[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 9 11:15:00 CDT 2008


WTUS82 KMFL 091614
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1214 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF WATERS...
...OUTER BANDS OF IKE AFFECTING MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA...

.AT 11 AM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
22.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 83.0 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
NAPLES.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. ON THIS
TRACK, IKE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER WESTERN CUBA AND
EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS
A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE AS IKE MOVES OVER WESTERN CUBA DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER, STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR WHEN IKE
REACHES THE GULF OF MEXICO.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IKE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THESE WAVES COULD GENERATE DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING RIP
CURRENTS.



GMZ656-657-676-100015-
/O.UPG.KMFL.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMFL.TR.W.0001.080909T1614Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
1214 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

TROPICAL STORM WATCH UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

	COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM...
	COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20
	NM...GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING
	FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

	TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN SAFE PORT THROUGH TONIGHT AND MOST OF
WEDNESDAY UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS IS FROM 20 TO 36 PERCENT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY IN
THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF IKE.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...

EAST WINDS OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON WITH FREQUENT GUSTS
TO 45 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL
BANDS OF IKE AS IT ENTERS THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO. WINDS WILL
VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 30 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE WEDNESDAY. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED, DO TO EXPECTED SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEAS WILL BE HIGHEST IN THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS, BUILDING TO 9
FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND TO AROUND 10 FEET TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING LATE THIS WEEK. MARINERS SHOULD STAY IN
SAFE PORT TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 PM EDT.

$$

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-100015-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL COLLIER-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND BROWARD-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-INLAND PALM BEACH-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-MAINLAND MONROE-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-
METRO PALM BEACH-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
1214 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.
UPDATED WIND INFORMATION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

	BISCAYNE BAY...COASTAL BROWARD...COASTAL COLLIER...COASTAL
	MIAMI DADE...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD
	BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER
	INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM...FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE...
	GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND BROWARD...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND
	MIAMI DADE...INLAND PALM BEACH...LAKE OKEECHOBEE...MAINLAND
	MONROE...METRO BROWARD...METRO MIAMI DADE...METRO PALM BEACH...
	WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20
	NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS...WATERS FROM
	JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60
	NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AND METRO BROWARD, ALL OF
MIAMI-DADE, AND MAINLAND MONROE THROUGH 8 PM EDT TONIGHT. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE ATLANTIC WATERS,
BISCAYNE BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES... INCLUDING SEMIS AND TRUCKS... WILL BE
DIFFICULT TO CONTROL THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT IN THE GUSTY WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER BANDS OF HURRICANE IKE. TRUCK DRIVERS
SHOULD REDUCE SPEED AND EXERCISE INCREASED CAUTION THIS AFTERNOON.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

HIGH TIDE AT VIRGINIA KEY EARLY THIS MORNING WAS ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE
NORMAL LEVELS DUE TO THE ONSHORE WIND FLOW. A STORM TIDE OF
GENERALLY 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS POSSIBLE WITH IKE
ESPECIALLY AT THE TIMES OF NORMAL HIGH TIDE. ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST... THIS IN COMBINATION WITH THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW
AND RESULTING WAVE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A HIGH RISK
OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND POSSIBLE BEACH EROSION. SOME MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE AT THE TIMES OF NORMAL HIGH
TIDE. TODAYS HIGH TIDES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST WILL BE FROM 4 TO
5 PM EDT.

AS WINDS VEER FROM EAST TO SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT, A
STORM TIDE OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS STILL POSSIBLE
ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF FLORIDA BAY... ESPECIALLY CAPE SABLE
AND FLAMINGO. HIGH TIDE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST GULF COAST WILL BE
AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT.

...WINDS...

THE STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA HAVE BEEN
OBSERVED ACROSS MIAMI-DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES DURING
THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THE CLOSEST COUNTIES TO THE
CENTER OF IKE. AT FLAMINGO SUSTAINED WINDS OF 52 MPH GUSTING TO 63 MPH
WERE RECORDED AT 846 AM EDT AS A RAIN BAND MOVED OVER THE AREA. SUSTAINED
WINDS WERE 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 44 MPH AT SEVERAL INLAND
LOCATIONS. WINDS ALONG THE METRO ATLANTIC COAST BEACHES WILL BE
EASTERLY AT 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH ESPECIALLY IN
SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SPIRAL BANDS AS THEY MOVE RAPIDLY
ONSHORE TODAY. ACROSS THE REST OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA, EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40
MPH WILL BE COMMON TODAY, VEERING TO SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AND
DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH
FLORIDA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY IF A RAINBAND CONTINUALLY MOVES ACROSS THE SAME AREA
FOR SEVERAL HOURS. NO WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS LIKELY AT THIS TIME.

...TORNADOES...

MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN A FAVORED LOCATION FOR QUICK
STRIKING TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER
RAINBANDS OF IKE. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL BE
SOUTH OF A NAPLES TO MIAMI LINE.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...

OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY, EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE
THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SLOWLY VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST 25 TO 30
KNOTS TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING. THE HIGHEST
WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE WATERS OFF THE MIAMI-DADE COAST. SEAS
OVER THE ATLANTIC THIS AFTERNOON WILL REACH UP TO 9 FEET OVER THE
NORTHERN ATLANTIC WATERS OFF PALM BEACH COUNTY AND UP TO 16 FEET
OVER THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC WATERS, HIGHEST OVER THE MIAMI-DADE
COASTAL WATERS. SEAS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT TO 8 TO 10 FEET, THEN
TO 6 TO 8 FEET BY WEDNESDAY.

OVER LAKE OKEECHOBEE... WINDS OF AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30
KNOTS ARE LIKELY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN SAFE PORT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 6 PM EDT.

$$






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