[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 090309
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1109 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS...

.AT 1100 PM EDT, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST OR ABOUT 310 MILES
SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES, FLORIDA.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON
THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CROSS WESTERN CUBA DURING THE DAY ON
TUESDAY AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TUESDAY
EVENING OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS
A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE AS LONG AS THE CENTER REMAINS
OVER THE WATERS TO THE SOUTH OF CUBA. STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY WHEN
IKE MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

GMZ656-657-676-091000-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
1109 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS.
UPDATED LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND MARINE AREAS: GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE
TO BONITA BEACH OUT 60 NM. COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO
CHOKOLOSKEE OUT 20 NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALTHOUGH THE CURRENT FORECAST DOES NOT INCLUDE SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS, WINDS OF UP TO 30 KNOTS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST
THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS BEING EXPERIENCED WHICH COULD NECESSITATE A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING SOMETIME EARLY TUESDAY, PARTICULARLY FOR THE OFFSHORE
GULF WATERS. THEREFORE, A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT, SO
MARINERS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST FROM FLAMINGO TO
CHOKOLOSKEE TO MARCO ISLAND AND NAPLES TO BONITA BEACH ARE STILL
ADVISED TO REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES WEST OF THE AREA
AND IT IS CERTAIN THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE
OBSERVED.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF IKE.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE LOCAL GULF WATERS
OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS IKE MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE
AREA. AT THIS TIME, MOST OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL
WATERS CAN EXPECT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN GUSTS ASSOCIATED
WITH SQUALLS IN THE SPIRAL OUTER BANDS. HOWEVER, ALTHOUGH NOT
CURRENTLY FORECAST, SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE, SHOULD THE CENTER OF IKE MOVE SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH OF THE
CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OR THE STORM GROWS IN SIZE. THEREFORE, ALONG
WITH A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY, A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT IN CASE A WARNING BECOMES NECESSARY SOMETIME ON TUESDAY.

SEAS WILL BE HIGHEST BEYOND 20 MILES OF THE COAST, BUILDING UP TO
8 FEET OVERNIGHT, THEN UP TO 10 FEET LATE TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING LATE THIS WEEK. MARINERS SHOULD STAY
IN SAFE PORT OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT AROUND 2 AM EDT TUESDAY.

$$

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-091000-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL COLLIER-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND BROWARD-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND MIAMI DADE-INLAND PALM BEACH-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-MAINLAND MONROE-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-
METRO PALM BEACH-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
1109 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.
UPDATED STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND MARINE AREAS: COLLIER, GLADES, HENDRY,
MAINLAND MONROE, PALM BEACH, BROWARD, AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.
ATLANTIC WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO OCEAN REEF OUT 60 NM,
BISCAYNE BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AND METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY
UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AND
METRO BROWARD, ALL OF MIAMI-DADE, AND MAINLAND MONROE THROUGH 8 PM
EDT TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE
ATLANTIC WATERS, BISCAYNE BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

A STORM TIDE OF GENERALLY 2 FEET OR LESS IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS
EVENT AS IKE MOVES SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA THROUGH THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS ON BOTH THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
COASTS. ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST, THIS IN COMBINATION WITH
THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND RESULTING WAVE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO
RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND POSSIBLE MINOR
BEACH EROSION. LOW COASTAL AREAS FROM MIAMI-DADE TO PALM BEACH
COUNTIES MAY ALSO EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING AS TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO
RUN ALMOST A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AS THE STORM PASSES TO THE SOUTH
ACROSS CUBA. THIS WILL BE ESPECIALLY ENHANCED NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE WHICH WILL BE BETWEEN 3 AND 5 LOCAL TIME TUESDAY MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL LIKELY CONTINUE MAINLY ACROSS
PORTIONS CLOSER TO THE COAST OF BROWARD, MIAMI DADE, AND MAINLAND
MONROE COUNTIES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY EVENING. ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF SOUTH FLORIDA, WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH ARE MOST LIKELY.
WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 40 MPH WILL BE LIKELY IN SQUALLS OVERNIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...INLAND FLOODING...

1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH
FLORIDA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY IF A RAINBAND CONTINUALLY MOVES ACROSS THE SAME AREA
FOR SEVERAL HOURS. NO WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS LIKELY AT THIS TIME.

...TORNADOES...

MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE IN A FAVORED LOCATION FOR QUICK
STRIKING TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER
RAINBANDS OF IKE, PARTICULARLY BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...

OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY, EAST WINDS OF 25 TO 30
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT. WINDS OF AROUND 25
KNOTS ARE LIKELY TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING.
THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE WATERS OFF THE MIAMI-DADE
COAST. SEAS OVER THE ATLANTIC WILL INCREASE TO 8 TO 12 FEET TONIGHT,
HIGHEST OVER THE MIAMI-DADE COASTAL WATERS. SEAS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, BUT REMAIN ABOVE 7 FEET THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

OVER LAKE OKEECHOBEE, WINDS OF AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30
KNOTS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN SAFE PORT OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AT 2 AM EDT TUESDAY.

$$

DG/PS

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