATE FRIDAY
EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WITH ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS
PREDICTED TO BE OVER 2 FEET AT THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...THE TOTAL
WATER LEVELS OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL
BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED
ONSHORE FLOW AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND.
AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER
BASIN SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...VINCENT LANDING JUST SOUTHEAST OF
CARLYSS...AND LOCKMOOR JUST SOUTH OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM
SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210
BRIDGES...AREAS NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH
WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL.
...WINDS...
FOR CALCASIEU AND JEFF DAVIS PARISHES TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL LIKELY SPREAD NORTH OF CAMERON
PARISH INTO JEFF DAVIS AND CALCASIEU PARISHES DURING THE DAY
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL LIKELY
BE ISSUED LATTER TONIGHT.
ORANGE...AND HARDIN COUNTIES WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE FRIDAY
MORNING...AND LAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY FRIDAY INTO EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED
LATTER TONIGHT.
ACROSS TYLER...JASPER...AND NEWTON COUNTIES...THE TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OF 45 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND LAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY INTO THE
MORNING HOURS SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE
NEEDED LATTER TONIGHT.
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE PASSING RAINBANDS DURING THE
DAY FRIDAY AND EARLY SATURDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE LESS THAN 10 PERCENT
ALL AREAS. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE
FROM 20 TO 40 PERCENT ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA...30 TO 50 PERCENT
ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND 30 TO 50 PERCENT ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT MOST OF THIS RAIN WILL
FALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME MINOR
FLOODING ALONG AREA RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE GROUND IS QUITE
SATURATED ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA DUE TO THE RAINS
FROM HURRICANE GUSTAV. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY
TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH
FLOODING. IF THE STORM APPROACHES SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA CLOSER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
BE QUITE A BIT HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.
AT THIS TIME THE ONLY RIVERS THAT ARE FORECAST TO GO INTO FLOOD IS
THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER FROM THE SALT WATER BARRIER TO OLD TOWN
BAY AND THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER TO THE
CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP UP THE
CALCASIEU RIVER.
AT THIS TIME ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF
NUMEROUS RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND HOMES WILL OCCUR NEAR THE SALT WATER
BARRIER. RIVER ROAD IN NORTH LAKE CHARLES AND MUCH OF MIMMS ROAD IN
WEST LAKE WILL BECOME WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
GOOS FERRY ROAD NEAR OLD TOWN BAY WILL ALSO BECOME IMPASSABLE FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY. ALONG THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU WATER WILL BE ON
LOW SPOTS ON SOUTH PERKINS FERRY ROAD AND HAVE WATER ON IT. WATER
WILL ALSO BE OVER SOME BOAT DOCKS ON SOUTH PERKINS FERRY ROAD AND
OVER BOAT RAMPS AT SAM HOUSTON JONES STATE PARK.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND ISSUE ANY
ADDITIONAL WARNINGS THAT MAY BE NEEDED SPECIFICALLY ALONG THE NECHES
RIVER AT BEAUMONT...SABINE RIVER AT ORANGE AND THE VERMILION RIVER
AT PERRY UP TO LAFAYETTE. PLEASE SEE THE STORM SURGE SECTION FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ABOUT THE THREATS FROM THE STORM SURGE THAT
IS EXPECTED WITH IKE.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM.
$$
BRAZZELL/LANDRENEAU/SWEENEY
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