[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 102258
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
558 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

...HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED FOR THE TEXAS GULF COAST...

.AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT 720 MILES...
EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS OR ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. A TURN BACK TO A
WEST NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...AND A MOSTLY WEST
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS
A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

IKE IS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF IKE...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 958 MILLIBARS...OR 28.29
INCHES.

GMZ135-155-175-110500-
/O.NEW.KBRO.HU.A.0002.080910T2258Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
558 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS AND THE LAGUNA MADRE NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE
LOWER TEXAS GULF AND BAY WATERS EAST OF KENEDY COUNTY STARTING
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THESE CONDITIONS PERSISTING INTO
SATURDAY MORNING EVENTUALLY DIMINISHING ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. WIND GUSTS UP TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM
FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT BEGINNING THURSDAY NIGHT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THE LOWER TEXAS
BAY AND GULF WATERS EAST OF KENEDY COUNTY WILL RANGE FROM 40 TO 50
PERCENT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR THIS SAME
AREA AND TIME PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 PERCENT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

TXZ251-110500-
/O.NEW.KBRO.HU.A.1009.080910T2258Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-
558 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
KENEDY COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR AN AREA WHEN HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
A POSSIBLE THREAT WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANES PRODUCE WINDS OF 74 MPH
AND HIGHER. CITIZENS OF KENEDY COUNTY SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT AND
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST POSITION AND FORECAST PATH
OF HURRICANE IKE. NOW IS THE TIME TO ENSURE THAT YOU HAVE YOUR
HURRICANE SUPPLIES IN STOCK.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AT THIS TIME...THE EXPECTED STORM SURGE FOR KENEDY COUNTY WILL RANGE
FROM 4 TO 5 FEET STARTING FRIDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE
LANDFALL OF IKE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO KENEDY
COUNTY STARTING FRIDAY EVENING WITH THESE CONDITIONS PERSISTING
INTO SATURDAY MORNING EVENTUALLY DIMINISHING ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. WIND GUSTS UP TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR KENEDY COUNTY
WILL RANGE FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT DURING FRIDAY MORNING INCREASING
TO 30 TO 40 PERCENT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY SATURDAY.
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR KENEDY COUNTY DURING
THE SAME TIME PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 PERCENT.

...INLAND FLOODING...

HEAVY RAIN BANDS FROM HURRICANE IKE WILL START AFFECTING KENEDY
COUNTY ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. THESE RAIN BANDS WILL PRODUCE TOTAL STORM AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS
AMOUNT OF RAINFALL MAY QUICKLY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD FLOODING
PROBLEMS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR KENEDY COUNTY ON
THURSDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

SPEECE/CASTILLO




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