[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KKEY 090318
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1118 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA
KEYS...

.AT 1100 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST...OR ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON
THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CROSS WESTERN CUBA DURING THE DAY ON
TUESDAY AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TUESDAY EVENING
OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE IN
STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE AS LONG AS THE CENTER REMAINS OVER THE WATERS TO
THE SOUTH OF CUBA. STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY WHEN IKE MOVES INTO THE
GULF OF MEXICO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 967 MB...OR 28.56 INCHES.

GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-090730-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
1118 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED HURRICANE IKE INFORMATION FOR THE 11 PM ADVISORY.
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY INFORMATION TO ADVISE RESIDENTS REMAIN INDOORS
DURING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS.
UPDATED STORM SURGE SECTION TO INCLUDE MORE DETAILED FORECASTS FOR
WATER LEVELS.
UPDATED WIND SECTION TO INCLUDE MORE DETAILED WIND SPEED FORECASTS.
UPDATED RAINFALL SECTION TO INCLUDE EXPECTED IMPACTS.
UPDATED MARINE IMPACTS TO ADJUST EXPECTED WIND CONDITIONS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE SURROUNDING WATERS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS WHO EVACUATED SHOULD NOT RETURN UNTIL AFTER THE
POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS HAS ENDED...WHICH SHOULD BE BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. VISITORS SHOULD BE ABLE TO RETURN TO THE FLORIDA
KEYS BY THIS WEEKEND...AND POSSIBLY A DAY OR SO SOONER. MARINERS
HOSPITAL IS OPEN FOR EMERGENCIES ONLY OVERNIGHT...WHILE ALL OTHER
HOSPITALS ARE CLOSED. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK...ALONG WITH ALL
COUNTY AND STATE PARKS ARE CLOSED. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE
CLOSED TUESDAY. ALL COUNTY...STATE AND FEDERAL OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED
TUESDAY. ALL RESIDENTS REMAINING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD FINISH
SECURING ANY OUTDOOR LOOSE OBJECTS...AND REMAIN INDOORS DURING
PERIODS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST LEVELS LIKELY TO OCCUR
IN THE LOWER KEYS AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE TUESDAY EVENING. STORM
TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE HIGH
TIDE OCCURRING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE HIGHEST STORM TIDES ARE
EXPECTED TO COME MAINLY FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE...AND WILL OCCUR
AFTER THE WIND DIRECTION SHIFTS TO SOUTHEAST. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE
EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

IN KEY WEST AT WHITE STREET PIER...
4:23 AM TUESDAY...7:07 PM TUESDAY...5:39 AM WEDNESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
4:05 AM TUESDAY...6:49 PM TUESDAY...5:21 AM WEDNESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
4:13 AM TUESDAY...5:13 PM TUESDAY...5:18 AM WEDNESDAY

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE LIKELY
ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND LOWER KEYS OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY...WITH GUSTS
OF 50 TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE DURING HEAVIER SQUALLS WITHIN RAIN BANDS.
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH IN SQUALLS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE UPPER KEYS. THE WIND DIRECTION WILL REMAIN
FROM THE NORTHEAST TO EAST THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY SHIFT TO
SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS MORE
LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE MINOR
PONDING OF FRESH WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS...BUT
SHOULD NOT CAUSE ANY SIGNIFICANT FLOODING PROBLEMS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGHOUT THE
FLORIDA KEYS WITH THE PASSAGE OF HURRICANE IKE...FROM TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

ALL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN
EFFECT FOR ALL KEYS WATERS. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS
WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS IN THE STRONGER
SQUALLS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY WITH
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUING. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO
10 TO 15 FEET BEYOND THE REEF...EXCEPT 15 TO 20 FEET OVER THE
OFFSHORE WATERS SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE IKE
TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 300 AM TUESDAY MORNING...OR
SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

FLZ076>078-090730-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
1118 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED HURRICANE IKE INFORMATION FOR THE 11 PM ADVISORY.
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY INFORMATION TO ADVISE RESIDENTS REMAIN INDOORS
DURING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS.
UPDATED STORM SURGE SECTION TO INCLUDE MORE DETAILED FORECASTS FOR
WATER LEVELS.
UPDATED WIND SECTION TO INCLUDE MORE DETAILED WIND SPEED FORECASTS.
UPDATED RAINFALL SECTION TO INCLUDE EXPECTED IMPACTS.
UPDATED MARINE IMPACTS TO ADJUST EXPECTED WIND CONDITIONS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE SURROUNDING WATERS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS WHO EVACUATED SHOULD NOT RETURN UNTIL AFTER THE
POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS HAS ENDED...WHICH SHOULD BE BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. VISITORS SHOULD BE ABLE TO RETURN TO THE FLORIDA
KEYS BY THIS WEEKEND...AND POSSIBLY A DAY OR SO SOONER. MARINERS
HOSPITAL IS OPEN FOR EMERGENCIES ONLY OVERNIGHT...WHILE ALL OTHER
HOSPITALS ARE CLOSED. DRY TORTUGAS NATIONAL PARK...ALONG WITH ALL
COUNTY AND STATE PARKS ARE CLOSED. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE
CLOSED TUESDAY. ALL COUNTY...STATE AND FEDERAL OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED
TUESDAY. ALL RESIDENTS REMAINING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD FINISH
SECURING ANY OUTDOOR LOOSE OBJECTS...AND REMAIN INDOORS DURING
PERIODS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST LEVELS LIKELY TO OCCUR
IN THE LOWER KEYS AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE TUESDAY EVENING. STORM
TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE HIGH
TIDE OCCURRING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE HIGHEST STORM TIDES ARE
EXPECTED TO COME MAINLY FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE...AND WILL OCCUR
AFTER THE WIND DIRECTION SHIFTS TO SOUTHEAST. THE FOLLOWING ARE THE
EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

IN KEY WEST AT WHITE STREET PIER...
4:23 AM TUESDAY...7:07 PM TUESDAY...5:39 AM WEDNESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
4:05 AM TUESDAY...6:49 PM TUESDAY...5:21 AM WEDNESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
4:13 AM TUESDAY...5:13 PM TUESDAY...5:18 AM WEDNESDAY

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE LIKELY
ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND LOWER KEYS OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY...WITH GUSTS
OF 50 TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE DURING HEAVIER SQUALLS WITHIN RAIN BANDS.
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH IN SQUALLS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE UPPER KEYS. THE WIND DIRECTION WILL REMAIN
FROM THE NORTHEAST TO EAST THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN GRADUALLY SHIFT TO
SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS MORE
LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE MINOR
PONDING OF FRESH WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS...BUT
SHOULD NOT CAUSE ANY SIGNIFICANT FLOODING PROBLEMS.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGHOUT THE
FLORIDA KEYS WITH THE PASSAGE OF HURRICANE IKE...FROM TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

ALL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN
EFFECT FOR ALL KEYS WATERS. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS
WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS IN THE STRONGER
SQUALLS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY WITH
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUING. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO
10 TO 15 FEET BEYOND THE REEF...EXCEPT 15 TO 20 FEET OVER THE
OFFSHORE WATERS SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE IKE
TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 300 AM TUESDAY MORNING...OR
SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

JACOBSON






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