[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Tue Sep 9 05:00:11 CDT 2008

WTUS82 KMFL 090959
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
559 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2008

...OUTER BANDS OF IKE TO AFFECT MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY...

.AT 5 AM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED BY RADAR AND
A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 82.1
WEST OR ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH OF NAPLES.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
WEST NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THIS TRACK, IKE IS FORECAST
TO MOVE OVER WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY. IKE IS EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS
A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE IKE MOVES OVER WESTERN CUBA
TODAY. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR WHEN IKE
REACHES THE GULF OF MEXICO.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IKE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THESE WAVES COULD GENERATE DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING RIP
CURRENTS.

GMZ656-657-676-091815-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
559 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.
UPDATED LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM,
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM,
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN SAFE PORT THROUGH TODAY AND MOST OF
WEDNESDAY UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

AS WINDS VEER TODAY FROM EAST TO SOUTHEAST TODAY AND TONIGHT, A
STORM TIDE OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS STILL POSSIBLE
ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF FLORIDA BAY, ESPECIALLY CAPE SABLE AND
FLAMINGO.

...WINDS...

EAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO 25
TO 30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON WITH FREQUENT GUSTS ABOVE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE, 34 KNOTS. GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE IN
SQUALLS ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS OF IKE AS IT ENTERS THE
SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND
30 KNOTS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE
WEDNESDAY. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT, THEREFORE A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH IS STILL IN EFFECT.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS IS FROM 20 TO 25 PERCENT IN THE NEAR
SHORE WATERS BUT FROM 35 TO 34 PERCENT IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF IKE.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...

EAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO 25
TO 30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON WITH FREQUENT GUSTS ABOVE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE, 34 KNOTS. GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE IN
SQUALLS ESPECIALLY IN THE SPIRAL BANDS OF IKE AS IT ENTERS THE
SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND
30 KNOTS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE
WEDNESDAY. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT, THEREFORE A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH IS STILL IN EFFECT ALONG WITH A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

SEAS WILL BE HIGHEST IN THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS, AROUND 8 FEET
EARLY THIS MORNING, BUILDING TO 9 FEET TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING LATE THIS WEEK. MARINERS SHOULD STAY IN
SAFE PORT TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 9 AM EDT.

$$

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-091815-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL COLLIER-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND BROWARD-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-INLAND PALM BEACH-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-MAINLAND MONROE-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-
METRO PALM BEACH-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
559 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.
UPDATED WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
UPDATED STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE.
UPDATED WINDS SECTION.
UPDATED TORNADOES SECTION.
UPDATED LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

BISCAYNE BAY...COASTAL BROWARD...COASTAL COLLIER...COASTAL
MIAMI DADE...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD
BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER
INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM...FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE...
GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND BROWARD...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND
MIAMI DADE...INLAND PALM BEACH...LAKE OKEECHOBEE...MAINLAND
MONROE...METRO BROWARD...METRO MIAMI DADE...METRO PALM BEACH...
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20
NMTO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS...WATERS FROM
JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60
NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES, INCLUDING SEMIS AND TRUCKS, WILL BE
DIFFICULT TO CONTROL TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT IN THE GUSTY WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER BANDS OF HURRICANE IKE. TRUCK DRIVERS
SHOULD REDUCE SPEED AND EXERCISE INCREASED CAUTION TODAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

HIGH TIDE AT VIRGINIA KEY EARLY THIS MORNING IS ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE
NORMAL LEVELS DUE TO THE ONSHORE WIND FLOW. A STORM TIDE OF GENERALLY
2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS POSSIBLE WITH IKE ESPECIALLY
AT THE TIMES OF NORMAL HIGH TIDE. ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA
COAST, THIS IN COMBINATION WITH THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND
RESULTING WAVE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND POSSIBLE BEACH EROSION. SOME MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE AT THE TIMES OF NORMAL HIGH
TIDE. TODAYS HIGH TIDES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST WILL BE FROM 4 TO
5 PM EDT. TODAYS HIGH TIDES ALONG THE SOUTHWEST GULF COAST WILL BE
FROM 7 TO 9 AM TODAY AND AGAIN AROUND 11 PM TONIGHT.

...WINDS...

THE STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA ARE OCCURRING
ACROSS MIAMI-DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES THIS MORNING, THE
CLOSEST COUNTIES TO THE CENTER OF IKE. AT VIRGINIA KEY, SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 39 MPH GUSTING TO 45 MPH WERE RECORDED AT 547 AM EDT,
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH COMMON AT INLAND LOCATIONS. WINDS
ALONG THE METRO ATLANTIC COAST BEACHES WILL BE EASTERLY AT 25 TO
35 MPH GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SPIRAL BANDS AS THEY MOVE RAPIDLY ONSHORE TODAY. ACROSS
THE REST OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA, EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15
TO 25 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON
TODAY, VEERING TO SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AND DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR NAPLES AND MARCO ISLAND, THERE IS ABOUT A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH
FLORIDA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY IF A RAINBAND CONTINUALLY MOVES ACROSS THE SAME AREA
FOR SEVERAL HOURS. NO WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS LIKELY AT THIS TIME.

...TORNADOES...

MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN A FAVORED LOCATION FOR QUICK
STRIKING TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER
RAINBANDS OF IKE. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL BE
SOUTH OF A NAPLES TO MIAMI LINE.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...

OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY, EAST WINDS OF 25 TO 30
KNOTS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. WINDS
WILL SLOWLY VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST 25 TO 30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL
OCCUR OVER THE WATERS OFF THE MIAMI-DADE COAST. SEAS OVER THE
ATLANTIC WILL REACH UPWARDS TO 9 TO 11 FEET THIS MORNING, HIGHEST
OVER THE MIAMI-DADE COASTAL WATERS. SEAS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 TO 10 FEET, THEN TO 6 TO 8 FEET BY WEDNESDAY.

OVER LAKE OKEECHOBEE, WINDS OF AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30
KNOTS ARE LIKELY TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN SAFE PORT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 9 AM EDT.

$$

WWWW
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